Wofford Terriers at Queens University Royals: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ETCurry Arena · at Queens University Royals

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Wofford and Queens University Royals
WOF	This season	QUC
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects QUC 84–76 · win probability QUC 75%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 160.0

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WOF has more of the edges

WOF 3, QUC 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

QUCBig

QUC offense vs WOF defense

Offense 102nd of 366 against a defense 258th, on the model’s ratings

WOFSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: WOF 29.8%, QUC 30.2%. Defensive: WOF 71.0%, QUC 66.4%

WOFSmall

WOF offense vs QUC defense

Offense 241st of 366 against a defense 331st, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

WOF has played the 283rd-hardest schedule, QUC the 194th. A record against a soft schedule means less

WOFSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: WOF 43%, QUC 0%. Transfers in: WOF 1, QUC 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: WOF plays 68.7 a game (198th fastest), QUC 71.2 (65th). Faster games mean more points

QUCSmall

Home court

QUC at home. This season: QUC 0-0 at home, WOF 0-0 away

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: WOF 52.5 and allows 53.8; QUC 56.4 and allows 54.6

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: WOF 36.2, QUC 35.4. Allowed: WOF 36.9, QUC 38.1

Even

Three-pointers

WOF hits 35.0% and allows 36.4%; QUC hits 35.7% and allows 36.5%. Threes are 43.1% and 46.5% of their shots

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: WOF 13.4%, QUC 14.8%. Forced: WOF 15.0%, QUC 15.1%

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	QUC -7.9	—
Total	—	160.0	—
Projected score	—	WOF 76.1 · QUC 84

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	QUC -4.6	—
1H total	74.8	—
1H projected score	WOF 35.1 · QUC 39.7	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WOF LLWLL	15-15	50%	9-7	—
QUC LLWWL	15-19	44%	8-5	—

Venue/role: WOF away; QUC home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
WOF UUUOU	15-15	50%	17-13
QUC UUOOO	22-12	65%	20-14

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WOF	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%
QUC	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Wofford

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 18	@ CHSO	No recent meeting
Nov 21	vs WIN	No recent meeting
Nov 24	vs QUC	No recent meeting

Queens University Royals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ LSU	No recent meeting
Nov 24	@ WOF	No recent meeting
Nov 29	@ HOU	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Wofford

30 games played

Straight up

17-13

57% wins

Against the spread

15-15

50% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-15

50% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

17-1357%

L W L W W L W W L W L W W W L L W W W W L W W L L W L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

15-1550%

L W L W L L W W L W W W L W L L W W W W L W W L L L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

15-1550%

U O O O O O O U U U O U O O O U U O U U O U U O O U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@GMU	L 46-70	+14.5	L −9.5	140.5	U 116
Nov 8	vsMILW	W 86-76	+3.5	W +13.5	150.5	O 162
Nov 11	@AUB	L 62-93	+27.5	L −3.5	152.5	O 155
Nov 15	@BELL	W 94-86	-3.5	W +4.5	156.5	O 180
Nov 19	vsUNF	W 86-78	-10.5	L −2.5	161.5	O 164
Nov 26	@NKU	L 83-93	+3.5	L −6.5	149.5	O 176
Nov 29	@EKU	W 83-77	-1.5	W +4.5	153.5	O 160
Dec 3	vsPRES	W 63-56	-4.5	W +2.5	138.5	U 119
Dec 6	vsELON	L 52-73	-4.5	L −25.5	161.5	U 125
Dec 15	@GWEB	W 83-57	-10.5	W +15.5	155.5	U 140
Dec 17	@WICH	L 73-84	+12.5	W +1.5	144.5	O 157
Dec 31	@WCU	W 79-74	-2.5	W +2.5	154.5	U 153
Jan 3	@CIT	W 95-86	-9.5	L −0.5	144.5	O 181
Jan 7	vsUNCG	W 97-85	-7.5	W +4.5	153.5	O 182
Jan 10	@MER	L 97-109	+3.5	L −8.5	156.5	O 206
Jan 14	vsUTC	L 67-76	-5.5	L −14.5	154.5	U 143
Jan 17	@FUR	W 74-70	+4.5	W +8.5	149.5	U 144
Jan 21	vsSAM	W 88-78	-3.5	W +6.5	154.5	O 166
Jan 24	vsMER	W 80-77	+2.5	W +5.5	157.5	U 157
Jan 29	@UTC	W 81-55	+1.5	W +27.5	150.5	U 136
Feb 1	vsETSU	L 72-86	+1.5	L −12.5	146.5	O 158
Feb 4	@VMI	W 81-67	-8.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 148
Feb 7	vsWCU	W 77-66	-3.5	W +7.5	154.5	U 143
Feb 11	@SAM	L 80-97	+6.5	L −10.5	150.5	O 177
Feb 14	@UNCG	L 89-99	-2.5	L −12.5	154.5	O 188
Feb 18	vsVMI	W 82-76	-13.5	L −7.5	158.5	U 158
Feb 21	vsFUR	L 67-76	+1.5	L −7.5	153.5	U 143
Feb 25	@ETSU	W 72-69	+6.5	W +9.5	149.5	U 141
Feb 28	vsCIT	L 90-93	-11.5	L −14.5	148.5	O 183
Mar 7	vsUNCG	L 72-75	-4.5	L −7.5	155.5	U 147

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

GMU

L 46-70

−9.5

MILW

W 86-76

+13.5

AUB

L 62-93

−3.5

BELL

W 94-86

+4.5

UNF

W 86-78

−2.5

NKU

L 83-93

−6.5

EKU

W 83-77

+4.5

PRES

W 63-56

+2.5

ELON

L 52-73

−25.5

GWEB

W 83-57

+15.5

WICH

L 73-84

+1.5

WCU

W 79-74

+2.5

CIT

W 95-86

−0.5

UNCG

W 97-85

+4.5

MER

L 97-109

−8.5

UTC

L 67-76

−14.5

FUR

W 74-70

+8.5

SAM

W 88-78

+6.5

MER

W 80-77

+5.5

UTC

W 81-55

+27.5

ETSU

L 72-86

−12.5

VMI

W 81-67

+5.5

WCU

W 77-66

+7.5

SAM

L 80-97

−10.5

UNCG

L 89-99

−12.5

VMI

W 82-76

−7.5

FUR

L 67-76

−7.5

ETSU

W 72-69

+9.5

CIT

L 90-93

−14.5

UNCG

L 72-75

−7.5

covered 15didn’t cover 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

GMU

L 46-70

−24.5

MILW

W 86-76

+11.5

AUB

L 62-93

+2.5

BELL

W 94-86

+23.5

UNF

W 86-78

+2.5

NKU

L 83-93

+26.5

EKU

W 83-77

+6.5

PRES

W 63-56

−19.5

ELON

L 52-73

−36.5

GWEB

W 83-57

−15.5

WICH

L 73-84

+12.5

WCU

W 79-74

−1.5

CIT

W 95-86

+36.5

UNCG

W 97-85

+28.5

MER

L 97-109

+49.5

UTC

L 67-76

−11.5

FUR

W 74-70

−5.5

SAM

W 88-78

+11.5

MER

W 80-77

−0.5

UTC

W 81-55

−14.5

ETSU

L 72-86

+11.5

VMI

W 81-67

−1.5

WCU

W 77-66

−11.5

SAM

L 80-97

+26.5

UNCG

L 89-99

+33.5

VMI

W 82-76

−0.5

FUR

L 67-76

−10.5

ETSU

W 72-69

−8.5

CIT

L 90-93

+34.5

UNCG

L 72-75

−8.5

over 15under 15avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Queens University Royals

34 games played

Straight up

20-14

59% wins

Against the spread

15-19

44% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

22-12

65% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

20-1459%

L L L W W L L W W L L L W W W W W W W L L L W W L W W W W L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1944%

L L W W L L W W W L L L L W W L W L W L L L W W L W L L W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

22-1265%

U O O U O O O O O O O U O O U U U O U U O U O U O O O O O U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsWIN	L 74-81	+3.5	L −3.5	163.5	U 155
Nov 8	@VILL	L 74-94	+17.5	L −2.5	150.5	O 168
Nov 11	@DUQ	L 81-87	+12.5	W +6.5	162.5	O 168
Nov 15	vsSHU	W 81-64	-5.5	W +11.5	165.5	U 145
Nov 20	vsUNCG	W 101-94	-7.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 195
Nov 23	@FUR	L 79-90	+8.5	L −2.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 28	@UVA	L 69-94	+25.5	W +0.5	160.5	O 163
Dec 3	vsGWEB	W 107-74	-14.5	W +18.5	161.5	O 181
Dec 12	vsSCST	W 102-78	-18.5	W +5.5	157.5	O 180
Dec 14	@WAKE	L 73-111	+18.5	L −19.5	165.5	O 184
Dec 16	@ARK	L 80-108	+23.5	L −4.5	169.5	O 188
Dec 29	@AUB	L 65-106	+25.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 171
Jan 1	vsEKU	W 91-89	-4.5	L −2.5	164.5	O 180
Jan 3	vsBELL	W 98-76	-7.5	W +14.5	169.5	O 174
Jan 8	@JAX	W 77-51	-4.5	W +21.5	154.5	U 128
Jan 10	@UNF	W 89-82	-11.5	L −4.5	173.5	U 171
Jan 15	@FGCU	W 85-74	+1.5	W +12.5	166.5	U 159
Jan 17	@STET	W 87-81	-10.5	L −4.5	162.5	O 168
Jan 21	vsUNA	W 87-62	-12.5	W +12.5	162.5	U 149
Jan 24	@WGA	L 66-74	-7.5	L −15.5	162.5	U 140
Jan 28	vsCARK	L 90-100	-5.5	L −15.5	158.5	O 190
Jan 31	@BELL	L 75-78	-5.5	L −8.5	163.5	U 153
Feb 5	vsJAX	W 93-84	-8.5	W +0.5	146.5	O 177
Feb 7	vsUNF	W 91-72	-15.5	W +3.5	178.5	U 163
Feb 11	vsAPSU	L 87-95	-2.5	L −10.5	161.5	O 182
Feb 14	vsLIP	W 87-81	-3.5	W +2.5	165.5	O 168
Feb 18	@UNA	W 85-78	-8.5	L −1.5	156.5	O 163
Feb 21	vsWGA	W 91-84	-11.5	L −4.5	161.5	O 175
Feb 25	@EKU	W 96-79	-2.5	W +14.5	165.5	O 175
Feb 28	@CARK	L 79-84	+2.5	L −2.5	163.5	U 163
Mar 6	vsWGA	W 71-63	-8.5	L −0.5	164.5	U 134
Mar 7	vsAPSU	W 90-83	+2.5	W +9.5	161.5	O 173
Mar 8	vsCARK	W 98-93	+1.5	W +6.5	157.5	O 191
Mar 20	vsPUR	L 71-104	+25.5	L −7.5	159.5	O 175

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WIN

L 74-81

−3.5

VILL

L 74-94

−2.5

DUQ

L 81-87

+6.5

SHU

W 81-64

+11.5

UNCG

W 101-94

−0.5

FUR

L 79-90

−2.5

UVA

L 69-94

+0.5

GWEB

W 107-74

+18.5

SCST

W 102-78

+5.5

WAKE

L 73-111

−19.5

ARK

L 80-108

−4.5

AUB

L 65-106

−15.5

EKU

W 91-89

−2.5

BELL

W 98-76

+14.5

JAX

W 77-51

+21.5

UNF

W 89-82

−4.5

FGCU

W 85-74

+12.5

STET

W 87-81

−4.5

UNA

W 87-62

+12.5

WGA

L 66-74

−15.5

CARK

L 90-100

−15.5

BELL

L 75-78

−8.5

JAX

W 93-84

+0.5

UNF

W 91-72

+3.5

APSU

L 87-95

−10.5

LIP

W 87-81

+2.5

UNA

W 85-78

−1.5

WGA

W 91-84

−4.5

EKU

W 96-79

+14.5

CARK

L 79-84

−2.5

WGA

W 71-63

−0.5

APSU

W 90-83

+9.5

CARK

W 98-93

+6.5

PUR

L 71-104

−7.5

covered 15didn’t cover 19avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WIN

L 74-81

−8.5

VILL

L 74-94

+17.5

DUQ

L 81-87

+5.5

SHU

W 81-64

−20.5

UNCG

W 101-94

+44.5

FUR

L 79-90

+15.5

UVA

L 69-94

+2.5

GWEB

W 107-74

+19.5

SCST

W 102-78

+22.5

WAKE

L 73-111

+18.5

ARK

L 80-108

+18.5

AUB

L 65-106

−0.5

EKU

W 91-89

+15.5

BELL

W 98-76

+4.5

JAX

W 77-51

−26.5

UNF

W 89-82

−2.5

FGCU

W 85-74

−7.5

STET

W 87-81

+5.5

UNA

W 87-62

−13.5

WGA

L 66-74

−22.5

CARK

L 90-100

+31.5

BELL

L 75-78

−10.5

JAX

W 93-84

+30.5

UNF

W 91-72

−15.5

APSU

L 87-95

+20.5

LIP

W 87-81

+2.5

UNA

W 85-78

+6.5

WGA

W 91-84

+13.5

EKU

W 96-79

+9.5

CARK

L 79-84

−0.5

WGA

W 71-63

−30.5

APSU

W 90-83

+11.5

CARK

W 98-93

+33.5

PUR

L 71-104

+15.5

over 22under 12avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

WOF78.4 #90

QUC84.4 #16

Points per possession

WOF1.14 #74

QUC1.19 #25

Pace (possessions)

WOF68.7 #198

QUC71.2 #65

Shooting

Effective FG%

WOF52.5 #127

QUC56.4 #15

3-point %

WOF35.0 #119

QUC35.7 #74

3-point attempt rate

WOF43.1 #112

QUC46.5 #38

Free throw rate

WOF36.2 #144

QUC35.4 #167

Possessions

Turnover rate

WOF13.4 #12

QUC14.8 #54

Offensive rebound rate

WOF29.8 #212

QUC30.2 #190

Assists per game

WOF13.8 #161

QUC16.0 #49

Defense

Points allowed

WOF78.6 #282

QUC83.8 #355

Points allowed per possession

WOF1.15 #317

QUC1.17 #346

Opponent effective FG%

WOF53.8 #294

QUC54.6 #319

Opponent 3-point %

WOF36.4 #322

QUC36.5 #325

Turnovers forced

WOF15.0 #291

QUC15.1 #276

Defensive rebound rate

WOF71.0 #101

QUC66.4 #308

Steals per game

WOF5.6 #283

QUC6.0 #238

Blocks per game

WOF3.1 #201

QUC2.9 #236

WOF		QUC
Scoring
78.4 #90	Points per game	84.4 #16
1.14 #74	Points per possession	1.19 #25
68.7 #198	Pace (possessions)	71.2 #65
Shooting
52.5 #127	Effective FG%	56.4 #15
35.0 #119	3-point %	35.7 #74
43.1 #112	3-point attempt rate	46.5 #38
36.2 #144	Free throw rate	35.4 #167
Possessions
13.4 #12	Turnover rate	14.8 #54
29.8 #212	Offensive rebound rate	30.2 #190
13.8 #161	Assists per game	16.0 #49
Defense
78.6 #282	Points allowed	83.8 #355
1.15 #317	Points allowed per possession	1.17 #346
53.8 #294	Opponent effective FG%	54.6 #319
36.4 #322	Opponent 3-point %	36.5 #325
15.0 #291	Turnovers forced	15.1 #276
71.0 #101	Defensive rebound rate	66.4 #308
5.6 #283	Steals per game	6.0 #238
3.1 #201	Blocks per game	2.9 #236

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Wofford

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UNC Greensboro72–75
Lvs The Citadel90–93
W@ ETSU72–69
Lvs Furman67–76
Wvs VMI82–76

A week or more of rest.

Queens University Royals

20-14 in 2025-26 overall · 16-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Purdue71–104
Wvs C Arkansas98–93
Wvs Austin Peay90–83
Wvs West Georgia71–63
L@ C Arkansas79–84

A week or more of rest.

Wofford Terriers at Queens University Royals

What could decide it: WOF has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Wofford

Queens University Royals

Matchup stats

Wofford

Queens University Royals