TD Garden · at Celtics · Conference game
Closing line
BOS -14.5✓ BOS covered by 20.5
BOS -14.5✓ BOS covered by 20.5Closing total233.5Under by 0.5
 CHI | This season | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CHI 107–124 BOS · ✓ BOS (89%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 21 | 33 | 21 | 24 | 99 |
| BOS | 33 | 33 | 39 | 29 | 134 |
1st half: CHI 54, BOS 66 (BOS by 12). The model had BOS by 9.4 and a total of 115.5 (actual 120).
Team stats
| CHI | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-84 39% | Field goals | 46-93 49% |
| 12-44 27% | 3-pointers | 21-44 48% |
| 21-31 68% | Free throws | 21-29 72% |
| 40 14 off | Rebounds | 54 19 off |
| 20 | Assists | 26 |
| 12 | Steals | 14 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 25 |
| 28 | Fouls | 28 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CHI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson F | 32 | 17 | 5 | 3 | -3 |
| Norman Powell G | 24 | 20 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
| Josh Giddey G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 4 | -11 |
| Matas Buzelis F | 22 | 11 | 1 | 2 | -27 |
| Jalen Smith F | 20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Bench | |||||
| Noa Essengue F | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -25 |
| Tre Jones G | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | -17 |
| Leonard Miller F | 14 | 9 | 9 | 0 | -26 |
| Buddy Hield G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -29 |
| Dailyn Swain G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -5 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
| Tobe Awaka F | 12 | 4 | 6 | 0 | -5 |
| Isaac Okoro F | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +5 |
| Jordan Hawkins G | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -4 |
| Zach Collins F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -20 |
| BOS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum F | 28 | 23 | 7 | 6 | +18 |
| Paul George F | 25 | 16 | 5 | 2 | +15 |
| Derrick White G | 18 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| Jordan Walsh G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 |
| Mitchell Robinson C | 16 | 7 | 7 | 0 | +4 |
| Bench | |||||
| Hugo Gonzalez G | 24 | 13 | 5 | 2 | +34 |
| Payton Pritchard G | 22 | 28 | 1 | 4 | +22 |
| Sam Hauser F | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +36 |
| Neemias Queta C | 19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +32 |
| Baylor Scheierman G | 18 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -2 |
| Luka Garza C | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| Ron Harper Jr. G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 |
| Mike Conley G | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +7 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -2 |
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBOS -14.5
ModelBOS -16.9
Model edgeBOS +2.4
W BOS covered
Total
Market233.5
Model230.8
Model edgeUnder 2.7
W Under
Projected score
CHI 107 · BOS 123.8
CHI 99 · BOS 134
Win probability
BOS 89%
1st half
Spread
BOS -9.4
BOS -12.0
Total
115.5
120 points
Projected score
CHI 53.1 · BOS 62.5
CHI 54 · BOS 66
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBOS -13.5
1 → BOS
CloseBOS -14.5
1 pt toward BOS
Total
Open233.5
no move
Close233.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CHI +525 · BOS -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BOS -13.5 · closed BOS -14.5 · moved 1 toward BOSmodel BOS -17
model BOS -17
Opened 233.5 · unchangedmodel 231
model 231
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHIlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| BOSlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
CHI 5–12 BOSBOS leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · CHI 9-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | CHI 105 @ BOS 124 | BOS -13.5 | BOS W |
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | BOS 111 @ CHI 114 | CHI +3.5 | CHI W |
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | CHI 101 @ BOS 115 | BOS -10.5 | BOS W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | CHI 100 @ BOS 122 | BOS -14.5 | BOS W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | BOS 123 @ CHI 98 | CHI +12.5 | BOS W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bulls
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −9.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
TOR
TORL 92-135
−32.5
23
@
MIL
MILW 132-125
+8.5
24
vs
WSH
WSHL 120-124
−5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@TOR
TORL 92-135
−10.5
23
@MIL
MILW 132-125
+15.5
24
vsWSH
WSHL 120-124
−0.5
over 1under 2avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Celtics
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
DET
DETL 113-121
−9.5
23
vs
NY
NYW 107-103
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@DET
DETL 113-121
+13.5
23
vsNY
NYW 107-103
−10.5
over 1under 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bulls
1-2 overall · 1-2 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Wizards120–124
- W@ Bucks132–125
- L@ Raptors92–135
2 days since their last game.
Celtics
1-1 overall · 1-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Knicks107–103
- L@ Pistons113–121
3 days since their last game.