1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. JOES @ MONM
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

Saint Joseph's Hawks at Monmouth Hawks

OceanFirst Bank Center · at Monmouth
#114JOESSaint Joseph's
@
#155MONMMonmouth
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
JOESThis seasonMONM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects JOES 73–71 · win probability JOES 54%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

JOES 2, MONM 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MONMBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: JOES 16.8%, MONM 16.7%. Forced: JOES 15.0%, MONM 19.8%
Context
Schedule so far
JOES has played the 102nd-hardest schedule, MONM the 190th. A record against a soft schedule means less
JOESSmall
MONM offense vs JOES defense
Offense 173rd of 366 against a defense 91st, on the model’s ratings
JOESSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: JOES 31.4%, MONM 31.2%. Defensive: JOES 69.4%, MONM 67.2%
MONMSmall
Home court
MONM at home. This season: MONM 0-0 at home, JOES 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
JOES hits 30.8% and allows 31.7%; MONM hits 34.2% and allows 33.9%. Threes are 45.1% and 34.4% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: JOES 49.2 and allows 47.6; MONM 49.6 and allows 50.0
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: JOES plays 68.4 a game (208th fastest), MONM 67.9 (234th). Faster games mean more points
Even
JOES offense vs MONM defense
Offense 134th of 366 against a defense 144th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: JOES 29.7, MONM 32.7. Allowed: JOES 26.9, MONM 32.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: JOES 40%, MONM 37%. Transfers in: JOES 2, MONM 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—JOES -1.1—
Total—143.9—
Projected score—JOES 72.5 · MONM 71.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadJOES -0.8—
1H total67.3—
1H projected scoreJOES 34 · MONM 33.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Saint Joseph's has the better starters

Position by position: Saint Joseph's 1, Monmouth 0, even 4
Saint Joseph'sBetterMonmouth
G J. Glover-Toscano15.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 80
JOESBig
G J. Collins6.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 18
G A. Williford7.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 46
Even
G J. Sanders TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.4 ast Score 39
G L. Carey TR9.1 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.4 ast Score 60
No call
G L. Walker TR14.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
G K. Myers4.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 59
Even
G A. Walker TR7.8 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.2 ast Score 47
F S. Logan TR3.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 58
Even
F S. Spartalis10.5 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 54
Saint Joseph'sBetterMonmouth
JOES offense134th of 366 · -3.9
Even
MONM defense144th of 366 · -3.1
JOES defense91st of 366 · -0.3
JOESSmall
MONM offense173rd of 366 · -5.3
Backcourt+0.6 · 4 players
JOESBig
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
Frontcourt+0.0 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Bench-0.2 · 3 players
Even
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestJOES betterMONM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Saint Joseph's
Guards
J. Glover-Toscano32 minA. Williford26 minL. Carey26 min · TRK. Myers15 minM. Johnson4 minB. Rayer1 min
Forwards
S. Logan16 min · TRW. Lange1 minG. MarrsNewL. NonfonNewD. FlamerNewK. SaccoNew
Monmouth
Guards
J. Collins35 minJ. Sanders30 min · TRL. Walker28 min · TRA. Walker28 min · TRM. Durr21 min · TRJ. Dobuol6 min
Forwards
S. Spartalis24 minO. Harvey3 minS. Osei3 min · TRQ. Peters2 minD. PerryNewS. MarjanovicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
JOESMONM
Scoring
71.9 #245Points per game72.0 #241
1.05 #244Points per possession1.07 #212
68.4 #208Pace (possessions)67.9 #234
Shooting
49.2 #284Effective FG%49.6 #259
30.8 #3253-point %34.2 #156
45.1 #653-point attempt rate34.4 #288
29.7 #318Free throw rate32.7 #244
Possessions
16.8 #187Turnover rate16.7 #176
31.4 #147Offensive rebound rate31.2 #157
15.1 #84Assists per game13.7 #167
Defense
70.6 #68Points allowed70.9 #73
1.03 #59Points allowed per possession1.04 #74
47.6 #34Opponent effective FG%50.0 #103
31.7 #51Opponent 3-point %33.9 #174
15.0 #286Turnovers forced19.8 #28
69.4 #185Defensive rebound rate67.2 #287
5.5 #290Steals per game7.6 #69
4.6 #30Blocks per game4.2 #57
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Saint Joseph's

22-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ New Mexico69–84
  • W@ California76–75
  • W@ Colorado St69–64
  • Lvs VCU64–77
  • Wvs Davidson70–58

A week or more of rest.

Monmouth

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra69–75
  • Wvs Campbell74–64
  • Wvs Drexel65–57
  • W@ Northeastern89–83
  • Wvs Elon73–57

A week or more of rest.