1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 3
  3. WOF @ TENN
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 3

Wofford Terriers at Tennessee Volunteers

Food City Center · at Tennessee
#249WOFWofford
@
#7TENNTennessee AP #8
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WOFThis seasonTENN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TENN 94–58 · win probability TENN 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 152.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TENN has more of the edges

WOF 2, TENN 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
WOF has played the 283rd-hardest schedule, TENN the 7th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TENNBig
TENN offense vs WOF defense
Offense 9th of 366 against a defense 258th, on the model’s ratings
TENNBig
WOF offense vs TENN defense
Offense 241st of 366 against a defense 9th, on the model’s ratings
TENNBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WOF 29.8%, TENN 44.7%. Defensive: WOF 71.0%, TENN 72.2%
TENNBig
Three-pointers
WOF hits 35.0% and allows 36.4%; TENN hits 33.4% and allows 30.5%. Threes are 43.1% and 32.1% of their shots
TENNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: WOF 52.5 and allows 53.8; TENN 51.4 and allows 47.8
WOFSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WOF 13.4%, TENN 17.4%. Forced: WOF 15.0%, TENN 16.1%
WOFSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WOF 43%, TENN 13%. Transfers in: WOF 1, TENN 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
TENNSmall
Home court
TENN at home. This season: TENN 0-0 at home, WOF 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WOF 36.2, TENN 37.4. Allowed: WOF 36.9, TENN 36.3
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: WOF plays 68.7 a game (198th fastest), TENN 68.1 (226th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TENN -35.9—
Total—152.3—
Projected score—WOF 58.2 · TENN 94.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTENN -21.2—
1H total71.2—
1H projected scoreWOF 25 · TENN 46.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Tennessee has the better starters

Position by position: Wofford 0, Tennessee 4, even 1
WoffordBetterTennessee
G L. Flynn5.6 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 10
TENNBig
G J. Harris TR21.4 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 99
G C. Watley9.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 28
TENNBig
G T. Lundblade TR15.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 63
G C. Arias TR6.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
TENNBig
G D. Dai Ames TR17 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast Score 83
F B. Sumpter6.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 34
TENNSmall
F B. Lue TR10.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.3 ast Score 53
F C. Richards3 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
C M. Rubin TR11.3 pts · 7.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 83
WoffordBetterTennessee
WOF offense241st of 366 · -7.3
TENNBig
TENN defense9th of 366 · +8.2
WOF defense258th of 366 · -6.7
TENNBig
TENN offense9th of 366 · +10.4
Backcourt-5.7 · 3 players
TENNBig
Backcourt+8.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.4 · 2 players
TENNBig
Frontcourt+3.1 · 2 players
Bench-0.2 · 2 players
TENNBig
Bench+11.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestWOF betterTENN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Wofford
Guards
L. Flynn27 minC. Watley25 minC. Arias18 min · TRD. Miller2 minG. Collins2 minC. LoweNew
Forwards
B. Sumpter23 minC. Richards8 minC. SiskNew
Centers
E. RamseyNew
Tennessee
Guards
J. Harris35 min · TRT. Lundblade35 min · TRD. Dai Ames32 min · TRJ. Haralson27 min · TRT. Hill25 min · TRT. Henderson7 min
Forwards
B. Lue27 min · TRJ. Washington21 min · TRD. Brown15 minC. Fermin13 min · TRC. WashingtonNewR. ScottNew
Centers
M. Rubin30 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WOFTENN
Scoring
78.4 #90Points per game78.8 #81
1.14 #74Points per possession1.16 #49
68.7 #198Pace (possessions)68.1 #226
Shooting
52.5 #127Effective FG%51.4 #174
35.0 #1193-point %33.4 #201
43.1 #1123-point attempt rate32.1 #328
36.2 #144Free throw rate37.4 #115
Possessions
13.4 #12Turnover rate17.4 #227
29.8 #212Offensive rebound rate44.7 #1
13.8 #161Assists per game17.1 #24
Defense
78.6 #282Points allowed69.6 #58
1.15 #317Points allowed per possession1.02 #43
53.8 #294Opponent effective FG%47.8 #37
36.4 #322Opponent 3-point %30.5 #21
15.0 #291Turnovers forced16.1 #215
71.0 #101Defensive rebound rate72.2 #61
5.6 #283Steals per game7.3 #101
3.1 #201Blocks per game3.7 #114
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Wofford

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNC Greensboro72–75
  • Lvs The Citadel90–93
  • W@ ETSU72–69
  • Lvs Furman67–76
  • Wvs VMI82–76

A week or more of rest.

Tennessee

25-12 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan62–95
  • Wvs Iowa State76–62
  • Wvs Virginia79–72
  • Wvs Miami OH78–56
  • Lvs Vanderbilt68–75

A week or more of rest.