Saint Joseph's Hawks at Drexel Dragons: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 20, 12:00 AM ETDaskalakis Athletic Center · at Drexel

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Saint Joseph's and Drexel
JOES	This season	DREX
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects JOES 73–66 · win probability JOES 73%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 138.4

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DREX has more of the edges

JOES 2, DREX 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

JOESBig

DREX offense vs JOES defense

Offense 323rd of 366 against a defense 91st, on the model’s ratings

DREXBig

Three-pointers

JOES hits 30.8% and allows 31.7%; DREX hits 35.5% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 45.1% and 40.0% of their shots

Context

Schedule so far

JOES has played the 102nd-hardest schedule, DREX the 199th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: JOES plays 68.4 a game (208th fastest), DREX 65.2 (341st). Faster games mean more points

JOESSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: JOES 29.7, DREX 31.6. Allowed: JOES 26.9, DREX 35.4

DREXSmall

Home court

DREX at home. This season: DREX 0-0 at home, JOES 0-0 away

DREXSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: JOES 49.2 and allows 47.6; DREX 50.6 and allows 47.1

Even

JOES offense vs DREX defense

Offense 134th of 366 against a defense 175th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: JOES 40%, DREX 24%. Transfers in: JOES 2, DREX 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: JOES 16.8%, DREX 19.1%. Forced: JOES 15.0%, DREX 16.4%

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: JOES 31.4%, DREX 31.2%. Defensive: JOES 69.4%, DREX 69.0%

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	JOES -7.1	—
Total	—	138.4	—
Projected score	—	JOES 72.7 · DREX 65.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	JOES -4.3	—
1H total	64.8	—
1H projected score	JOES 34.6 · DREX 30.2	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JOES WLWWL	20-14	59%	10-6	—
DREX WWLWL	19-13	59%	11-4	—

Venue/role: JOES away; DREX home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
JOES UUUUU	11-23	32%	22-12
DREX UUUOU	14-18	44%	16-16

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JOES	8-2 80%	8-2 80%	3-7 30%
DREX	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Saint Joseph's

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ MONM	L75–87LO
Dec 8	vs BU	No recent meeting

Drexel

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	@ PENN	L68–84LU
Nov 28	@ MSM	W75–67WO
Dec 1	@ ODU	W75–71WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

JOES 1–1 DREXSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · JOES 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 8, 2025-26	DREX 65 @ JOES 76	JOES -9.5	JOES W
Nov 17, 2021-22	DREX 78 @ JOES 75	JOES +1	DREX W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Saint Joseph's

34 games played

Straight up

22-12

65% wins

Against the spread

20-14

59% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

11-23

32% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

22-1265%

W W L L L W W W L W L L L W W W L W W W W L L W W W W W W W L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

20-1459%

L W L L L L W L W L L L L W W W W W W W W L L W W W W W W W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

11-2332%

O O U U O U U O U U U O U O U U U O O U U U U U U O U O O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsLAF	W 85-76	-13.5	L −4.5	138.5	O 161
Nov 8	vsDREX	W 76-65	-9.5	W +1.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 12	@VT	L 59-94	+12.5	L −22.5	158.5	U 153
Nov 17	@PENN	L 74-83	-5.5	L −14.5	163.5	U 157
Nov 20	@UNLV	L 85-99	+10.5	L −3.5	161.5	O 184
Nov 30	vsPRIN	W 60-58	-5.5	L −3.5	146.5	U 118
Dec 6	vsTEM	W 70-69	+1.5	W +2.5	147.5	U 139
Dec 9	vsCOPP	W 87-65	-22.5	L −0.5	146.5	O 152
Dec 11	@SYR	L 63-71	+11.5	W +3.5	146.5	U 134
Dec 18	vsDSU	W 67-51	-17.5	L −1.5	137.5	U 118
Dec 22	vsCCU	L 62-68	-7.5	L −13.5	144.5	U 130
Dec 31	@SLU	L 79-102	+19.5	L −3.5	161.5	O 181
Jan 3	vsDAV	L 56-62	+1.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 118
Jan 7	vsDUQ	W 97-90	+1.5	W +8.5	149.5	O 187
Jan 11	@RICH	W 67-65	+7.5	W +9.5	150.5	U 132
Jan 14	vsSBU	W 68-64	+1.5	W +5.5	147.5	U 132
Jan 19	@VCU	L 72-79	+14.5	W +7.5	151.5	U 151
Jan 24	vsDAY	W 81-74	+6.5	W +13.5	139.5	O 155
Jan 27	@LUC	W 85-64	-1.5	W +19.5	143.5	O 149
Jan 31	@LAS	W 67-58	-2.5	W +6.5	142.5	U 125
Feb 4	vsGW	W 76-73	+1.5	W +4.5	155.5	U 149
Feb 7	@GMU	L 52-60	+6.5	L −1.5	139.5	U 112
Feb 10	vsFOR	L 64-68	-3.5	L −7.5	135.5	U 132
Feb 18	@SBU	W 71-65	+5.5	W +11.5	147.5	U 136
Feb 21	vsLUC	W 75-61	-9.5	W +4.5	142.5	U 136
Feb 25	vsGMU	W 81-63	+1.5	W +19.5	136.5	O 144
Feb 28	@URI	W 61-55	+2.5	W +8.5	141.5	U 116
Mar 4	@DAV	W 70-67	+1.5	W +4.5	136.5	O 137
Mar 7	vsLAS	W 88-76	-11.5	W +0.5	142.5	O 164
Mar 13	vsDAV	W 70-58	-2.5	W +9.5	133.5	U 128
Mar 14	vsVCU	L 64-77	+6.5	L −6.5	145.5	U 141
Mar 18	@CSU	W 69-64	+5.5	W +10.5	144.5	U 133
Mar 22	@CAL	W 76-75	+5.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 151
Mar 24	@UNM	L 69-84	+10.5	L −4.5	155.5	U 153

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

LAF

W 85-76

−4.5

DREX

W 76-65

+1.5

L 59-94

−22.5

PENN

L 74-83

−14.5

UNLV

L 85-99

−3.5

PRIN

W 60-58

−3.5

TEM

W 70-69

+2.5

COPP

W 87-65

−0.5

SYR

L 63-71

+3.5

DSU

W 67-51

−1.5

CCU

L 62-68

−13.5

SLU

L 79-102

−3.5

DAV

L 56-62

−4.5

DUQ

W 97-90

+8.5

RICH

W 67-65

+9.5

SBU

W 68-64

+5.5

VCU

L 72-79

+7.5

DAY

W 81-74

+13.5

LUC

W 85-64

+19.5

LAS

W 67-58

+6.5

W 76-73

+4.5

GMU

L 52-60

−1.5

FOR

L 64-68

−7.5

SBU

W 71-65

+11.5

LUC

W 75-61

+4.5

GMU

W 81-63

+19.5

URI

W 61-55

+8.5

DAV

W 70-67

+4.5

LAS

W 88-76

+0.5

DAV

W 70-58

+9.5

VCU

L 64-77

−6.5

CSU

W 69-64

+10.5

CAL

W 76-75

+6.5

UNM

L 69-84

−4.5

covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

LAF

W 85-76

+22.5

DREX

W 76-65

+1.5

L 59-94

−5.5

PENN

L 74-83

−6.5

UNLV

L 85-99

+22.5

PRIN

W 60-58

−28.5

TEM

W 70-69

−8.5

COPP

W 87-65

+5.5

SYR

L 63-71

−12.5

DSU

W 67-51

−19.5

CCU

L 62-68

−14.5

SLU

L 79-102

+19.5

DAV

L 56-62

−21.5

DUQ

W 97-90

+37.5

RICH

W 67-65

−18.5

SBU

W 68-64

−15.5

VCU

L 72-79

−0.5

DAY

W 81-74

+15.5

LUC

W 85-64

+5.5

LAS

W 67-58

−17.5

W 76-73

−6.5

GMU

L 52-60

−27.5

FOR

L 64-68

−3.5

SBU

W 71-65

−11.5

LUC

W 75-61

−6.5

GMU

W 81-63

+7.5

URI

W 61-55

−25.5

DAV

W 70-67

+0.5

LAS

W 88-76

+21.5

DAV

W 70-58

−5.5

VCU

L 64-77

−4.5

CSU

W 69-64

−11.5

CAL

W 76-75

−1.5

UNM

L 69-84

−2.5

over 11under 23avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Drexel

32 games played

Straight up

16-16

50% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1650%

L L L W L W W L L L W W L L L W W W L W W W L W L L W W W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

L L L W L W L W L L W W W W W W W W W W W L L W L L W W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1844%

O O U U U O U O O O O O U U O U U U U O U U U O O O U U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@JOES	L 65-76	+9.5	L −1.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 11	@COLG	L 83-90	+3.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 173
Nov 15	vsSYR	L 50-80	+11.5	L −18.5	143.5	U 130
Nov 18	vsNJIT	W 75-43	-13.5	W +18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 21	vsPENN	L 68-84	-4.5	L −20.5	152.5	U 152
Nov 23	vsODU	W 75-71	-3.5	W +0.5	142.5	O 146
Nov 25	@MORG	W 71-66	-5.5	L −0.5	143.5	U 137
Dec 3	@AMER	L 73-75	+4.5	W +2.5	137.5	O 148
Dec 6	@LAS	L 64-69	-1.5	L −6.5	129.5	O 133
Dec 16	vsHOW	L 66-74	-6.5	L −14.5	138.5	O 140
Dec 19	vsMSM	W 75-67	-4.5	W +3.5	137.5	O 142
Dec 21	vsME	W 74-56	-10.5	W +7.5	129.5	O 130
Dec 29	@COFC	L 63-72	+9.5	W +0.5	142.5	U 135
Dec 31	@UNCW	L 53-65	+12.5	W +0.5	137.5	U 118
Jan 3	vsHOF	L 67-70	+4.5	W +1.5	131.5	O 137
Jan 8	vsSTBK	W 56-37	-5.5	W +13.5	132.5	U 93
Jan 10	vsW&M	W 64-58	+3.5	W +9.5	150.5	U 122
Jan 15	@MONM	W 73-51	+5.5	W +27.5	127.5	U 124
Jan 19	@TOW	L 58-59	+7.5	W +6.5	124.5	U 117
Jan 24	vsNE	W 83-78	-4.5	W +0.5	139.5	O 161
Jan 29	vsHAMP	W 58-51	-2.5	W +4.5	127.5	U 109
Jan 31	vsNCAT	W 61-60	-7.5	L −6.5	138.5	U 121
Feb 5	@CAM	L 60-81	+4.5	L −16.5	141.5	U 141
Feb 7	@ELON	W 82-77	+4.5	W +9.5	136.5	O 159
Feb 12	vsMONM	L 73-93	-1.5	L −21.5	133.5	O 166
Feb 16	@STBK	L 69-72	+2.5	L −0.5	135.5	O 141
Feb 19	@NE	W 70-61	+1.5	W +10.5	143.5	U 131
Feb 22	vsTOW	W 68-62	+2.5	W +8.5	130.5	U 130
Feb 26	vsCAM	W 65-60	-1.5	W +3.5	143.5	U 125
Mar 3	@HOF	L 51-62	+8.5	L −2.5	133.5	U 113
Mar 7	vsNE	W 84-77	-4.5	W +2.5	138.5	O 161
Mar 8	vsMONM	L 57-65	+3.5	L −4.5	136.5	U 122

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

JOES

L 65-76

−1.5

COLG

L 83-90

−3.5

SYR

L 50-80

−18.5

NJIT

W 75-43

+18.5

PENN

L 68-84

−20.5

ODU

W 75-71

+0.5

MORG

W 71-66

−0.5

AMER

L 73-75

+2.5

LAS

L 64-69

−6.5

HOW

L 66-74

−14.5

MSM

W 75-67

+3.5

W 74-56

+7.5

COFC

L 63-72

+0.5

UNCW

L 53-65

+0.5

HOF

L 67-70

+1.5

STBK

W 56-37

+13.5

W&M

W 64-58

+9.5

MONM

W 73-51

+27.5

TOW

L 58-59

+6.5

W 83-78

+0.5

HAMP

W 58-51

+4.5

NCAT

W 61-60

−6.5

CAM

L 60-81

−16.5

ELON

W 82-77

+9.5

MONM

L 73-93

−21.5

STBK

L 69-72

−0.5

W 70-61

+10.5

TOW

W 68-62

+8.5

CAM

W 65-60

+3.5

HOF

L 51-62

−2.5

W 84-77

+2.5

MONM

L 57-65

−4.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

JOES

L 65-76

+1.5

COLG

L 83-90

+29.5

SYR

L 50-80

−13.5

NJIT

W 75-43

−20.5

PENN

L 68-84

−0.5

ODU

W 75-71

+3.5

MORG

W 71-66

−6.5

AMER

L 73-75

+10.5

LAS

L 64-69

+3.5

HOW

L 66-74

+1.5

MSM

W 75-67

+4.5

W 74-56

+0.5

COFC

L 63-72

−7.5

UNCW

L 53-65

−19.5

HOF

L 67-70

+5.5

STBK

W 56-37

−39.5

W&M

W 64-58

−28.5

MONM

W 73-51

−3.5

TOW

L 58-59

−7.5

W 83-78

+21.5

HAMP

W 58-51

−18.5

NCAT

W 61-60

−17.5

CAM

L 60-81

−0.5

ELON

W 82-77

+22.5

MONM

L 73-93

+32.5

STBK

L 69-72

+5.5

W 70-61

−12.5

TOW

W 68-62

−0.5

CAM

W 65-60

−18.5

HOF

L 51-62

−20.5

W 84-77

+22.5

MONM

L 57-65

−14.5

over 14under 18avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Saint Joseph's has the better starters

Position by position: Saint Joseph's 3, Drexel 1, even 1

Saint Joseph'sBetterDrexel

G J. Glover-Toscano15.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 80

JOESBig

G J. Reed7.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 44

G A. Williford7.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 46

DREXSmall

G A. Abram TR3.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 80

G L. Carey TR9.1 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.4 ast Score 60

Even

G D. Tingler3.4 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast Score 59

G K. Myers4.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 59

JOESBig

F P. Pagonis TR4.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 1 ast Score 6

F S. Logan TR3.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 58

JOESBig

F M. de LaPorterie2.9 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 12

Saint Joseph'sBetterDrexel

JOES offense134th of 366 · -3.9

Even

DREX defense175th of 366 · -3.9

JOES defense91st of 366 · -0.3

JOESBig

DREX offense323rd of 366 · -10.5

Backcourt+0.6 · 4 players

Even

Backcourt-0.2 · 3 players

Frontcourt+0.0 · 1 player

JOESBig

Frontcourt-3.5 · 2 players

Bench-0.2 · 3 players

Even

Bench-0.1 · 2 players

Score, worst to bestJOES betterDREX betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Saint Joseph's

Guards

J. Glover-Toscano32 minA. Williford26 minL. Carey26 min · TRK. Myers15 minM. Johnson4 minB. Rayer1 min

Forwards

S. Logan16 min · TRW. Lange1 minG. MarrsNewL. NonfonNewD. FlamerNewK. SaccoNew

Drexel

Guards

J. Reed19 minA. Abram11 min · TRD. Tingler10 minM. Davis2 minL. PittmanNewM. HippsNew

Forwards

P. Pagonis18 min · TRM. de LaPorterie13 minR. Akuta5 minC. EdomwonyinNewD. SimonovicNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

JOES71.9 #245

DREX67.3 #328

Points per possession

JOES1.05 #244

DREX1.03 #282

Pace (possessions)

JOES68.4 #208

DREX65.2 #341

Shooting

Effective FG%

JOES49.2 #284

DREX50.6 #204

3-point %

JOES30.8 #325

DREX35.5 #90

3-point attempt rate

JOES45.1 #65

DREX40.0 #171

Free throw rate

JOES29.7 #318

DREX31.6 #265

Possessions

Turnover rate

JOES16.8 #187

DREX19.1 #322

Offensive rebound rate

JOES31.4 #147

DREX31.2 #156

Assists per game

JOES15.1 #84

DREX12.8 #226

Defense

Points allowed

JOES70.6 #68

DREX67.6 #26

Points allowed per possession

JOES1.03 #59

DREX1.04 #64

Opponent effective FG%

JOES47.6 #34

DREX47.1 #22

Opponent 3-point %

JOES31.7 #51

DREX30.3 #15

Turnovers forced

JOES15.0 #286

DREX16.4 #195

Defensive rebound rate

JOES69.4 #185

DREX69.0 #202

Steals per game

JOES5.5 #290

DREX5.8 #254

Blocks per game

JOES4.6 #30

DREX3.5 #144

JOES		DREX
Scoring
71.9 #245	Points per game	67.3 #328
1.05 #244	Points per possession	1.03 #282
68.4 #208	Pace (possessions)	65.2 #341
Shooting
49.2 #284	Effective FG%	50.6 #204
30.8 #325	3-point %	35.5 #90
45.1 #65	3-point attempt rate	40.0 #171
29.7 #318	Free throw rate	31.6 #265
Possessions
16.8 #187	Turnover rate	19.1 #322
31.4 #147	Offensive rebound rate	31.2 #156
15.1 #84	Assists per game	12.8 #226
Defense
70.6 #68	Points allowed	67.6 #26
1.03 #59	Points allowed per possession	1.04 #64
47.6 #34	Opponent effective FG%	47.1 #22
31.7 #51	Opponent 3-point %	30.3 #15
15.0 #286	Turnovers forced	16.4 #195
69.4 #185	Defensive rebound rate	69.0 #202
5.5 #290	Steals per game	5.8 #254
4.6 #30	Blocks per game	3.5 #144

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Saint Joseph's

22-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ New Mexico69–84
W@ California76–75
W@ Colorado St69–64
Lvs VCU64–77
Wvs Davidson70–58

A week or more of rest.

Drexel

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Monmouth57–65
Wvs Northeastern84–77
L@ Hofstra51–62
Wvs Campbell65–60
Wvs Towson68–62

A week or more of rest.

Saint Joseph's Hawks at Drexel Dragons

What could decide it: DREX has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Saint Joseph's

Drexel

Saint Joseph's has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Saint Joseph's

Drexel