Moda Center · at Trail Blazers · Conference game
Closing line
POR -7.5✓ MEM covered by 28.5
POR -7.5✓ MEM covered by 28.5Closing total233.5Under by 6.5
 MEM | This season | POR |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 4-0 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MEM 110–123 POR · ✗ POR (82%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 25 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 124 |
| POR | 25 | 33 | 25 | 20 | 103 |
1st half: MEM 58, POR 58 (tied). The model had POR by 7.2 and a total of 116.4 (actual 116).
Team stats
| MEM | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 47-102 46% | Field goals | 37-91 41% |
| 18-42 43% | 3-pointers | 12-49 24% |
| 12-12 100% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 54 15 off | Rebounds | 45 13 off |
| 32 | Assists | 23 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 11 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 28 | 18 | 12 | 12 | +20 |
| Cedric Coward F | 27 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +16 |
| Jaylen Wells F | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | +20 |
| Ty Jerome G | 24 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Zach Edey C | 19 | 13 | 7 | 0 | -4 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jerami Grant F | 27 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +5 |
| Cam Spencer G | 23 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +21 |
| GG Jackson F | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | +6 |
| Isaiah Stewart C | 16 | 18 | 3 | 0 | +18 |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinten Post C | 7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +7 |
| Kris Murray F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper F | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| Taylor Hendricks F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| Karim Lopez F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| POR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija F | 32 | 24 | 9 | 7 | -9 |
| Damian Lillard G | 30 | 9 | 2 | 2 | -11 |
| Donovan Clingan C | 29 | 11 | 8 | 1 | +4 |
| Toumani Camara F | 26 | 13 | 2 | 1 | -20 |
| Ja Morant G | 23 | 14 | 2 | 3 | -7 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jrue Holiday G | 24 | 6 | 6 | 4 | -16 |
| Scoot Henderson G | 19 | 9 | 4 | 0 | -6 |
| Sidy Cissoko G | 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -12 |
| Branden Carlson C | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -13 |
| Micah Potter C | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5 |
| Vit Krejci G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -8 |
| John Tonje F | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Yang Hansen C | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPOR -7.5
ModelPOR -12.9
Model edgePOR +5.4
L MEM covered
Total
Market233.5
Model232.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
MEM 109.9 · POR 122.8
MEM 124 · POR 103
Win probability
POR 82%
1st half
Spread
POR -7.2
tied
Total
116.4
116 points
Projected score
MEM 54.6 · POR 61.8
MEM 58 · POR 58
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPOR -7.5
no move
ClosePOR -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open232.5
▲ 1
Close233.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MEM +230 · POR -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened POR -7.5 · unchangedmodel POR -13
model POR -13
Opened 232.5 · closed 233.5 · moved 1 upmodel 232.5
model 232.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEMlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 4-0 100% | 1-3 25% |
| PORlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
MEM 7–11 PORPOR leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · POR has won the last 3 meetings · MEM 7-10-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025-26 | POR 122 @ MEM 114 | MEM +9.5 | MEM W |
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | MEM 115 @ POR 122 | POR -9.5 | MEM W |
| Feb 6, 2025-26 | MEM 115 @ POR 135 | POR -8.5 | POR W |
| Dec 7, 2025-26 | POR 96 @ MEM 119 | MEM -1.5 | MEM W |
| Mar 19, 2024-25 | MEM 99 @ POR 115 | POR +4.5 | POR W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grizzlies
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-0
100% covers · avg +9.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
UTAH
UTAHW 123-103
+18.5
23
@
GS
GSW 111-108
+7.5
25
@
SAC
SACW 123-112
+7.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 0avg +9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
−14.5
23
@GS
GSW 111-108
−17.5
25
@SAC
SACW 123-112
+0.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
−22.5
over 1under 3avg −13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Trail Blazers
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +14.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +14.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
over 2under 1avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grizzlies
4-0 overall · 4-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz110–105
- W@ Kings123–112
- W@ Warriors111–108
- Wvs Jazz123–103
3 days since their last game.
Trail Blazers
3-0 overall · 3-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
2 days since their last game.