crypto.com Arena · at Lakers · Conference game
Closing line
LAL -1.5✓ POR covered by 8.5
LAL -1.5✓ POR covered by 8.5Closing total234.5Over by 30.5
 POR | This season | LAL |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: POR 117–116 LAL · ✓ POR (51%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 32 | 36 | 34 | 34 | 136 |
| LAL | 38 | 35 | 30 | 26 | 129 |
1st half: POR 68, LAL 73 (LAL by 5). The model had POR by 0.3 and a total of 116.4 (actual 141).
Team stats
| POR | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-78 59% | Field goals | 45-80 56% |
| 18-36 50% | 3-pointers | 17-43 40% |
| 26-41 63% | Free throws | 22-30 73% |
| 38 7 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 30 | Assists | 28 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 23 | Fouls | 29 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| POR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija F | 33 | 23 | 4 | 9 | +8 |
| Damian Lillard G | 31 | 21 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| Ja Morant G | 31 | 23 | 0 | 4 | +8 |
| Donovan Clingan C | 26 | 9 | 10 | 1 | -4 |
| Toumani Camara F | 24 | 12 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jrue Holiday G | 30 | 22 | 4 | 3 | +10 |
| Robert Williams III C | 21 | 14 | 10 | 1 | +5 |
| Sidy Cissoko G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 |
| Scoot Henderson G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4 |
| Vit Krejci G | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
Did not play: Branden Carlson (COACH'S DECISION), Yang Hansen (COACH'S DECISION), Micah Potter (COACH'S DECISION)
| LAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves G | 39 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Luka Doncic G | 37 | 41 | 5 | 9 | +7 |
| Walker Kessler C | 33 | 13 | 8 | 0 | +3 |
| Ziaire Williams F | 29 | 11 | 2 | 4 | -3 |
| Matisse Thybulle G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -12 |
| Bench | |||||
| Sandro Mamukelashvili F | 24 | 17 | 4 | 2 | +6 |
| Quentin Grimes G | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -10 |
| Jake LaRavia F | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | -10 |
| Collin Sexton G | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | -8 |
| Kevon Looney F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8 |
Did not play: Dalton Knecht (COACH'S DECISION), Jaden Hardy (COACH'S DECISION), Bronny James (COACH'S DECISION), Arthur Kaluma (COACH'S DECISION), Jarred Vanderbilt (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLAL -1.5
ModelPOR -0.2
Model edgePOR +1.7
W POR covered
Total
Market234.5
Model232.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
L Over
Projected score
POR 116.5 · LAL 116.2
POR 136 · LAL 129
Win probability
POR 51%
1st half
Spread
POR -0.3
LAL -5.0
Total
116.4
141 points
Projected score
POR 58.4 · LAL 58.1
POR 68 · LAL 73
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAL -2.5
1 → POR
CloseLAL -1.5
1 pt toward POR
Total
Open236.5
▼ 2
Close234.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
POR -102 · LAL -118
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAL -2.5 · closed LAL -1.5 · moved 1 toward PORmodel POR -0
model POR -0
Opened 236.5 · closed 234.5 · moved 2 downmodel 232.5
model 232.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| LALlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
POR 7–11 LALLAL leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · POR 8-10 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | LAL 116 @ POR 132 | POR -3.5 | POR W |
| Nov 3, 2025-26 | LAL 123 @ POR 115 | POR -10.5 | LAL W |
| Oct 27, 2025-26 | POR 122 @ LAL 108 | LAL +3.5 | POR W |
| Apr 13, 2024-25 | LAL 81 @ POR 109 | POR -5.5 | POR W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | LAL 110 @ POR 102 | POR +1.5 | LAL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +18 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +18 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
over 1under 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lakers
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +10.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
GS
GSW 127-105
+15.5
23
vs
LAC
LACW 125-117
−0.5
25
@
UTAH
UTAHW 132-123
+2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsGS
GSW 127-105
−1.5
23
vsLAC
LACW 125-117
+16.5
25
@UTAH
UTAHW 132-123
+17.5
over 2under 1avg +10.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Trail Blazers
2-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
4 days since their last game.
Lakers
3-0 overall · 3-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz132–123
- Wvs Clippers125–117
- Wvs Warriors127–105
2 days since their last game.