Golden 1 Center · at Kings · Conference game
Closing line
MEM -3.5✓ MEM covered by 7.5
MEM -3.5✓ MEM covered by 7.5Closing total234.5Over by 0.5
| MEM | This season | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 0-2 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MEM 118–117 SAC · ✓ MEM (52%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 25 | 42 | 29 | 27 | 123 |
| SAC | 28 | 31 | 31 | 22 | 112 |
1st half: MEM 67, SAC 59 (MEM by 8). The model had MEM by 0.5 and a total of 117.6 (actual 126).
Team stats
| MEM | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-95 44% | Field goals | 44-94 47% |
| 15-40 38% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 24-27 89% | Free throws | 14-22 64% |
| 54 18 off | Rebounds | 44 16 off |
| 24 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 26 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Wells F | 33 | 16 | 5 | 3 | +24 |
| Ty Jerome G | 32 | 31 | 4 | 6 | +27 |
| Cedric Coward F | 32 | 15 | 11 | 2 | +12 |
| Cameron Boozer F | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| Isaiah Stewart C | 22 | 13 | 5 | 2 | +17 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jerami Grant F | 22 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Quinten Post C | 17 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 |
| Cam Spencer G | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | -16 |
| GG Jackson F | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -15 |
| Taylor Hendricks F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -15 |
Did not play: Kris Murray (COACH'S DECISION), Olivier-Maxence Prosper (COACH'S DECISION), Jahmai Mashack (COACH'S DECISION), Carson Cooper (COACH'S DECISION)
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine G | 40 | 37 | 2 | 5 | -21 |
| Precious Achiuwa F | 39 | 12 | 10 | 0 | -8 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 36 | 22 | 3 | 7 | -8 |
| Domantas Sabonis F | 35 | 15 | 15 | 3 | -11 |
| De'Andre Hunter F | 29 | 7 | 6 | 1 | -11 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jonathan Mogbo F | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +6 |
| Daeqwon Plowden G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -12 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +11 |
| Malik Monk G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
Did not play: Leaky Black, Nique Clifford (COACH'S DECISION), Alex Karaban (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMEM -3.5
ModelMEM -0.6
Model edgeSAC +2.9
L MEM covered
Total
Market234.5
Model235.2
Model edgeOver 0.7
W Over
Projected score
MEM 117.9 · SAC 117.3
MEM 123 · SAC 112
Win probability
MEM 52%
1st half
Spread
MEM -0.5
MEM -8.0
Total
117.6
126 points
Projected score
MEM 59 · SAC 58.6
MEM 67 · SAC 59
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMEM -3.5
no move
CloseMEM -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open236.5
▼ 2
Close234.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MEM -180 · SAC +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MEM -3.5 · unchangedmodel MEM -0.5
model MEM -0.5
Opened 236.5 · closed 234.5 · moved 2 downmodel 235
model 235
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEMlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% |
| SAClast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
MEM 9–8 SACMEM leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · MEM 11-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025-26 | SAC 123 @ MEM 114 | MEM -2.5 | SAC W |
| Feb 4, 2025-26 | MEM 129 @ SAC 125 | SAC -2.5 | MEM W |
| Nov 30, 2025-26 | MEM 115 @ SAC 107 | SAC +3.5 | MEM W |
| Nov 20, 2025-26 | SAC 96 @ MEM 137 | MEM -3.5 | MEM W |
| Mar 17, 2024-25 | MEM 122 @ SAC 132 | SAC -3.5 | SAC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grizzlies
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +13 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −16 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
UTAH
UTAHW 123-103
+18.5
23
@
GS
GSW 111-108
+7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +13 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
−14.5
23
@GS
GSW 111-108
−17.5
over 0under 2avg −16 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kings
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
LAC
LACL 96-121
−19.5
23
vs
POR
PORL 120-128
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAC
LACL 96-121
−9.5
23
vsPOR
PORL 120-128
+16.5
over 1under 1avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grizzlies
2-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Warriors111–108
- Wvs Jazz123–103
2 days since their last game.
Kings
0-2 overall · 0-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers120–128
- L@ Clippers96–121
2 days since their last game.