1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 3
  3. WAG @ BC
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 3

Wagner Seahawks at Boston College Eagles

Conte Forum · at Boston College
#354WAGWagner
@
#95BCBoston College
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WAGThis seasonBC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BC 83–59 · win probability BC 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 141.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BC has more of the edges

WAG 2, BC 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BCBig
WAG offense vs BC defense
Offense 359th of 366 against a defense 83rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
WAG has played the 349th-hardest schedule, BC the 79th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BCBig
BC offense vs WAG defense
Offense 96th of 366 against a defense 293rd, on the model’s ratings
BCSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WAG 18.6%, BC 15.4%. Forced: WAG 14.9%, BC 14.8%
WAGSmall
Three-pointers
WAG hits 36.6% and allows 34.3%; BC hits 29.4% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 36.1% and 42.4% of their shots
BCSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: WAG 32.4, BC 32.4. Allowed: WAG 40.8, BC 34.6
WAGSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WAG 32.8%, BC 28.3%. Defensive: WAG 70.5%, BC 71.4%
BCSmall
Home court
BC at home. This season: BC 0-0 at home, WAG 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: WAG plays 66.4 a game (299th fastest), BC 67.5 (257th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WAG 49.6 and allows 50.4; BC 47.0 and allows 48.9
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WAG 0%, BC 1%. Transfers in: WAG 8, BC 11. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BC -24.1—
Total—141.3—
Projected score—WAG 58.6 · BC 82.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBC -14.2—
1H total66.2—
1H projected scoreWAG 26 · BC 40.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Boston College has the better starters

Position by position: Wagner 0, Boston College 3, even 2
WagnerBetterBoston College
G T. Bryant TR3.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 8
BCBig
G E. Shelton TR15.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 65
G C. Estevez TR3.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 14
BCBig
G A. Zeigler TR12.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.3 ast Score 60
G R. Pettis TR1.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Williams TR21.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 96
F K. Watson TR4.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 31
BCBig
F B. Benjamin TR14.2 pts · 10.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 89
C B. Smith TR1.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
F A. Bukumirovic TR13.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1 ast Score 86
WagnerBetterBoston College
WAG offense359th of 366 · -14.0
BCBig
BC defense83rd of 366 · +0.1
WAG defense293rd of 366 · -7.4
BCBig
BC offense96th of 366 · -0.7
Backcourt-3.1 · 3 players
BCBig
Backcourt+4.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.5 · 2 players
BCBig
Frontcourt+5.8 · 2 players
Bench-1.9 · 3 players
WAGSmall
Bench-4.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestWAG betterBC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Wagner
Guards
T. Bryant14 min · TRC. Estevez12 min · TRR. Pettis10 min · TRL. McGradyNewJ. CurtisNewG. EdwardsNew
Forwards
K. Watson12 min · TRT. Jones5 min · TRA. RodriguezNewD. KabaNewF. HassanNew
Centers
B. Smith8 min · TRY. Singar8 min · TRW. Patterson4 min · TR
Boston College
Guards
E. Shelton37 min · TRA. Zeigler33 min · TRM. Williams32 min · TRJ. Frankel21 min · TRJ. O'Toole3 min · TRJ. Furphy3 min · TR
Forwards
B. Benjamin31 min · TRA. Bukumirovic30 min · TRC. Duggan28 min · TRL. Hunger19 min · TRA. Tounkara18 min · TRJ. BaileyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WAGBC
Scoring
69.6 #292Points per game67.4 #326
1.05 #250Points per possession1.00 #323
66.4 #299Pace (possessions)67.5 #257
Shooting
49.6 #262Effective FG%47.0 #338
36.6 #363-point %29.4 #348
36.1 #2493-point attempt rate42.4 #130
32.4 #252Free throw rate32.4 #251
Possessions
18.6 #303Turnover rate15.4 #102
32.8 #96Offensive rebound rate28.3 #254
11.9 #289Assists per game11.3 #323
Defense
72.7 #126Points allowed70.7 #70
1.09 #208Points allowed per possession1.04 #81
50.4 #123Opponent effective FG%48.9 #62
34.3 #202Opponent 3-point %31.9 #59
14.9 #295Turnovers forced14.8 #303
70.5 #139Defensive rebound rate71.4 #87
5.2 #321Steals per game4.8 #341
2.3 #320Blocks per game4.1 #62
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Wagner

11-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Long Island56–64
  • W@ C Connecticut70–60
  • Wvs Chicago St80–61
  • Wvs New Haven65–62
  • W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves65–56

A week or more of rest.

Boston College

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Notre Dame77–69
  • L@ Virginia Tech63–72
  • L@ Miami54–76
  • Wvs Wake Forest68–67
  • L@ SMU70–94

A week or more of rest.