Frost Bank Center · at Spurs · Conference game
Closing line
SA -19.5✓ SA covered by 7.5
SA -19.5✓ SA covered by 7.5Closing total232.5Over by 0.5
 SAC | This season | SA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 1-2 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 0-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAC 106–124 SA · ✓ SA (90%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 29 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 103 |
| SA | 39 | 41 | 27 | 23 | 130 |
1st half: SAC 54, SA 80 (SA by 26). The model had SA by 10.0 and a total of 115.5 (actual 134).
Team stats
| SAC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-93 43% | Field goals | 49-90 54% |
| 13-37 35% | 3-pointers | 17-37 46% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 46 9 off |
| 28 | Assists | 35 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 29 |
Players
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis F | 37 | 20 | 14 | 8 | -15 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 33 | 19 | 3 | 5 | -14 |
| De'Andre Hunter F | 33 | 24 | 6 | 2 | -6 |
| Zach LaVine G | 31 | 22 | 3 | 3 | -20 |
| Precious Achiuwa F | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -18 |
| Bench | |||||
| Emanuel Sharp G | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -9 |
| Jonathan Mogbo F | 18 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -10 |
| Daeqwon Plowden G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -12 |
| Malik Monk G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -13 |
| Alex Karaban F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -12 |
| Leaky Black F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| Nique Clifford G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Did not play: Adam Flagler (COACH'S DECISION)
| SA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper G | 30 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +23 |
| Victor Wembanyama F | 27 | 29 | 10 | 2 | +22 |
| Stephon Castle G | 27 | 15 | 5 | 5 | +14 |
| De'Aaron Fox G | 26 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +22 |
| Devin Vassell G | 24 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +12 |
| Bench | |||||
| Julian Champagnie F | 25 | 26 | 3 | 3 | +14 |
| Keldon Johnson F | 22 | 14 | 4 | 0 | +6 |
| Luke Kornet C | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Carter Bryant F | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +10 |
| Harrison Barnes F | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
| Jordan McLaughlin G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +5 |
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSA -19.5
ModelSA -17.9
Model edgeSAC +1.6
L SA covered
Total
Market232.5
Model230.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
L Over
Projected score
SAC 106.4 · SA 124.4
SAC 103 · SA 130
Win probability
SA 90%
1st half
Spread
SA -10.0
SA -26.0
Total
115.5
134 points
Projected score
SAC 52.8 · SA 62.8
SAC 54 · SA 80
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSA -18.5
1 → SA
CloseSA -19.5
1 pt toward SA
Total
Open231.5
▲ 1
Close232.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SAC +1000 · SA -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SA -18.5 · closed SA -19.5 · moved 1 toward SAmodel SA -18
model SA -18
Opened 231.5 · closed 232.5 · moved 1 upmodel 231
model 231
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAClast 3 | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
| SAlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 0-3 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
SAC 10–7 SASAC leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · SA has won the last 3 meetings · SAC 9-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025-26 | SA 132 @ SAC 104 | SAC +13.5 | SA W |
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | SAC 122 @ SA 139 | SA -18.5 | SAC W |
| Nov 16, 2025-26 | SAC 110 @ SA 123 | SA -6.5 | SA W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | SA 109 @ SAC 127 | SAC -6.5 | SAC W |
| Dec 6, 2024-25 | SAC 140 @ SA 113 | SA +6.5 | SAC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kings
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
LAC
LACL 96-121
−19.5
23
vs
POR
PORL 120-128
+1.5
25
vs
MEM
MEML 112-123
−7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAC
LACL 96-121
−9.5
23
vsPOR
PORL 120-128
+16.5
25
vsMEM
MEML 112-123
+0.5
over 2under 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Spurs
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
over 0under 3avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kings
0-3 overall · 0-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Grizzlies112–123
- Lvs Trail Blazers120–128
- L@ Clippers96–121
2 days since their last game.
Spurs
1-2 overall · 1-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
- Lvs Thunder104–116
3 days since their last game.