Drexel Dragons at Old Dominion Monarchs: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 1, 7:00 PM ETChartway Arena · at Old Dominion

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Drexel and Old Dominion
DREX	This season	ODU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ODU 72–69 · win probability ODU 60%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 141.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

DREX 3, ODU 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: DREX plays 65.2 a game (341st fastest), ODU 70.8 (81st). Faster games mean more points

ODUSmall

DREX offense vs ODU defense

Offense 323rd of 366 against a defense 222nd, on the model’s ratings

DREXSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: DREX 31.2%, ODU 26.0%. Defensive: DREX 69.0%, ODU 69.7%

DREXSmall

ODU offense vs DREX defense

Offense 240th of 366 against a defense 175th, on the model’s ratings

DREXSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: DREX 50.6 and allows 47.1; ODU 50.6 and allows 50.8

ODUSmall

Home court

ODU at home. This season: ODU 0-0 at home, DREX 0-0 away

ODUSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: DREX 19.1%, ODU 15.4%. Forced: DREX 16.4%, ODU 14.5%

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: DREX 31.6, ODU 34.7. Allowed: DREX 35.4, ODU 42.0

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: DREX 24%, ODU 34%. Transfers in: DREX 2, ODU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Context

Schedule so far

DREX has played the 199th-hardest schedule, ODU the 188th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Three-pointers

DREX hits 35.5% and allows 30.3%; ODU hits 36.0% and allows 32.0%. Threes are 40.0% and 36.2% of their shots

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	ODU -3.0	—
Total	—	141.1	—
Projected score	—	DREX 69.1 · ODU 72.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	ODU -1.7	—
1H total	66.0	—
1H projected score	DREX 32.2 · ODU 33.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DREX WWLWL	19-13	59%	7-7	—
ODU LLWLL	16-16	50%	6-6	—

Venue/role: DREX away; ODU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
DREX UUUOU	14-18	44%	16-16
ODU OOOOO	21-11	66%	11-21

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DREX	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
ODU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Drexel

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 13	@ NJIT	W75–43WU
Dec 15	@ PITT	No recent meeting

Old Dominion

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 5	vs RICH	L77–86WO
Dec 12	@ GMU	L61–73WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

DREX 2–1 ODUDREX leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · DREX 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 23, 2025-26	ODU 71 @ DREX 75	DREX -3.5	DREX W
Nov 26, 2023-24	DREX 61 @ ODU 68	ODU PK	ODU W
Nov 11, 2022-23	ODU 59 @ DREX 71	DREX +2.5	DREX W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Drexel

32 games played

Straight up

16-16

50% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1650%

L L L W L W W L L L W W L L L W W W L W W W L W L L W W W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

L L L W L W L W L L W W W W W W W W W W W L L W L L W W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1844%

O O U U U O U O O O O O U U O U U U U O U U U O O O U U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@JOES	L 65-76	+9.5	L −1.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 11	@COLG	L 83-90	+3.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 173
Nov 15	vsSYR	L 50-80	+11.5	L −18.5	143.5	U 130
Nov 18	vsNJIT	W 75-43	-13.5	W +18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 21	vsPENN	L 68-84	-4.5	L −20.5	152.5	U 152
Nov 23	vsODU	W 75-71	-3.5	W +0.5	142.5	O 146
Nov 25	@MORG	W 71-66	-5.5	L −0.5	143.5	U 137
Dec 3	@AMER	L 73-75	+4.5	W +2.5	137.5	O 148
Dec 6	@LAS	L 64-69	-1.5	L −6.5	129.5	O 133
Dec 16	vsHOW	L 66-74	-6.5	L −14.5	138.5	O 140
Dec 19	vsMSM	W 75-67	-4.5	W +3.5	137.5	O 142
Dec 21	vsME	W 74-56	-10.5	W +7.5	129.5	O 130
Dec 29	@COFC	L 63-72	+9.5	W +0.5	142.5	U 135
Dec 31	@UNCW	L 53-65	+12.5	W +0.5	137.5	U 118
Jan 3	vsHOF	L 67-70	+4.5	W +1.5	131.5	O 137
Jan 8	vsSTBK	W 56-37	-5.5	W +13.5	132.5	U 93
Jan 10	vsW&M	W 64-58	+3.5	W +9.5	150.5	U 122
Jan 15	@MONM	W 73-51	+5.5	W +27.5	127.5	U 124
Jan 19	@TOW	L 58-59	+7.5	W +6.5	124.5	U 117
Jan 24	vsNE	W 83-78	-4.5	W +0.5	139.5	O 161
Jan 29	vsHAMP	W 58-51	-2.5	W +4.5	127.5	U 109
Jan 31	vsNCAT	W 61-60	-7.5	L −6.5	138.5	U 121
Feb 5	@CAM	L 60-81	+4.5	L −16.5	141.5	U 141
Feb 7	@ELON	W 82-77	+4.5	W +9.5	136.5	O 159
Feb 12	vsMONM	L 73-93	-1.5	L −21.5	133.5	O 166
Feb 16	@STBK	L 69-72	+2.5	L −0.5	135.5	O 141
Feb 19	@NE	W 70-61	+1.5	W +10.5	143.5	U 131
Feb 22	vsTOW	W 68-62	+2.5	W +8.5	130.5	U 130
Feb 26	vsCAM	W 65-60	-1.5	W +3.5	143.5	U 125
Mar 3	@HOF	L 51-62	+8.5	L −2.5	133.5	U 113
Mar 7	vsNE	W 84-77	-4.5	W +2.5	138.5	O 161
Mar 8	vsMONM	L 57-65	+3.5	L −4.5	136.5	U 122

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

JOES

L 65-76

−1.5

COLG

L 83-90

−3.5

SYR

L 50-80

−18.5

NJIT

W 75-43

+18.5

PENN

L 68-84

−20.5

ODU

W 75-71

+0.5

MORG

W 71-66

−0.5

AMER

L 73-75

+2.5

LAS

L 64-69

−6.5

HOW

L 66-74

−14.5

MSM

W 75-67

+3.5

W 74-56

+7.5

COFC

L 63-72

+0.5

UNCW

L 53-65

+0.5

HOF

L 67-70

+1.5

STBK

W 56-37

+13.5

W&M

W 64-58

+9.5

MONM

W 73-51

+27.5

TOW

L 58-59

+6.5

W 83-78

+0.5

HAMP

W 58-51

+4.5

NCAT

W 61-60

−6.5

CAM

L 60-81

−16.5

ELON

W 82-77

+9.5

MONM

L 73-93

−21.5

STBK

L 69-72

−0.5

W 70-61

+10.5

TOW

W 68-62

+8.5

CAM

W 65-60

+3.5

HOF

L 51-62

−2.5

W 84-77

+2.5

MONM

L 57-65

−4.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

JOES

L 65-76

+1.5

COLG

L 83-90

+29.5

SYR

L 50-80

−13.5

NJIT

W 75-43

−20.5

PENN

L 68-84

−0.5

ODU

W 75-71

+3.5

MORG

W 71-66

−6.5

AMER

L 73-75

+10.5

LAS

L 64-69

+3.5

HOW

L 66-74

+1.5

MSM

W 75-67

+4.5

W 74-56

+0.5

COFC

L 63-72

−7.5

UNCW

L 53-65

−19.5

HOF

L 67-70

+5.5

STBK

W 56-37

−39.5

W&M

W 64-58

−28.5

MONM

W 73-51

−3.5

TOW

L 58-59

−7.5

W 83-78

+21.5

HAMP

W 58-51

−18.5

NCAT

W 61-60

−17.5

CAM

L 60-81

−0.5

ELON

W 82-77

+22.5

MONM

L 73-93

+32.5

STBK

L 69-72

+5.5

W 70-61

−12.5

TOW

W 68-62

−0.5

CAM

W 65-60

−18.5

HOF

L 51-62

−20.5

W 84-77

+22.5

MONM

L 57-65

−14.5

over 14under 18avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Old Dominion

32 games played

Straight up

11-21

34% wins

Against the spread

16-16

50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

21-11

66% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

11-2134%

L W L L W L L L L L W L L L L W L L W L W L L W L W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1650%

W L L L W L W L W W W L L L L W W W W L W L L W W W W L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

21-1166%

O U O O U O O U O U U O U O O U U O O O U O O U O U O O O O O O

6 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@M-OH	L 72-87	+16.5	W +1.5	153.5	O 159
Nov 11	vsNORF	W 60-57	-8.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 117
Nov 15	@GW	L 73-96	+15.5	L −7.5	155.5	O 169
Nov 18	@XAV	L 69-99	+10.5	L −19.5	150.5	O 168
Nov 21	vsMORG	W 88-56	-11.5	W +20.5	156.5	U 144
Nov 23	@DREX	L 71-75	+3.5	L −0.5	142.5	O 146
Nov 25	@VILL	L 75-89	+22.5	W +8.5	147.5	O 164
Nov 30	@W&M	L 75-88	+8.5	L −4.5	163.5	U 163
Dec 6	@RICH	L 77-86	+12.5	W +3.5	153.5	O 163
Dec 13	@GMU	L 61-73	+16.5	W +4.5	144.5	U 134
Dec 17	vsJMU	W 77-68	+2.5	W +11.5	148.5	U 145
Dec 20	vsCCU	L 74-76	-3.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 150
Dec 28	@MD	L 58-73	+14.5	L −0.5	154.5	U 131
Dec 31	vsAPP	L 73-81	-1.5	L −9.5	136.5	O 154
Jan 3	vsGASO	L 86-93	+1.5	L −5.5	161.5	O 179
Jan 8	@CCU	W 70-66	+4.5	W +8.5	151.5	U 136
Jan 10	@JMU	L 69-70	+6.5	W +5.5	147.5	U 139
Jan 15	@GASO	L 84-87	+5.5	W +2.5	162.5	O 171
Jan 17	@APP	W 75-73	+7.5	W +9.5	140.5	O 148
Jan 21	vsTROY	L 77-83	+5.5	L −0.5	152.5	O 160
Jan 28	@ARST	W 75-71	+9.5	W +13.5	159.5	U 146
Jan 31	@TXST	L 64-81	+2.5	L −14.5	143.5	O 145
Feb 4	vsULM	L 79-85	-14.5	L −20.5	154.5	O 164
Feb 7	vsOHIO	W 78-72	+3.5	W +9.5	156.5	U 150
Feb 11	vsMRSH	L 79-81	+3.5	W +1.5	155.5	O 160
Feb 14	vsGAST	W 78-55	-3.5	W +19.5	147.5	U 133
Feb 16	vsUL	W 83-72	-6.5	W +4.5	135.5	O 155
Feb 21	@USM	L 81-86	+4.5	L −0.5	147.5	O 167
Feb 24	@MRSH	L 88-97	+7.5	L −1.5	159.5	O 185
Feb 27	@GAST	W 81-73	-1.5	W +6.5	149.5	O 154
Mar 3	vsULM	W 87-80	-9.5	L −2.5	157.5	O 167
Mar 4	vsGASO	L 84-88	+2.5	L −1.5	157.5	O 172

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

M-OH

L 72-87

+1.5

NORF

W 60-57

−5.5

L 73-96

−7.5

XAV

L 69-99

−19.5

MORG

W 88-56

+20.5

DREX

L 71-75

−0.5

VILL

L 75-89

+8.5

W&M

L 75-88

−4.5

RICH

L 77-86

+3.5

GMU

L 61-73

+4.5

JMU

W 77-68

+11.5

CCU

L 74-76

−5.5

L 58-73

−0.5

APP

L 73-81

−9.5

GASO

L 86-93

−5.5

CCU

W 70-66

+8.5

JMU

L 69-70

+5.5

GASO

L 84-87

+2.5

APP

W 75-73

+9.5

TROY

L 77-83

−0.5

ARST

W 75-71

+13.5

TXST

L 64-81

−14.5

ULM

L 79-85

−20.5

OHIO

W 78-72

+9.5

MRSH

L 79-81

+1.5

GAST

W 78-55

+19.5

W 83-72

+4.5

USM

L 81-86

−0.5

MRSH

L 88-97

−1.5

GAST

W 81-73

+6.5

ULM

W 87-80

−2.5

GASO

L 84-88

−1.5

covered 16didn’t cover 16avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

M-OH

L 72-87

+5.5

NORF

W 60-57

−32.5

L 73-96

+13.5

XAV

L 69-99

+17.5

MORG

W 88-56

−12.5

DREX

L 71-75

+3.5

VILL

L 75-89

+16.5

W&M

L 75-88

−0.5

RICH

L 77-86

+9.5

GMU

L 61-73

−10.5

JMU

W 77-68

−3.5

CCU

L 74-76

+2.5

L 58-73

−23.5

APP

L 73-81

+17.5

GASO

L 86-93

+17.5

CCU

W 70-66

−15.5

JMU

L 69-70

−8.5

GASO

L 84-87

+8.5

APP

W 75-73

+7.5

TROY

L 77-83

+7.5

ARST

W 75-71

−13.5

TXST

L 64-81

+1.5

ULM

L 79-85

+9.5

OHIO

W 78-72

−6.5

MRSH

L 79-81

+4.5

GAST

W 78-55

−14.5

W 83-72

+19.5

USM

L 81-86

+19.5

MRSH

L 88-97

+25.5

GAST

W 81-73

+4.5

ULM

W 87-80

+9.5

GASO

L 84-88

+14.5

over 21under 11avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Drexel 2, Old Dominion 2, even 1

DrexelBetterOld Dominion

G J. Reed7.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 44

Even

G B. Benjamin TR5.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 32

G A. Abram TR3.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 80

DREXSmall

G Z. Wiggins6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 46

G D. Tingler3.4 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast Score 59

DREXBig

G S. Hubbard3.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 10

F P. Pagonis TR4.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 1 ast Score 6

ODUSmall

F Z. Weluche-Ume TR11.1 pts · 7.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 29

F M. de LaPorterie2.9 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 12

ODUSmall

F J. Turner6.2 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 30

DrexelBetterOld Dominion

DREX offense323rd of 366 · -10.5

ODUSmall

ODU defense222nd of 366 · -5.8

DREX defense175th of 366 · -3.9

DREXSmall

ODU offense240th of 366 · -7.3

Backcourt-0.2 · 3 players

DREXBig

Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players

Frontcourt-3.5 · 2 players

Even

Frontcourt-2.9 · 2 players

Bench-0.1 · 2 players

DREXBig

Bench-3.2 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestDREX betterODU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Drexel

Guards

J. Reed19 minA. Abram11 min · TRD. Tingler10 minM. Davis2 minL. PittmanNewM. HippsNew

Forwards

P. Pagonis18 min · TRM. de LaPorterie13 minR. Akuta5 minC. EdomwonyinNewD. SimonovicNew

Old Dominion

Guards

B. Benjamin20 min · TRZ. Wiggins18 minS. Hubbard16 minK. Thurmon11 min · TRC. Parker3 minR. Hellams2 min

Forwards

Z. Weluche-Ume31 min · TRJ. Turner21 minK. Howze10 min · TRB. Nacey8 minJ. NwekeNewL. MartiniNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

DREX67.3 #328

ODU75.7 #150

Points per possession

DREX1.03 #282

ODU1.06 #217

Pace (possessions)

DREX65.2 #341

ODU70.8 #81

Shooting

Effective FG%

DREX50.6 #204

ODU50.6 #203

3-point %

DREX35.5 #90

ODU36.0 #60

3-point attempt rate

DREX40.0 #171

ODU36.2 #245

Free throw rate

DREX31.6 #265

ODU34.7 #189

Possessions

Turnover rate

DREX19.1 #322

ODU15.4 #95

Offensive rebound rate

DREX31.2 #156

ODU26.0 #323

Assists per game

DREX12.8 #226

ODU12.9 #218

Defense

Points allowed

DREX67.6 #26

ODU78.7 #283

Points allowed per possession

DREX1.04 #64

ODU1.12 #263

Opponent effective FG%

DREX47.1 #22

ODU50.8 #145

Opponent 3-point %

DREX30.3 #15

ODU32.0 #62

Turnovers forced

DREX16.4 #195

ODU14.5 #321

Defensive rebound rate

DREX69.0 #202

ODU69.7 #176

Steals per game

DREX5.8 #254

ODU5.7 #275

Blocks per game

DREX3.5 #144

ODU3.1 #208

DREX		ODU
Scoring
67.3 #328	Points per game	75.7 #150
1.03 #282	Points per possession	1.06 #217
65.2 #341	Pace (possessions)	70.8 #81
Shooting
50.6 #204	Effective FG%	50.6 #203
35.5 #90	3-point %	36.0 #60
40.0 #171	3-point attempt rate	36.2 #245
31.6 #265	Free throw rate	34.7 #189
Possessions
19.1 #322	Turnover rate	15.4 #95
31.2 #156	Offensive rebound rate	26.0 #323
12.8 #226	Assists per game	12.9 #218
Defense
67.6 #26	Points allowed	78.7 #283
1.04 #64	Points allowed per possession	1.12 #263
47.1 #22	Opponent effective FG%	50.8 #145
30.3 #15	Opponent 3-point %	32.0 #62
16.4 #195	Turnovers forced	14.5 #321
69.0 #202	Defensive rebound rate	69.7 #176
5.8 #254	Steals per game	5.7 #275
3.5 #144	Blocks per game	3.1 #208

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Drexel

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Monmouth57–65
Wvs Northeastern84–77
L@ Hofstra51–62
Wvs Campbell65–60
Wvs Towson68–62

A week or more of rest.

Old Dominion

11-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs GA Southern84–88
Wvs UL Monroe87–80
W@ Georgia St81–73
L@ Marshall88–97
L@ Southern Miss81–86

A week or more of rest.

Drexel Dragons at Old Dominion Monarchs

What could decide it

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Drexel

Old Dominion

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Drexel

Old Dominion