Rocket Arena · at Cavaliers
Closing line
CLE -3.5✓ MIN covered by 1.5
CLE -3.5✓ MIN covered by 1.5Closing total234.5Over by 17.5
 MIN | This season | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 1-1 |
| 3-0 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 0-3 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIN 115–114 CLE · ✗ MIN (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 31 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 12 | 125 |
| CLE | 24 | 26 | 36 | 27 | 14 | 127 |
1st half: MIN 60, CLE 50 (MIN by 10). The model had MIN by 1.0 and a total of 114.8 (actual 110).
Team stats
| MIN | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-100 49% | Field goals | 46-102 45% |
| 13-40 33% | 3-pointers | 18-45 40% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 52 15 off | Rebounds | 49 13 off |
| 25 | Assists | 30 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 7 | Blocks | 8 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
| 58 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| MIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards G | 41 | 47 | 4 | 4 | +11 |
| Jaden McDaniels F | 37 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +5 |
| Rudy Gobert C | 36 | 5 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| Jonathan Kuminga F | 36 | 10 | 10 | 1 | +10 |
| LaMelo Ball G | 31 | 11 | 0 | 6 | -10 |
| Bench | |||||
| Ayo Dosunmu G | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | -2 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. G | 24 | 14 | 4 | 5 | -13 |
| Joan Beringer F | 17 | 12 | 7 | 0 | -3 |
| Trey Lyles F | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -9 |
| Bones Hyland G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
Did not play: Jaylen Clark (COACH'S DECISION), Zyon Pullin (COACH'S DECISION), Cody Williams (COACH'S DECISION), Isaiah Evans (COACH'S DECISION)
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden G | 39 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Donovan Mitchell G | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | -4 |
| Evan Mobley C | 38 | 18 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| Peyton Watson G | 37 | 15 | 8 | 1 | -7 |
| Jarrett Allen C | 27 | 10 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| Bench | |||||
| Sam Merrill G | 31 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +13 |
| Jaylon Tyson G | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | +15 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | +1 |
| Mario Hezonja F | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -6 |
Did not play: Tristan Enaruna (COACH'S DECISION), Thomas Bryant (COACH'S DECISION), Craig Porter Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Tyrese Proctor (COACH'S DECISION), Riley Minix (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCLE -3.5
ModelMIN -1.5
Model edgeMIN +5.0
W MIN covered
Total
Market234.5
Model229.2
Model edgeUnder 5.3
L Over
Projected score
MIN 115.4 · CLE 113.8
MIN 125 · CLE 127
Win probability
MIN 54%
1st half
Spread
MIN -1.0
MIN -10.0
Total
114.8
110 points
Projected score
MIN 57.9 · CLE 56.9
MIN 60 · CLE 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLE -4.5
1 → MIN
CloseCLE -3.5
1 pt toward MIN
Total
Open232.5
▲ 2
Close234.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MIN +130 · CLE -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLE -4.5 · closed CLE -3.5 · moved 1 toward MINmodel MIN -1.5
model MIN -1.5
Opened 232.5 · closed 234.5 · moved 2 upmodel 229
model 229
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 3-0 100% | 0-3 0% |
| CLElast 2 | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MIN 5–5 CLESeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · MIN 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | MIN 134 @ CLE 146 | CLE -2.5 | CLE W |
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | CLE 122 @ MIN 131 | MIN -3.5 | MIN W |
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | MIN 107 @ CLE 128 | CLE -7.5 | CLE W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CLE 124 @ MIN 117 | MIN +4.5 | CLE W |
| Mar 22, 2023-24 | CLE 91 @ MIN 104 | MIN -7.5 | MIN W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Timberwolves
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +23.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −15.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MIA
MIAW 131-106
+26.5
23
@
ORL
ORLW 115-93
+23.5
25
vs
TOR
TORW 117-94
+19.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +23.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MIA
MIAW 131-106
−3.5
23
@ORL
ORLW 115-93
−26.5
25
vsTOR
TORW 117-94
−17.5
over 0under 3avg −15.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cavaliers
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
22
@
PHI
PHIL 106-114
−5.5
24
vs
BKN
BKNW 125-121
−7.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
22
@PHI
PHIL 106-114
−17.5
24
vsBKN
BKNW 125-121
+17.5
over 1under 1avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Timberwolves
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Raptors117–94
- W@ Magic115–93
- W@ Heat131–106
1 day since their last game.
Cavaliers
1-1 overall · 1-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Nets125–121
- L@ 76ers106–114
2 days since their last game.