1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. MONM @ LEH
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Monmouth Hawks at Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Stabler Arena · at Lehigh
#155MONMMonmouth
@
#216LEHLehigh
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MONMThis seasonLEH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MONM 73–71 · win probability MONM 59%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LEH has more of the edges

MONM 3, LEH 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MONMBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MONM 16.7%, LEH 17.7%. Forced: MONM 19.8%, LEH 16.2%
LEHBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MONM 37%, LEH 100%. Transfers in: MONM 5, LEH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
MONMBig
LEH offense vs MONM defense
Offense 257th of 366 against a defense 144th, on the model’s ratings
LEHSmall
Three-pointers
MONM hits 34.2% and allows 33.9%; LEH hits 36.1% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 34.4% and 38.3% of their shots
MONMSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MONM 31.2%, LEH 23.2%. Defensive: MONM 67.2%, LEH 68.5%
LEHSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: MONM 49.6 and allows 50.0; LEH 52.9 and allows 50.6
LEHSmall
Home court
LEH at home. This season: LEH 0-0 at home, MONM 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
MONM has played the 190th-hardest schedule, LEH the 218th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: MONM plays 67.9 a game (234th fastest), LEH 68.7 (197th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: MONM 32.7, LEH 31.8. Allowed: MONM 32.2, LEH 32.5
Even
MONM offense vs LEH defense
Offense 173rd of 366 against a defense 179th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MONM -2.5—
Total—144.0—
Projected score—MONM 73.2 · LEH 70.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMONM -1.6—
1H total67.4—
1H projected scoreMONM 34.5 · LEH 32.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Monmouth 2, Lehigh 2, even 1
MonmouthBetterLehigh
G J. Collins6.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 18
LEHBig
G J. Ingram10.7 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 54
G J. Sanders TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.4 ast Score 39
MONMBig
G C. Thomas5.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 2
G L. Walker TR14.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Vazquez4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 11
G A. Walker TR7.8 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.2 ast Score 47
MONMSmall
F E. Benoit10.2 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 24
F S. Spartalis10.5 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 54
LEHSmall
C H. Alvey15.4 pts · 7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 86
MonmouthBetterLehigh
MONM offense173rd of 366 · -5.3
Even
LEH defense179th of 366 · -4.1
MONM defense144th of 366 · -3.1
MONMSmall
LEH offense257th of 366 · -7.9
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
MONMSmall
Backcourt-6.9 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
LEHSmall
Frontcourt+2.3 · 2 players
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
MONMBig
Bench-7.6 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestMONM betterLEH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Monmouth
Guards
J. Collins35 minJ. Sanders30 min · TRL. Walker28 min · TRA. Walker28 min · TRM. Durr21 min · TRJ. Dobuol6 min
Forwards
S. Spartalis24 minO. Harvey3 minS. Osei3 min · TRQ. Peters2 minD. PerryNewS. MarjanovicNew
Lehigh
Guards
J. Ingram36 minC. Thomas23 minJ. Vazquez22 minP. Kramer19 minA. Urosevic19 minC. BurrowsNew
Forwards
E. Benoit29 minJ. Pike12 minA. Addesa8 minR. RudusansNewN. DjanoglyNew
Centers
H. Alvey31 minC. CohenNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MONMLEH
Scoring
72.0 #241Points per game71.8 #249
1.07 #212Points per possession1.05 #257
67.9 #234Pace (possessions)68.7 #197
Shooting
49.6 #259Effective FG%52.9 #107
34.2 #1563-point %36.1 #56
34.4 #2883-point attempt rate38.3 #206
32.7 #244Free throw rate31.8 #258
Possessions
16.7 #176Turnover rate17.7 #250
31.2 #157Offensive rebound rate23.2 #349
13.7 #167Assists per game13.9 #153
Defense
70.9 #73Points allowed74.4 #171
1.04 #74Points allowed per possession1.08 #175
50.0 #103Opponent effective FG%50.6 #133
33.9 #174Opponent 3-point %32.9 #109
19.8 #28Turnovers forced16.2 #212
67.2 #287Defensive rebound rate68.5 #226
7.6 #69Steals per game6.6 #163
4.2 #57Blocks per game3.1 #209
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Monmouth

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra69–75
  • Wvs Campbell74–64
  • Wvs Drexel65–57
  • W@ Northeastern89–83
  • Wvs Elon73–57

A week or more of rest.

Lehigh

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View55–67
  • Wvs Boston U74–60
  • Wvs Colgate76–69
  • Wvs Holy Cross69–66
  • Wvs Bucknell89–79

A week or more of rest.