Paycom Center · at Thunder · Conference game
Closing line
OKC -8.5✓ OKC covered by 2.5
OKC -8.5✓ OKC covered by 2.5Closing total221.5Over by 17.5
 PHX | This season | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 0-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PHX 103–116 OKC · ✓ OKC (83%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 27 | 26 | 32 | 29 | 114 |
| OKC | 33 | 34 | 32 | 26 | 125 |
1st half: PHX 53, OKC 67 (OKC by 14). The model had OKC by 7.5 and a total of 110.0 (actual 120).
Team stats
| PHX | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-91 43% | Field goals | 44-86 51% |
| 18-50 36% | 3-pointers | 12-32 38% |
| 18-25 72% | Free throws | 25-29 86% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 48 12 off |
| 29 | Assists | 24 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 24 | Fouls | 20 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| PHX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker G | 34 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 |
| Dillon Brooks F | 33 | 19 | 5 | 5 | -12 |
| Miles Bridges F | 32 | 17 | 8 | 4 | -17 |
| Jalen Green G | 31 | 20 | 4 | 4 | -10 |
| Khaman Maluach C | 26 | 12 | 7 | 1 | -2 |
| Bench | |||||
| Collin Gillespie G | 23 | 9 | 1 | 2 | -16 |
| Jordan Goodwin G | 17 | 12 | 4 | 2 | -10 |
| Luke Kennard G | 16 | 9 | 1 | 2 | -6 |
| Ryan Dunn F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +5 |
| Duop Reath C | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +3 |
| Koa Peat F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7 |
| Rasheer Fleming F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +7 |
| Jamaree Bouyea G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +7 |
Did not play: CJ Huntley (COACH'S DECISION), Koby Brea (COACH'S DECISION)
| OKC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCain G | 30 | 18 | 3 | 4 | +6 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G | 30 | 26 | 3 | 3 | +10 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein C | 26 | 15 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| Ajay Mitchell G | 25 | 30 | 2 | 5 | +18 |
| Kenrich Williams G | 24 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jaylin Williams F | 26 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +8 |
| Bennett Stirtz G | 25 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
| Josh Dix G | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 |
| Aday Mara C | 20 | 11 | 10 | 2 | +13 |
| Alex Caruso G | 9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +14 |
| Brooks Barnhizer F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Did not play: Otega Oweh (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOKC -8.5
ModelOKC -13.6
Model edgeOKC +5.1
W OKC covered
Total
Market221.5
Model218.9
Model edgeUnder 2.6
L Over
Projected score
PHX 102.7 · OKC 116.3
PHX 114 · OKC 125
Win probability
OKC 83%
1st half
Spread
OKC -7.5
OKC -14.0
Total
110.0
120 points
Projected score
PHX 51.2 · OKC 58.8
PHX 53 · OKC 67
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOKC -9.5
1 → PHX
CloseOKC -8.5
1 pt toward PHX
Total
Open218.5
▲ 3
Close221.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
PHX +260 · OKC -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OKC -9.5 · closed OKC -8.5 · moved 1 toward PHXmodel OKC -13.5
model OKC -13.5
Opened 218.5 · closed 221.5 · moved 3 upmodel 219
model 219
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHXlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% |
| OKClast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 0-3 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 23 since 2021-22
PHX 8–15 OKCOKC leads · 23 games since 2021-22 · OKC has won the last 4 meetings · PHX 9-13-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025-26 | OKC 131 @ PHX 122 | PHX +11.5 | PHX W |
| Apr 25, 2025-26 | OKC 121 @ PHX 109 | PHX +8.5 | OKC W |
| Apr 22, 2025-26 | PHX 107 @ OKC 120 | OKC -17.5 | PHX W |
| Apr 19, 2025-26 | PHX 84 @ OKC 119 | OKC -16.5 | OKC W |
| Apr 12, 2025-26 | PHX 135 @ OKC 103 | OKC -7.5 | PHX W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Suns
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −19 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
POR
PORL 83-124
−37.5
24
vs
GS
GSW 131-122
−0.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −19 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@POR
PORL 83-124
−25.5
24
vsGS
GSW 131-122
+31.5
over 1under 1avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Thunder
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −26.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
SA
SAW 116-104
+10.5
22
vs
DEN
DENW 96-84
+4.5
25
vs
LAC
LACW 108-101
−9.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@SA
SAW 116-104
−9.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 96-84
−56.5
25
vsLAC
LACW 108-101
−14.5
over 0under 3avg −26.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Suns
1-1 overall · 1-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Warriors131–122
- L@ Trail Blazers83–124
2 days since their last game.
Thunder
3-0 overall · 3-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Clippers108–101
- Wvs Nuggets96–84
- W@ Spurs116–104
1 day since their last game.