Delta Center · at Jazz · Conference game
Closing line
SA -13.5✓ UTAH covered by 7.5
SA -13.5✓ UTAH covered by 7.5Closing total232.5Under by 4.5
| SA | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 0-4 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SA 122–112 UTAH · ✓ SA (77%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | 22 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 12 | 117 |
| UTAH | 32 | 23 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 111 |
1st half: SA 51, UTAH 55 (UTAH by 4). The model had SA by 6.1 and a total of 116.9 (actual 106).
Team stats
| SA | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-101 44% | Field goals | 39-92 42% |
| 12-38 32% | 3-pointers | 15-39 38% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 18-19 95% |
| 51 15 off | Rebounds | 53 12 off |
| 30 | Assists | 24 |
| 14 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama F | 39 | 36 | 14 | 5 | +14 |
| De'Aaron Fox G | 39 | 14 | 3 | 4 | +9 |
| Stephon Castle G | 38 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +3 |
| Devin Vassell G | 38 | 21 | 5 | 2 | +4 |
| Dylan Harper G | 37 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| Bench | |||||
| Julian Champagnie F | 31 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +4 |
| Keldon Johnson F | 23 | 9 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
| Luke Kornet C | 14 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -8 |
| Carter Bryant F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
Did not play: David Jones Garcia (COACH'S DECISION), Jordan McLaughlin (COACH'S DECISION), Tarris Reed Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Harrison Barnes (COACH'S DECISION)
| UTAH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey G | 40 | 19 | 6 | 0 | -6 |
| Jaxson Hayes C | 37 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -11 |
| Keyonte George G | 37 | 31 | 4 | 3 | -5 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | -5 |
| Josh Green G | 24 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
| Bench | |||||
| Josh Okogie G | 28 | 5 | 9 | 3 | -5 |
| Isaiah Collier G | 24 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +2 |
| Brice Sensabaugh F | 18 | 16 | 3 | 1 | -4 |
| Mo Bamba C | 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +5 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +1 |
Did not play: Kyle Filipowski (COACH'S DECISION), Blake Hinson (COACH'S DECISION), Tony Bradley (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSA -13.5
ModelSA -10.4
Model edgeUTAH +3.1
W UTAH covered
Total
Market232.5
Model233.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
L Under
Projected score
SA 122.1 · UTAH 111.6
SA 117 · UTAH 111
Win probability
SA 77%
1st half
Spread
SA -6.1
UTAH -4.0
Total
116.9
106 points
Projected score
SA 61.5 · UTAH 55.4
SA 51 · UTAH 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSA -12.5
1 → SA
CloseSA -13.5
1 pt toward SA
Total
Open234.5
▼ 2
Close232.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SA -750 · UTAH +525
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SA -12.5 · closed SA -13.5 · moved 1 toward SAmodel SA -10.5
model SA -10.5
Opened 234.5 · closed 232.5 · moved 2 downmodel 233.5
model 233.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
| UTAHlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 0-4 0% | 2-2 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
SA 10–7 UTAHSA leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · SA has won the last 2 meetings · SA 10-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | SA 126 @ UTAH 109 | UTAH +12.5 | SA W |
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | UTAH 110 @ SA 123 | SA -16.5 | UTAH W |
| Dec 27, 2025-26 | UTAH 127 @ SA 114 | SA -14.5 | UTAH W |
| Nov 26, 2024-25 | SA 128 @ UTAH 115 | UTAH +1.5 | SA W |
| Nov 21, 2024-25 | UTAH 118 @ SA 126 | SA -2.5 | SA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Spurs
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vs
SAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
over 1under 3avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jazz
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
0-4
0% covers · avg −6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
over 2under 2avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Spurs
2-2 overall · 2-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
- Lvs Thunder104–116
1 day since their last game.
Jazz
1-3 overall · 1-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
- L@ Grizzlies103–123
2 days since their last game.