Spectrum Center · at Hornets · Conference game
Closing line
CHA -2.5✓ CHA covered by 4.5
CHA -2.5✓ CHA covered by 4.5Closing total225.5Under by 12.5
 WSH | This season | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 0-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WSH 112–118 CHA · ✓ CHA (68%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 21 | 23 | 24 | 35 | 103 |
| CHA | 19 | 35 | 26 | 30 | 110 |
1st half: WSH 44, CHA 54 (CHA by 10). The model had CHA by 3.5 and a total of 114.9 (actual 98).
Team stats
| WSH | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-85 48% | Field goals | 42-97 43% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 12-39 31% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 41 10 off | Rebounds | 54 20 off |
| 21 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 24 | Fouls | 15 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| WSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young G | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | -5 |
| Anthony Davis F | 36 | 29 | 10 | 0 | +6 |
| Kyshawn George F | 29 | 20 | 4 | 2 | +14 |
| Bilal Coulibaly G | 29 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -10 |
| Alex Sarr C | 26 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| Bench | |||||
| Bub Carrington G | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +1 |
| Tre Johnson G | 23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | -3 |
| Khris Middleton F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -17 |
| Deandre Ayton C | 12 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -14 |
| Will Riley G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -8 |
| Justin Champagnie F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 |
Did not play: Felix Okpara (COACH'S DECISION), Tre Mann (COACH'S DECISION), Anthony Gill (COACH'S DECISION)
| CHA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder G | 36 | 8 | 2 | 5 | -1 |
| Brandon Miller F | 36 | 39 | 6 | 1 | +16 |
| Moussa Diabate F | 35 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| Sion James G | 29 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Naz Reid C | 29 | 18 | 12 | 1 | -4 |
| Bench | |||||
| Grayson Allen G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +3 |
| Tidjane Salaun F | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +6 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner C | 13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +7 |
| Christian Anderson G | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +7 |
| Royce O'Neale F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Did not play: PJ Hall (COACH'S DECISION), Liam McNeeley (COACH'S DECISION), Hannes Steinbach (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCHA -2.5
ModelCHA -6.4
Model edgeCHA +3.9
W CHA covered
Total
Market225.5
Model229.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
L Under
Projected score
WSH 111.6 · CHA 118
WSH 103 · CHA 110
Win probability
CHA 68%
1st half
Spread
CHA -3.5
CHA -10.0
Total
114.9
98 points
Projected score
WSH 55.7 · CHA 59.2
WSH 44 · CHA 54
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCHA -2.5
no move
CloseCHA -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open228.5
▼ 3
Close225.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
WSH +120 · CHA -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CHA -2.5 · unchangedmodel CHA -6.5
model CHA -6.5
Opened 228.5 · closed 225.5 · moved 3 downmodel 229.5
model 229.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSHlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
| CHAlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 0-3 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 20 since 2021-22
WSH 10–10 CHASeries tied · 20 games since 2021-22 · CHA has won the last 4 meetings · WSH 11-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025-26 | CHA 129 @ WSH 112 | WSH +10.5 | CHA W |
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | WSH 115 @ CHA 119 | CHA -11.5 | WSH W |
| Dec 23, 2025-26 | WSH 109 @ CHA 126 | CHA -6.5 | CHA W |
| Oct 26, 2025-26 | CHA 139 @ WSH 113 | WSH -1.5 | CHA W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | WSH 113 @ CHA 100 | CHA -3.5 | WSH W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wizards
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
MIL
MILW 128-116
+7.5
23
vs
TOR
TORL 102-112
−0.5
24
@
CHI
CHIW 124-120
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsMIL
MILW 128-116
+4.5
23
vsTOR
TORL 102-112
−22.5
24
@CHI
CHIW 124-120
−0.5
over 1under 2avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hornets
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −9.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
BKN
BKNW 110-103
+5.5
23
vs
ATL
ATLL 81-128
−44.5
24
vs
MIA
MIAW 115-110
+9.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@BKN
BKNW 110-103
−7.5
23
vsATL
ATLL 81-128
−17.5
24
vsMIA
MIAW 115-110
−2.5
over 0under 3avg −9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wizards
2-1 overall · 2-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Bulls124–120
- Lvs Raptors102–112
- Wvs Bucks128–116
2 days since their last game.
Hornets
2-1 overall · 2-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Heat115–110
- Lvs Hawks81–128
- W@ Nets110–103
2 days since their last game.