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  2. Sun, Dec 13
  3. MONM @ RMU
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 13

Monmouth Hawks at Robert Morris Colonials

UPMC Events Center · at Robert Morris
#155MONMMonmouth
@
#168RMURobert Morris
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MONMThis seasonRMU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RMU 74–72 · win probability RMU 60%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 145.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RMU has more of the edges

MONM 2, RMU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RMUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MONM 31.2%, RMU 37.5%. Defensive: MONM 67.2%, RMU 71.2%
MONMBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MONM 16.7%, RMU 18.6%. Forced: MONM 19.8%, RMU 15.8%
MONMBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MONM 32.7, RMU 28.0. Allowed: MONM 32.2, RMU 40.1
RMUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: MONM 49.6 and allows 50.0; RMU 54.9 and allows 50.0
Context
Schedule so far
MONM has played the 190th-hardest schedule, RMU the 280th. A record against a soft schedule means less
RMUSmall
Three-pointers
MONM hits 34.2% and allows 33.9%; RMU hits 38.0% and allows 33.2%. Threes are 34.4% and 40.7% of their shots
RMUSmall
Home court
RMU at home. This season: RMU 0-0 at home, MONM 0-0 away
Even
RMU offense vs MONM defense
Offense 179th of 366 against a defense 144th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: MONM plays 67.9 a game (234th fastest), RMU 67.5 (256th). Faster games mean more points
Even
MONM offense vs RMU defense
Offense 173rd of 366 against a defense 183rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MONM 37%, RMU 32%. Transfers in: MONM 5, RMU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RMU -2.8—
Total—145.9—
Projected score—MONM 71.5 · RMU 74.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRMU -1.6—
1H total68.2—
1H projected scoreMONM 33.3 · RMU 34.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Robert Morris has the better starters

Position by position: Monmouth 1, Robert Morris 2, even 2
MonmouthBetterRobert Morris
G J. Collins6.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 18
RMUBig
G A. Valentine TR12 pts · 4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 71
G J. Sanders TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.4 ast Score 39
MONMSmall
G D. Livingston9.6 pts · 2 reb · 2.9 ast Score 23
G L. Walker TR14.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Smith6.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 30
G A. Walker TR7.8 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.2 ast Score 47
RMUSmall
F J. Dunkley TR12.4 pts · 6.7 reb · 1 ast Score 74
F S. Spartalis10.5 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 54
Even
F K. Ugwuakazi TR5.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 63
MonmouthBetterRobert Morris
MONM offense173rd of 366 · -5.3
Even
RMU defense183rd of 366 · -4.2
MONM defense144th of 366 · -3.1
Even
RMU offense179th of 366 · -5.5
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
RMUSmall
Backcourt-2.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
RMUSmall
Frontcourt+1.5 · 2 players
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Even
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestMONM betterRMU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Monmouth
Guards
J. Collins35 minJ. Sanders30 min · TRL. Walker28 min · TRA. Walker28 min · TRM. Durr21 min · TRJ. Dobuol6 min
Forwards
S. Spartalis24 minO. Harvey3 minS. Osei3 min · TRQ. Peters2 minD. PerryNewS. MarjanovicNew
Robert Morris
Guards
A. Valentine33 min · TRD. Livingston26 minT. Smith19 minK. Garris16 min · TRE. Cooke9 minL. SloaneNew
Forwards
J. Dunkley29 min · TRK. Ugwuakazi19 min · TRS. Obenjo9 minD. StolbetskiyNewB. OderinloNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MONMRMU
Scoring
72.0 #241Points per game76.8 #122
1.07 #212Points per possession1.14 #67
67.9 #234Pace (possessions)67.5 #256
Shooting
49.6 #259Effective FG%54.9 #39
34.2 #1563-point %38.0 #18
34.4 #2883-point attempt rate40.7 #154
32.7 #244Free throw rate28.0 #343
Possessions
16.7 #176Turnover rate18.6 #305
31.2 #157Offensive rebound rate37.5 #11
13.7 #167Assists per game17.6 #13
Defense
70.9 #73Points allowed73.4 #139
1.04 #74Points allowed per possession1.08 #174
50.0 #103Opponent effective FG%50.0 #100
33.9 #174Opponent 3-point %33.2 #135
19.8 #28Turnovers forced15.8 #230
67.2 #287Defensive rebound rate71.2 #98
7.6 #69Steals per game5.5 #292
4.2 #57Blocks per game2.5 #308
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Monmouth

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra69–75
  • Wvs Campbell74–64
  • Wvs Drexel65–57
  • W@ Northeastern89–83
  • Wvs Elon73–57

A week or more of rest.

Robert Morris

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Detroit Mercy64–70
  • Wvs Youngstown St68–53
  • Wvs Cleveland St83–64
  • Wvs Detroit Mercy73–62
  • W@ Wright St81–68

A week or more of rest.