Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena · at Saint Joseph's
LineNo line yet
Total—
 WAG | This season | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects JOES 80–60 · win probability JOES 96%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 140.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: JOES has more of the edges
WAG 2, JOES 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
JOESBigWAG offense vs JOES defense
Offense 359th of 366 against a defense 91st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
WAG has played the 349th-hardest schedule, JOES the 102nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
JOESBigJOES offense vs WAG defense
Offense 134th of 366 against a defense 293rd, on the model’s ratings
JOESBigFree throws
Free throw rate: WAG 32.4, JOES 29.7. Allowed: WAG 40.8, JOES 26.9
JOESSmallWho is back
Minutes back from last season: WAG 0%, JOES 40%. Transfers in: WAG 8, JOES 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
WAGSmallThree-pointers
WAG hits 36.6% and allows 34.3%; JOES hits 30.8% and allows 31.7%. Threes are 36.1% and 45.1% of their shots
JOESSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: WAG 18.6%, JOES 16.8%. Forced: WAG 14.9%, JOES 15.0%
JOESSmallHome court
JOES at home. This season: JOES 0-0 at home, WAG 0-0 away
WAGSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WAG 32.8%, JOES 31.4%. Defensive: WAG 70.5%, JOES 69.4%
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: WAG plays 66.4 a game (299th fastest), JOES 68.4 (208th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WAG 49.6 and allows 50.4; JOES 49.2 and allows 47.6
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | JOES -20.3 | — |
| Total | — | 140.0 | — |
| Projected score | — | WAG 59.8 · JOES 80.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | JOES -11.9 | — |
| 1H total | 65.5 | — |
| 1H projected score | WAG 26.8 · JOES 38.7 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| JOES | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wagner
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VCU | L 74-103 | +25.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | @ HALL | L 61-68 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 11 | @ FOR | L 61-63 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 16 | @ UMBC | L 70-71 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ GTWN | L 75-92 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 26 | @ MAN | W 103-101 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ MD | L 63-89 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs UMES | W 78-64 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 2 | @ CHST | W 79-72 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 4 | vs STO | L 60-69 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vs SFPA | L 69-71 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | vs MERC | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | @ NHVN | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ FDU | L 61-68 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 23 | @ LEM | L 67-69 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 29 | vs CCSU | L 55-62 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 31 | vsFDU | W 75-72 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 5 | vsLEM | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @CCSU | L 67-84 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | vs LIU | L 57-67 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @STO | W 68-57 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 16 | @LIU | L 65-83 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | @MERC | W 83-80 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | @SFPA | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 26 | vsNHVN | W 65-62 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 131.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 28 | vsCHST | W 80-61 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | O 141 |
| Mar 4 | @CCSU | W 70-60 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | @LIU | L 56-64 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
−3.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
+14.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
+10.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+5.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+8.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+4.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
−3.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+9.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+5.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−16.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−9.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
−2.5
17
@NHVN
NHVNL 74-80
−4.5
19
@FDU
FDUL 61-68
−4.5
23
@LEM
LEML 67-69
+5.5
29
vsCCSU
CCSUL 55-62
−4.5
31
vsFDU
FDUW 75-72
+1.5
5
vsLEM
LEMW 79-78
+2.5
7
@CCSU
CCSUL 67-84
−11.5
12
vsLIU
LIUL 57-67
−3.5
14
@STO
STOW 68-57
+14.5
16
@LIU
LIUL 65-83
−7.5
19
@MERC
MERCW 83-80
+6.5
21
@SFPA
SFPAW 65-56
+7.5
26
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-62
+0.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 80-61
+14.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUW 70-60
+13.5
7
@LIU
LIUL 56-64
−1.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
+43.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
−5.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
−15.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+0.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+26.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+59.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
+8.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+10.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+4.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−10.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−4.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
+6.5
17
@NHVN
NHVNL 74-80
+24.5
19
@FDU
FDUL 61-68
−8.5
23
@LEM
LEML 67-69
−7.5
29
vsCCSU
CCSUL 55-62
−19.5
31
vsFDU
FDUW 75-72
+13.5
5
vsLEM
LEMW 79-78
+18.5
7
@CCSU
CCSUL 67-84
+14.5
12
vsLIU
LIUL 57-67
−11.5
14
@STO
STOW 68-57
−3.5
16
@LIU
LIUL 65-83
+9.5
19
@MERC
MERCW 83-80
+29.5
21
@SFPA
SFPAW 65-56
−30.5
26
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-62
−4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 80-61
+6.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUW 70-60
−9.5
7
@LIU
LIUL 56-64
−18.5
over 15under 13avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Joseph's
34 games played
Straight up
22-12
65% wins
Against the spread
20-14
59% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-23
32% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs DAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @ RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs SBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 19 | @VCU | L 72-79 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vs DAY | W 81-74 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | @ LUC | W 85-64 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ LAS | W 67-58 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs GW | W 76-73 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @ GMU | L 52-60 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 10 | vsFOR | L 64-68 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 18 | @SBU | W 71-65 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | vsLUC | W 75-61 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsGMU | W 81-63 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 28 | @ URI | W 61-55 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 4 | @DAV | W 70-67 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 137 |
| Mar 7 | vsLAS | W 88-76 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 13 | vsDAV | W 70-58 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 14 | vsVCU | L 64-77 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 18 | @ CSU | W 69-64 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 22 | @ CAL | W 76-75 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 24 | @ UNM | L 69-84 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
+7.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+13.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+19.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
+6.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
+4.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−1.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−7.5
18
@SBU
SBUW 71-65
+11.5
21
vsLUC
LUCW 75-61
+4.5
25
vsGMU
GMUW 81-63
+19.5
28
@URI
URIW 61-55
+8.5
4
@DAV
DAVW 70-67
+4.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 88-76
+0.5
13
vsDAV
DAVW 70-58
+9.5
14
vsVCU
VCUL 64-77
−6.5
18
@CSU
CSUW 69-64
+10.5
22
@CAL
CALW 76-75
+6.5
24
@UNM
UNML 69-84
−4.5
covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
−0.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+15.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+5.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
−17.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
−6.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−27.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−3.5
18
@SBU
SBUW 71-65
−11.5
21
vsLUC
LUCW 75-61
−6.5
25
vsGMU
GMUW 81-63
+7.5
28
@URI
URIW 61-55
−25.5
4
@DAV
DAVW 70-67
+0.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 88-76
+21.5
13
vsDAV
DAVW 70-58
−5.5
14
vsVCU
VCUL 64-77
−4.5
18
@CSU
CSUW 69-64
−11.5
22
@CAL
CALW 76-75
−1.5
24
@UNM
UNML 69-84
−2.5
over 11under 23avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's has the better starters
Position by position: Wagner 0, Saint Joseph's 3, even 2
WagnerBetterSaint Joseph's
G T. Bryant TR3.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 8
→JOESBig
G J. Glover-Toscano15.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 80
G C. Estevez TR3.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 14
→JOESSmall
G A. Williford7.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 46
G R. Pettis TR1.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast
Not ranked
=No call
G L. Carey TR9.1 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 60
F K. Watson TR4.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 31
→JOESSmall
G K. Myers4.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 59
C B. Smith TR1.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.2 ast
Not ranked
=No call
F S. Logan TR3.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 58
WagnerBetterSaint Joseph's
WAG offense359th of 366 · -14.0
→JOESBig
JOES defense91st of 366 · -0.3
WAG defense293rd of 366 · -7.4
→JOESBig
JOES offense134th of 366 · -3.9
Backcourt-3.1 · 3 players
→JOESBig
Backcourt+0.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.5 · 2 players
→JOESSmall
Frontcourt+0.0 · 1 player
Bench-1.9 · 3 players
→JOESSmall
Bench-0.2 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWAG betterJOES betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
WagnerGuards
T. Bryant14 min · TRC. Estevez12 min · TRR. Pettis10 min · TRL. McGradyNewJ. CurtisNewG. EdwardsNew
Forwards
K. Watson12 min · TRT. Jones5 min · TRA. RodriguezNewD. KabaNewF. HassanNew
Centers
B. Smith8 min · TRY. Singar8 min · TRW. Patterson4 min · TR
Saint Joseph'sGuards
J. Glover-Toscano32 minA. Williford26 minL. Carey26 min · TRK. Myers15 minM. Johnson4 minB. Rayer1 min
Forwards
S. Logan16 min · TRW. Lange1 minG. MarrsNewL. NonfonNewD. FlamerNewK. SaccoNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
WAG69.6 #292JOES71.9 #245Points per possession
WAG1.05 #250JOES1.05 #244Pace (possessions)
WAG66.4 #299JOES68.4 #208Shooting
Effective FG%
WAG49.6 #262JOES49.2 #2843-point %
WAG36.6 #36JOES30.8 #3253-point attempt rate
WAG36.1 #249JOES45.1 #65Free throw rate
WAG32.4 #252JOES29.7 #318Possessions
Turnover rate
WAG18.6 #303JOES16.8 #187Offensive rebound rate
WAG32.8 #96JOES31.4 #147Assists per game
WAG11.9 #289JOES15.1 #84Defense
Points allowed
WAG72.7 #126JOES70.6 #68Points allowed per possession
WAG1.09 #208JOES1.03 #59Opponent effective FG%
WAG50.4 #123JOES47.6 #34Opponent 3-point %
WAG34.3 #202JOES31.7 #51Turnovers forced
WAG14.9 #295JOES15.0 #286Defensive rebound rate
WAG70.5 #139JOES69.4 #185Steals per game
WAG5.2 #321JOES5.5 #290Blocks per game
WAG2.3 #320JOES4.6 #30| WAG | JOES | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 69.6 #292 | Points per game | 71.9 #245 |
| 1.05 #250 | Points per possession | 1.05 #244 |
| 66.4 #299 | Pace (possessions) | 68.4 #208 |
| Shooting | ||
| 49.6 #262 | Effective FG% | 49.2 #284 |
| 36.6 #36 | 3-point % | 30.8 #325 |
| 36.1 #249 | 3-point attempt rate | 45.1 #65 |
| 32.4 #252 | Free throw rate | 29.7 #318 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.6 #303 | Turnover rate | 16.8 #187 |
| 32.8 #96 | Offensive rebound rate | 31.4 #147 |
| 11.9 #289 | Assists per game | 15.1 #84 |
| Defense | ||
| 72.7 #126 | Points allowed | 70.6 #68 |
| 1.09 #208 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #59 |
| 50.4 #123 | Opponent effective FG% | 47.6 #34 |
| 34.3 #202 | Opponent 3-point % | 31.7 #51 |
| 14.9 #295 | Turnovers forced | 15.0 #286 |
| 70.5 #139 | Defensive rebound rate | 69.4 #185 |
| 5.2 #321 | Steals per game | 5.5 #290 |
| 2.3 #320 | Blocks per game | 4.6 #30 |
Wagner
11-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Long Island56–64
- W@ C Connecticut70–60
- Wvs Chicago St80–61
- Wvs New Haven65–62
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves65–56
A week or more of rest.
Saint Joseph's
22-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ New Mexico69–84
- W@ California76–75
- W@ Colorado St69–64
- Lvs VCU64–77
- Wvs Davidson70–58
A week or more of rest.