Smoothie King Center · at Pelicans · Conference game
Closing line
NO -6.5✓ NO covered by 5.5
NO -6.5✓ NO covered by 5.5Closing total234.5Over by 17.5
 SAC | This season | NO |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 0-4 |
| 1-3 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAC 117–122 NO · ✓ NO (65%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 30 | 31 | 27 | 32 | 120 |
| NO | 24 | 39 | 39 | 30 | 132 |
1st half: SAC 61, NO 63 (NO by 2). The model had NO by 2.9 and a total of 119.3 (actual 124).
Team stats
| SAC | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-88 52% | Field goals | 50-84 60% |
| 12-37 32% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 22-32 69% |
| 39 7 off | Rebounds | 38 5 off |
| 31 | Assists | 32 |
| 12 | Steals | 18 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 62 | Points in paint | 80 |
| 29 | Fast-break points | 34 |
Players
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 41 | 34 | 6 | 14 | +3 |
| Precious Achiuwa F | 41 | 24 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| Domantas Sabonis F | 40 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -12 |
| Zach LaVine G | 39 | 21 | 3 | 5 | -25 |
| De'Andre Hunter F | 37 | 24 | 5 | 1 | -9 |
| Bench | |||||
| Emanuel Sharp G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +13 |
| Alex Karaban F | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | -10 |
| Malik Monk G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -13 |
| Nique Clifford G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 |
Did not play: Jonathan Mogbo (COACH'S DECISION), Leaky Black (COACH'S DECISION), Daeqwon Plowden (COACH'S DECISION)
| NO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones F | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | +27 |
| Trey Murphy III F | 32 | 19 | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Zion Williamson F | 31 | 22 | 6 | 2 | +5 |
| Jeremiah Fears G | 29 | 22 | 8 | 13 | +3 |
| Karlo Matkovic F | 28 | 12 | 4 | 1 | +5 |
| Bench | |||||
| Saddiq Bey G | 24 | 10 | 4 | 3 | -8 |
| Derik Queen C | 22 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +8 |
| Bennedict Mathurin G | 19 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +9 |
| Trendon Watford F | 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +7 |
| Bryce McGowens G | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Did not play: Julian Reese (COACH'S DECISION), DeAndre Jordan (COACH'S DECISION), AJ Johnson (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNO -6.5
ModelNO -5.4
Model edgeSAC +1.1
L NO covered
Total
Market234.5
Model239.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
W Over
Projected score
SAC 116.8 · NO 122.2
SAC 120 · NO 132
Win probability
NO 65%
1st half
Spread
NO -2.9
NO -2.0
Total
119.3
124 points
Projected score
SAC 58.2 · NO 61.1
SAC 61 · NO 63
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNO -5.5
1 → NO
CloseNO -6.5
1 pt toward NO
Total
Open237.5
▼ 3
Close234.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SAC +195 · NO -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NO -5.5 · closed NO -6.5 · moved 1 toward NOmodel NO -5.5
model NO -5.5
Opened 237.5 · closed 234.5 · moved 3 downmodel 239
model 239
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAClast 4 | 0-4 0% | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% |
| NOlast 4 | 0-4 0% | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 20 since 2021-22
SAC 8–12 NONO leads · 20 games since 2021-22 · SAC 6-14 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025-26 | NO 113 @ SAC 117 | SAC +6.5 | SAC W |
| Mar 5, 2025-26 | NO 133 @ SAC 123 | SAC +6.5 | NO W |
| Feb 9, 2025-26 | SAC 94 @ NO 120 | NO -9.5 | NO W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | SAC 133 @ NO 140 | NO +7.5 | NO W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | SAC 119 @ NO 111 | NO +5.5 | SAC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kings
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −8.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
LAC
LACL 96-121
−19.5
23
vs
POR
PORL 120-128
+1.5
25
vs
MEM
MEML 112-123
−7.5
27
@
SA
SAL 103-130
−7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAC
LACL 96-121
−9.5
23
vsPOR
PORL 120-128
+16.5
25
vsMEM
MEML 112-123
+0.5
27
@SA
SAL 103-130
+0.5
over 3under 1avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pelicans
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
IND
INDL 120-123
−0.5
23
@
UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@
DEN
DENL 135-141
+5.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsIND
INDL 120-123
+4.5
23
@UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@DEN
DENL 135-141
+36.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−46.5
over 3under 1avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kings
0-4 overall · 0-4 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Spurs103–130
- Lvs Grizzlies112–123
- Lvs Trail Blazers120–128
- L@ Clippers96–121
2 days since their last game.
Pelicans
0-4 overall · 0-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Nuggets91–104
- L@ Nuggets135–141
- L@ Jazz119–120
- Lvs Pacers120–123
1 day since their last game.