1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. MVSU @ MICH
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Michigan Wolverines

Crisler Center · at Michigan
#366MVSUMiss Valley St
@
#8MICHMichigan AP #16
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MVSUThis seasonMICH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MICH 103–47 · win probability MICH 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MICH has more of the edges

MVSU 0, MICH 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MICHBig
MICH offense vs MVSU defense
Offense 5th of 366 against a defense 366th, on the model’s ratings
MICHBig
MVSU offense vs MICH defense
Offense 366th of 366 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
MICHBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: MVSU 45.2 and allows 55.5; MICH 58.3 and allows 44.6
Context
Schedule so far
MVSU has played the 327th-hardest schedule, MICH the 3rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
MICHBig
Three-pointers
MVSU hits 29.5% and allows 37.2%; MICH hits 36.8% and allows 30.4%. Threes are 30.2% and 41.5% of their shots
MICHBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MVSU 26.4%, MICH 34.7%. Defensive: MVSU 64.5%, MICH 71.8%
MICHBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MVSU 33.9, MICH 38.0. Allowed: MVSU 50.8, MICH 26.0
MICHSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MVSU 0%, MICH 38%. Transfers in: MVSU 2, MICH 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
MICHSmall
Home court
MICH at home. This season: MICH 0-0 at home, MVSU 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MVSU 21.9%, MICH 16.3%. Forced: MVSU 17.1%, MICH 15.2%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: MVSU plays 70.2 a game (111th fastest), MICH 71.7 (48th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MICH -55.9—
Total—150.4—
Projected score—MVSU 47.3 · MICH 103.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMICH -33.1—
1H total70.3—
1H projected scoreMVSU 18.6 · MICH 51.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Michigan has the better starters

Position by position: Miss Valley St 0, Michigan 1, even 4
Miss Valley StBetterMichigan
G T. Foster TR5.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 20
MICHBig
G K. Noland TR17.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.6 ast Score 87
G T. James TR0.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G E. Cadeau10.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 5.9 ast Score 87
G E. Pippins NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G T. McKenney9.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 88
G A. Abrams NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G R. Gayle7.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 76
F T. Williams NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
C M. Thiam TR12.8 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 92
Miss Valley StBetterMichigan
MVSU offense366th of 366 · -17.5
MICHBig
MICH defense10th of 366 · +7.4
MVSU defense366th of 366 · -14.3
MICHBig
MICH offense5th of 366 · +10.9
Backcourt-2.1 · 4 players
MICHBig
Backcourt+7.0 · 4 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+4.4 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+5.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestMVSU betterMICH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Miss Valley St
Guards
T. Foster20 min · TRT. James3 min · TRE. PippinsNewA. AbramsNewM. AngloNewC. CameronNew
Forwards
T. WilliamsNewQ. PangNewG. MartinezNewH. WilsonNewM. McCoyNew
Centers
T. WuNew
Michigan
Guards
K. Noland34 min · TRE. Cadeau27 minT. McKenney22 minR. Gayle21 minH. Eisley1 minR. LiburdNew
Forwards
J. Estrella18 min · TRJ. Reed18 min · TRO. Goodman5 minH. HochbergNewL. CosbyNewQ. CostelloNew
Centers
M. Thiam27 min · TRM. MollerNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MVSUMICH
Scoring
63.2 #356Points per game87.3 #4
0.90 #364Points per possession1.21 #8
70.2 #111Pace (possessions)71.7 #48
Shooting
45.2 #359Effective FG%58.3 #8
29.5 #3463-point %36.8 #33
30.2 #3513-point attempt rate41.5 #141
33.9 #215Free throw rate38.0 #102
Possessions
21.9 #361Turnover rate16.3 #157
26.4 #313Offensive rebound rate34.7 #55
11.9 #296Assists per game18.6 #5
Defense
83.7 #353Points allowed69.5 #55
1.20 #355Points allowed per possession0.97 #8
55.5 #341Opponent effective FG%44.6 #1
37.2 #346Opponent 3-point %30.4 #18
17.1 #142Turnovers forced15.2 #270
64.5 #346Defensive rebound rate71.8 #70
7.1 #119Steals per game5.6 #286
2.6 #300Blocks per game6.0 #2
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Miss Valley St

2-30 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Grambling52–77
  • L@ Jackson St77–85
  • L@ Alcorn St64–67
  • W@ AR-Pine Bluff70–69
  • L@ Grambling62–83

A week or more of rest.

Michigan

37-3 in 2025-26 overall · 21-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs UConn69–63
  • Wvs Arizona91–73
  • Wvs Tennessee95–62
  • Wvs Alabama90–77
  • Wvs Saint Louis95–72

A week or more of rest.