Delta Center · at Jazz · Conference game
Closing line
POR -6.5✓ POR covered by 15.5
POR -6.5✓ POR covered by 15.5Closing total232.5Under by 30.5
| POR | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 1-4 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 1-4 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: POR 122–114 UTAH · ✓ POR (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 27 | 32 | 29 | 24 | 112 |
| UTAH | 18 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 90 |
1st half: POR 59, UTAH 42 (POR by 17). The model had POR by 4.7 and a total of 117.9 (actual 101).
Team stats
| POR | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-76 41% | Field goals | 29-78 37% |
| 16-44 36% | 3-pointers | 11-40 28% |
| 34-41 83% | Free throws | 21-26 81% |
| 48 9 off | Rebounds | 37 7 off |
| 16 | Assists | 23 |
| 13 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 26 | Fouls | 26 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| POR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoot Henderson G | 31 | 14 | 3 | 1 | -5 |
| Toumani Camara F | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0 | +26 |
| Deni Avdija F | 30 | 24 | 5 | 2 | +32 |
| Damian Lillard G | 27 | 22 | 5 | 4 | +21 |
| Donovan Clingan C | 15 | 4 | 9 | 0 | +20 |
| Bench | |||||
| Vit Krejci G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +1 |
| Jrue Holiday G | 22 | 14 | 4 | 3 | +7 |
| Sidy Cissoko G | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +6 |
| Robert Williams III C | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +7 |
| Yang Hansen C | 13 | 6 | 5 | 1 | -3 |
| Chris Youngblood G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| Branden Carlson C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Micah Potter C | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| UTAH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey G | 37 | 9 | 7 | 1 | -16 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 36 | 16 | 4 | 4 | -8 |
| Lauri Markkanen F | 29 | 13 | 6 | 1 | -17 |
| Keyonte George G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 4 | -10 |
| Jaxson Hayes C | 20 | 7 | 7 | 2 | -15 |
| Bench | |||||
| Isaiah Collier G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 4 | -21 |
| Brice Sensabaugh F | 19 | 12 | 3 | 2 | +2 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 3 | -10 |
| Josh Okogie G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 |
| Mo Bamba C | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | -7 |
| Kyle Filipowski F | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Green G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Did not play: Blake Hinson (COACH'S DECISION), Tony Bradley (COACH'S DECISION)
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPOR -6.5
ModelPOR -8.0
Model edgePOR +1.5
W POR covered
Total
Market232.5
Model235.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
L Under
Projected score
POR 121.9 · UTAH 113.9
POR 112 · UTAH 90
Win probability
POR 72%
1st half
Spread
POR -4.7
POR -17.0
Total
117.9
101 points
Projected score
POR 61.3 · UTAH 56.6
POR 59 · UTAH 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPOR -6.5
no move
ClosePOR -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open232.5
no move
Close232.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
POR -258 · UTAH +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened POR -6.5 · unchangedmodel POR -8
model POR -8
Opened 232.5 · unchangedmodel 236
model 236
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
| UTAHlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 1-4 20% | 2-3 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 20 since 2021-22
POR 10–10 UTAHSeries tied · 20 games since 2021-22 · POR has won the last 4 meetings · POR 6-14 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025-26 | UTAH 114 @ POR 124 | POR -15.5 | UTAH W |
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | POR 135 @ UTAH 119 | UTAH +6.5 | POR W |
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | UTAH 117 @ POR 137 | POR -5.5 | POR W |
| Oct 29, 2025-26 | POR 136 @ UTAH 134 | UTAH +3.5 | UTAH W |
| Apr 9, 2024-25 | POR 126 @ UTAH 133 | UTAH +6.5 | UTAH W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
29
vs
MEM
MEML 103-124
−28.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−6.5
over 2under 2avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jazz
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
over 2under 3avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Trail Blazers
3-1 overall · 3-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Grizzlies103–124
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
2 days since their last game.
Jazz
1-4 overall · 1-4 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
- L@ Grizzlies103–123
3 days since their last game.