1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 21
  3. QUC @ LSU
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

Queens University Royals at LSU Tigers

Pete Maravich Assembly Center · at LSU
#175QUCQueens University Royals
@
#51LSULSU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
QUCThis seasonLSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LSU 91–74 · win probability LSU 93%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
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no line yet
Total
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model 164.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LSU has more of the edges

QUC 2, LSU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
LSUBig
LSU offense vs QUC defense
Offense 37th of 366 against a defense 331st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
QUC has played the 194th-hardest schedule, LSU the 49th. A record against a soft schedule means less
LSUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: QUC 30.2%, LSU 33.1%. Defensive: QUC 66.4%, LSU 68.3%
LSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: QUC 35.4, LSU 40.9. Allowed: QUC 38.1, LSU 37.8
QUCSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: QUC 14.8%, LSU 15.5%. Forced: QUC 15.1%, LSU 14.0%
LSUSmall
Home court
LSU at home. This season: LSU 0-0 at home, QUC 0-0 away
QUCSmall
Three-pointers
QUC hits 35.7% and allows 36.5%; LSU hits 33.1% and allows 35.4%. Threes are 46.5% and 34.5% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: QUC 56.4 and allows 54.6; LSU 52.8 and allows 50.9
Even
QUC offense vs LSU defense
Offense 102nd of 366 against a defense 77th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: QUC plays 71.2 a game (65th fastest), LSU 70.5 (95th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—LSU -17.3—
Total—164.3—
Projected score—QUC 73.5 · LSU 90.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadLSU -10.1—
1H total76.7—
1H projected scoreQUC 33.3 · LSU 43.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
QUCLSU
Scoring
84.4 #16Points per game81.4 #41
1.19 #25Points per possession1.15 #60
71.2 #65Pace (possessions)70.5 #95
Shooting
56.4 #15Effective FG%52.8 #111
35.7 #743-point %33.1 #225
46.5 #383-point attempt rate34.5 #286
35.4 #167Free throw rate40.9 #49
Possessions
14.8 #54Turnover rate15.5 #106
30.2 #190Offensive rebound rate33.1 #87
16.0 #49Assists per game14.7 #106
Defense
83.8 #355Points allowed78.5 #279
1.17 #346Points allowed per possession1.12 #270
54.6 #319Opponent effective FG%50.9 #150
36.5 #325Opponent 3-point %35.4 #271
15.1 #276Turnovers forced14.0 #335
66.4 #308Defensive rebound rate68.3 #239
6.0 #238Steals per game6.0 #240
2.9 #236Blocks per game3.9 #87
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Queens University Royals

20-14 in 2025-26 overall · 16-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Purdue71–104
  • Wvs C Arkansas98–93
  • Wvs Austin Peay90–83
  • Wvs West Georgia71–63
  • L@ C Arkansas79–84

A week or more of rest.

LSU

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 3-16 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Kentucky82–87
  • Lvs Texas A&M91–94
  • L@ Auburn74–88
  • Lvs Oklahoma67–83
  • W@ Ole Miss106–99

A week or more of rest.