Intuit Dome · at Clippers · Conference game
Closing line
LAC -1.5✓ LAL covered by 17.5
LAC -1.5✓ LAL covered by 17.5Closing total224.5Under by 34.5
 LAL | This season | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 1-2 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 3-0 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAL 115–119 LAC · ✗ LAC (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 25 | 31 | 29 | 18 | 103 |
| LAC | 22 | 16 | 28 | 21 | 87 |
1st half: LAL 56, LAC 38 (LAL by 18). The model had LAC by 1.9 and a total of 117.0 (actual 94).
Team stats
| LAL | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-79 44% | Field goals | 26-74 35% |
| 9-31 29% | 3-pointers | 10-31 32% |
| 24-33 73% | Free throws | 25-27 93% |
| 48 17 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 17 |
| 15 | Steals | 13 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 24 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 24 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| LAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes G | 38 | 23 | 3 | 5 | +10 |
| Jake LaRavia F | 35 | 2 | 10 | 0 | +3 |
| Austin Reaves G | 31 | 16 | 6 | 1 | +7 |
| Matisse Thybulle G | 28 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Walker Kessler C | 26 | 11 | 9 | 1 | -7 |
| Bench | |||||
| Sandro Mamukelashvili F | 30 | 13 | 8 | 3 | +21 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt F | 21 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +22 |
| Collin Sexton G | 21 | 21 | 4 | 2 | +23 |
| Jaden Hardy G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 |
Did not play: Bronny James (COACH'S DECISION), Chris Manon (COACH'S DECISION), AK Okereke (COACH'S DECISION), Kevon Looney (COACH'S DECISION)
| LAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Jones Jr. F | 28 | 15 | 5 | 0 | -5 |
| Kris Dunn G | 27 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -5 |
| Kobe Sanders G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 0 | -5 |
| Darius Garland G | 26 | 14 | 1 | 5 | -11 |
| Isaiah Jackson F | 19 | 4 | 5 | 1 | -2 |
| Bench | |||||
| Keaton Wagler G | 28 | 21 | 4 | 2 | -10 |
| Brook Lopez C | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -21 |
| Gradey Dick G | 19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | -14 |
| Baba Miller F | 17 | 4 | 7 | 1 | -9 |
| Cam Christie G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| Jalen Pickett G | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 |
| Nick Martinelli F | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLAC -1.5
ModelLAC -3.7
Model edgeLAC +2.2
L LAL covered
Total
Market224.5
Model234.0
Model edgeOver 9.5
L Under
Projected score
LAL 115.2 · LAC 118.8
LAL 103 · LAC 87
Win probability
LAC 60%
1st half
Spread
LAC -1.9
LAL -18.0
Total
117.0
94 points
Projected score
LAL 57.5 · LAC 59.5
LAL 56 · LAC 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAL -5.5
7 → LAC
CloseLAC -1.5
7 pts toward LAC
Total
Open228.5
▼ 4
Close224.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
LAL -108 · LAC -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAL -5.5 · closed LAC -1.5 · moved 7 toward LACmodel LAC -3.5
model LAC -3.5
Opened 228.5 · closed 224.5 · moved 4 downmodel 234
model 234
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LALlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% |
| LAClast 3 | 1-2 33% | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 21 since 2021-22
LAL 9–12 LACLAC leads · 21 games since 2021-22 · LAL has won the last 2 meetings · LAL 8-13 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026-27 | LAC 117 @ LAL 125 | LAL -8.5 | LAC W |
| Feb 20, 2025-26 | LAC 122 @ LAL 125 | LAL -7.5 | LAC W |
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | LAL 104 @ LAC 112 | LAC -2.5 | LAC W |
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | LAL 88 @ LAC 103 | LAC +1.5 | LAC W |
| Nov 25, 2025-26 | LAC 118 @ LAL 135 | LAL -6.5 | LAL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lakers
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +15.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
GS
GSW 127-105
+15.5
23
vsLAC
LACW 125-117
−0.5
25
@
UTAH
UTAHW 132-123
+2.5
27
vs
POR
PORL 129-136
−8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsGS
GSW 127-105
−1.5
23
vsLAC
LACW 125-117
+16.5
25
@UTAH
UTAHW 132-123
+17.5
27
vsPOR
PORL 129-136
+30.5
over 3under 1avg +15.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clippers
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +9.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
SAC
SACW 121-96
+19.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+0.5
25
@
OKC
OKCL 101-108
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsSAC
SACW 121-96
−9.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+16.5
25
@OKC
OKCL 101-108
−14.5
over 1under 2avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lakers
3-1 overall · 3-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers129–136
- W@ Jazz132–123
- Wvs Clippers125–117
- Wvs Warriors127–105
1 day since their last game.
Clippers
1-2 overall · 1-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Thunder101–108
- L@ Lakers117–125
- Wvs Kings121–96
3 days since their last game.