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Half final
2-1 · #24
44
2-1 · #23
54
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 114.9
Projected
56–59
✓ CHA won
Half final
3-0 · #2
60
1-1 · #11
50
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 114.8
Projected
58–57
✓ MIN won
Half final
1-2 · #28
54
1-1 · #5
66
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 115.5
Projected
53–63
✓ BOS won
Half final
1-2 · #17
53
Heat
0-3 · #18
52
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 119.5
Projected
59–60
✗ MIA lost
Half final
2-1 · #25
61
0-3 · #29
50
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 118.4
Projected
59–60
✗ MIL lost
Half final
Suns
1-1 · #21
53
3-0 · #6
67
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 110.0
Projected
51–59
✓ OKC won
Half final
2-1 · #14
66
3-0 · #1
63
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 115.2
Projected
57–59
✗ HOU lost
Half final
3-0 · #12
58
Jazz
1-2 · #26
52
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 119.5
Projected
60–60
✗ UTAH lost
Half final
0-3 · #13
60
1-1 · #15
56
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 118.3
Projected
57–62
✗ DEN lost
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Half final
2-1 · #24
44
2-1 · #23
54
— — CHA -3.5 — 114.9 — 62% CHA ›
Half final
3-0 · #2
60
1-1 · #11
50
— — MIN -1.0 — 114.8 — 54% MIN ›
Half final
1-2 · #28
54
1-1 · #5
66
— — BOS -9.4 — 115.5 — 80% BOS ›
Half final
1-2 · #17
53
0-3 · #18
52
— — MIA -1.0 — 119.5 — 53% MIA ›
Half final
2-1 · #25
61
0-3 · #29
50
— — MIL -0.9 — 118.4 — 53% MIL ›
Half final
1-1 · #21
53
3-0 · #6
67
— — OKC -7.5 — 110.0 — 75% OKC ›
Half final
2-1 · #14
66
3-0 · #1
63
— — HOU -2.3 — 115.2 — 58% HOU ›
Half final
3-0 · #12
58
1-2 · #26
52
— — UTAH -0.1 — 119.5 — 51% UTAH ›
Half final
0-3 · #13
60
1-1 · #15
56
— — DEN -5.3 — 118.3 — 68% DEN ›
1st-half market lines come from the sportsbooks that post them (they appear within a day of tip-off); the model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record