Rocket Arena · at Cavaliers · Conference game
Closing line
CLE -9.5✓ CLE covered by 0.5
CLE -9.5✓ CLE covered by 0.5Closing total240.5Under by 8.5
 WSH | This season | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 2-1 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 0-3 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WSH 113–125 CLE · ✓ CLE (79%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 42 | 27 | 23 | 19 | 111 |
| CLE | 34 | 25 | 33 | 29 | 121 |
1st half: WSH 69, CLE 59 (WSH by 10). The model had CLE by 6.2 and a total of 118.8 (actual 128).
Team stats
| WSH | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-83 53% | Field goals | 43-91 47% |
| 8-32 25% | 3-pointers | 14-38 37% |
| 15-17 88% | Free throws | 21-22 95% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 47 15 off |
| 31 | Assists | 26 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 66 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| WSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George F | 38 | 8 | 2 | 11 | -14 |
| Anthony Davis F | 34 | 18 | 5 | 3 | -11 |
| Trae Young G | 33 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +3 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 27 | 19 | 2 | 2 | -3 |
| Alex Sarr C | 26 | 18 | 4 | 2 | -3 |
| Bench | |||||
| Bilal Coulibaly G | 27 | 17 | 2 | 0 | -3 |
| Khris Middleton F | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -6 |
| Bub Carrington G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -11 |
| Deandre Ayton C | 12 | 10 | 3 | 0 | -2 |
Did not play: Anthony Gill (COACH'S DECISION), Tre Mann (COACH'S DECISION), Will Riley (COACH'S DECISION), Tre Johnson (COACH'S DECISION)
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 6 | +5 |
| Evan Mobley C | 32 | 24 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| Donovan Mitchell G | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | +2 |
| Jarrett Allen C | 30 | 8 | 12 | 2 | +6 |
| Peyton Watson G | 28 | 22 | 6 | 2 | +4 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jaylon Tyson G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +4 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +11 |
| Sam Merrill G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +8 |
| Mario Hezonja F | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +10 |
| Tyrese Proctor G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Did not play: Craig Porter Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Tristan Enaruna (COACH'S DECISION), Riley Minix (COACH'S DECISION), Thomas Bryant (COACH'S DECISION)
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCLE -9.5
ModelCLE -11.3
Model edgeCLE +1.8
W CLE covered
Total
Market240.5
Model237.8
Model edgeUnder 2.8
W Under
Projected score
WSH 113.2 · CLE 124.5
WSH 111 · CLE 121
Win probability
CLE 79%
1st half
Spread
CLE -6.2
WSH -10.0
Total
118.8
128 points
Projected score
WSH 56.3 · CLE 62.5
WSH 69 · CLE 59
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLE -10.5
1 → WSH
CloseCLE -9.5
1 pt toward WSH
Total
Open239.5
▲ 1
Close240.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WSH +310 · CLE -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLE -10.5 · closed CLE -9.5 · moved 1 toward WSHmodel CLE -11.5
model CLE -11.5
Opened 239.5 · closed 240.5 · moved 1 upmodel 238
model 238
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSHlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
| CLElast 3 | 2-1 67% | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 19 since 2021-22
WSH 2–17 CLECLE leads · 19 games since 2021-22 · CLE has won the last 16 meetings · WSH 7-12 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025-26 | WSH 117 @ CLE 130 | CLE -10.5 | CLE W |
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | WSH 113 @ CLE 138 | CLE -17.5 | CLE W |
| Dec 12, 2025-26 | CLE 130 @ WSH 126 | WSH +16.5 | WSH W |
| Nov 7, 2025-26 | CLE 148 @ WSH 115 | WSH +13.5 | CLE W |
| Feb 7, 2024-25 | CLE 134 @ WSH 124 | WSH +17.5 | WSH W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wizards
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
MIL
MILW 128-116
+7.5
23
vs
TOR
TORL 102-112
−0.5
24
@
CHI
CHIW 124-120
+5.5
26
@
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsMIL
MILW 128-116
+4.5
23
vsTOR
TORL 102-112
−22.5
24
@CHI
CHIW 124-120
−0.5
26
@CHA
CHAL 103-110
−12.5
over 1under 3avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cavaliers
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
22
@
PHI
PHIL 106-114
−5.5
24
vs
BKN
BKNW 125-121
−7.5
26
vs
MIN
MINW 127-125
−1.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
22
@PHI
PHIL 106-114
−17.5
24
vsBKN
BKNW 125-121
+17.5
26
vsMIN
MINW 127-125
+17.5
over 2under 1avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wizards
2-2 overall · 2-2 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Hornets103–110
- W@ Bulls124–120
- Lvs Raptors102–112
- Wvs Bucks128–116
2 days since their last game.
Cavaliers
2-1 overall · 1-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves127–125
- Wvs Nets125–121
- L@ 76ers106–114
2 days since their last game.