Xfinity Mobile Arena · at 76ers · Conference game
Closing line
PHI -12.5✓ MIL covered by 1.5
PHI -12.5✓ MIL covered by 1.5Closing total234.5Over by 8.5
 MIL | This season | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIL 109–120 PHI · ✓ PHI (78%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 25 | 35 | 27 | 29 | 116 |
| PHI | 34 | 30 | 33 | 30 | 127 |
1st half: MIL 60, PHI 64 (PHI by 4). The model had PHI by 6.1 and a total of 114.4 (actual 124).
Team stats
| MIL | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-90 47% | Field goals | 40-98 41% |
| 11-34 32% | 3-pointers | 19-44 43% |
| 21-28 75% | Free throws | 28-34 82% |
| 62 17 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 20 | Assists | 26 |
| 5 | Steals | 14 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 23 |
| 58 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 31 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| MIL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma F | 35 | 14 | 12 | 3 | -3 |
| Tyler Herro G | 31 | 13 | 6 | 3 | -15 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. F | 27 | 21 | 8 | 4 | -15 |
| Ryan Rollins G | 25 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Myles Turner C | 20 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -16 |
| Bench | |||||
| Kel'el Ware C | 29 | 19 | 13 | 1 | +4 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis G | 25 | 12 | 3 | 2 | -15 |
| AJ Green G | 19 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +5 |
| Brayden Burries G | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +6 |
| Nate Ament F | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -6 |
Did not play: Bogoljub Markovic (COACH'S DECISION), Ousmane Dieng (COACH'S DECISION), Kevin Porter Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Jericho Sims (COACH'S DECISION), Gary Trent Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Caris LeVert (COACH'S DECISION)
| PHI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid C | 36 | 28 | 11 | 10 | +18 |
| Tyrese Maxey G | 36 | 26 | 4 | 4 | +13 |
| Jaylen Brown G | 35 | 27 | 3 | 5 | +24 |
| VJ Edgecombe G | 30 | 17 | 13 | 2 | -11 |
| Dean Wade F | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bench | |||||
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +24 |
| Anfernee Simons G | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -13 |
| Jabari Walker F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +3 |
| Adem Bona C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
Did not play: Rayan Rupert (COACH'S DECISION), Justin Edwards, Caleb Love
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPHI -12.5
ModelPHI -11.0
Model edgeMIL +1.5
W MIL covered
Total
Market234.5
Model228.4
Model edgeUnder 6.1
L Over
Projected score
MIL 108.7 · PHI 119.7
MIL 116 · PHI 127
Win probability
PHI 78%
1st half
Spread
PHI -6.1
PHI -4.0
Total
114.4
124 points
Projected score
MIL 54.2 · PHI 60.2
MIL 60 · PHI 64
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPHI -12.5
no move
ClosePHI -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open230.5
▲ 4
Close234.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MIL +470 · PHI -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PHI -12.5 · unchangedmodel PHI -11
model PHI -11
Opened 230.5 · closed 234.5 · moved 4 upmodel 228.5
model 228.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% |
| PHIlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
MIL 11–7 PHIMIL leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · PHI has won the last 4 meetings · MIL 10-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025-26 | MIL 106 @ PHI 126 | PHI -16.5 | PHI W |
| Jan 27, 2025-26 | MIL 122 @ PHI 139 | PHI -10.5 | PHI W |
| Dec 5, 2025-26 | PHI 116 @ MIL 101 | MIL +1.5 | PHI W |
| Nov 20, 2025-26 | PHI 123 @ MIL 114 | MIL +1.5 | PHI W |
| Apr 3, 2024-25 | MIL 126 @ PHI 113 | PHI +11.5 | MIL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bucks
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
WSH
WSHL 116-128
−7.5
23
vs
CHI
CHIL 125-132
−8.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@WSH
WSHL 116-128
+4.5
23
vsCHI
CHIL 125-132
+15.5
over 2under 0avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin
76ers
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −21.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vs
CLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
over 0under 2avg −21.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bucks
0-2 overall · 0-2 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Bulls125–132
- L@ Wizards116–128
1 day since their last game.
76ers
2-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Cavaliers114–106
- W@ Knicks106–100
2 days since their last game.