American Airlines Center · at Mavericks · Conference game
Closing line
SA -14.5✓ SA covered by 1.5
SA -14.5✓ SA covered by 1.5Closing total229.5Under by 1.5
| SA | This season | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SA 119–112 DAL · ✓ SA (69%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | 32 | 36 | 24 | 30 | 122 |
| DAL | 31 | 29 | 29 | 17 | 106 |
1st half: SA 68, DAL 60 (SA by 8). The model had SA by 4.0 and a total of 115.8 (actual 128).
Team stats
| SA | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 48-101 48% | Field goals | 45-88 51% |
| 15-42 36% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 5-8 63% |
| 43 15 off | Rebounds | 42 8 off |
| 34 | Assists | 29 |
| 12 | Steals | 8 |
| 8 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 64 | Points in paint | 62 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 28 |
Players
| SA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell G | 32 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +13 |
| Victor Wembanyama F | 29 | 23 | 7 | 2 | +32 |
| De'Aaron Fox G | 28 | 19 | 3 | 9 | +25 |
| Stephon Castle G | 28 | 19 | 4 | 8 | +12 |
| Dylan Harper G | 28 | 22 | 5 | 2 | +18 |
| Bench | |||||
| Julian Champagnie F | 28 | 12 | 5 | 3 | +16 |
| Keldon Johnson F | 26 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +14 |
| Luke Kornet C | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -18 |
| Carter Bryant F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -11 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1 |
| Harrison Barnes F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 |
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -7 |
| Jordan McLaughlin G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 |
| DAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington F | 36 | 12 | 4 | 2 | -18 |
| Zaccharie Risacher F | 32 | 11 | 4 | 2 | -16 |
| Max Christie G | 26 | 5 | 5 | 1 | -22 |
| Daniel Gafford F | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | -12 |
| Naji Marshall F | 21 | 10 | 4 | 5 | -11 |
| Bench | |||||
| Sergio de Larrea F | 33 | 21 | 5 | 4 | -5 |
| Marcus Sasser G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 5 | +1 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| Moussa Cisse C | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +3 |
| Jett Howard G | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +3 |
Did not play: Dwight Powell (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSA -14.5
ModelSA -6.9
Model edgeDAL +7.6
L SA covered
Total
Market229.5
Model231.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
SA 119.2 · DAL 112.3
SA 122 · DAL 106
Win probability
SA 69%
1st half
Spread
SA -4.0
SA -8.0
Total
115.8
128 points
Projected score
SA 59.9 · DAL 55.9
SA 68 · DAL 60
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSA -11.5
3 → SA
CloseSA -14.5
3 pts toward SA
Total
Open230.5
▼ 1
Close229.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SA -900 · DAL +600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SA -11.5 · closed SA -14.5 · moved 3 toward SAmodel SA -7
model SA -7
Opened 230.5 · closed 229.5 · moved 1 downmodel 231.5
model 231.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% |
| DALlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 20 since 2021-22
SA 6–14 DALDAL leads · 20 games since 2021-22 · SA has won the last 5 meetings · SA 11-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2025-26 | DAL 120 @ SA 139 | SA -18.5 | SA W |
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | DAL 125 @ SA 138 | SA -11.5 | SA W |
| Feb 5, 2025-26 | SA 135 @ DAL 123 | DAL +7.5 | SA W |
| Oct 22, 2025-26 | SA 125 @ DAL 92 | DAL -3.5 | SA W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | DAL 116 @ SA 126 | SA -6.5 | SA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Spurs
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
over 0under 2avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mavericks
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
−8.5
23
@
IND
INDW 121-105
+23.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
+7.5
23
@IND
INDW 121-105
−15.5
over 1under 1avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Spurs
0-2 overall · 0-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Rockets110–114
- Lvs Thunder104–116
1 day since their last game.
Mavericks
1-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Pacers121–105
- L@ Rockets110–128
1 day since their last game.