1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 15
  3. UNH @ BC
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 15

New Hampshire Wildcats at Boston College Eagles

Conte Forum · at Boston College
#286UNHNew Hampshire
@
#95BCBoston College
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNHThis seasonBC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BC 83–63 · win probability BC 96%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 145.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BC has more of the edges

UNH 1, BC 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BCBig
UNH offense vs BC defense
Offense 300th of 366 against a defense 83rd, on the model’s ratings
BCBig
BC offense vs UNH defense
Offense 96th of 366 against a defense 255th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UNH has played the 237th-hardest schedule, BC the 79th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BCBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNH 46.7 and allows 53.5; BC 47.0 and allows 48.9
UNHSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNH 47%, BC 1%. Transfers in: UNH 3, BC 11. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
BCSmall
Three-pointers
UNH hits 30.5% and allows 34.3%; BC hits 29.4% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 43.1% and 42.4% of their shots
BCSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNH 28.5, BC 32.4. Allowed: UNH 35.8, BC 34.6
BCSmall
Home court
BC at home. This season: BC 0-0 at home, UNH 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: UNH plays 68.9 a game (186th fastest), BC 67.5 (257th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNH 25.7%, BC 28.3%. Defensive: UNH 73.1%, BC 71.4%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNH 16.5%, BC 15.4%. Forced: UNH 15.8%, BC 14.8%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BC -19.9—
Total—145.1—
Projected score—UNH 62.6 · BC 82.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBC -11.7—
1H total67.9—
1H projected scoreUNH 28.1 · BC 39.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Boston College has the better starters

Position by position: New Hampshire 0, Boston College 5, even 0
New HampshireBetterBoston College
G T. Bike7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 34
BCSmall
G E. Shelton TR15.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 65
G E. Oliver-Bush TR3.2 pts · 2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
BCBig
G A. Zeigler TR12.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.3 ast Score 60
F D. Poser6.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 11
BCBig
G M. Williams TR21.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 96
F J. Squire5.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 34
BCBig
F B. Benjamin TR14.2 pts · 10.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 89
F D. McKenna TR3.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 47
BCBig
F A. Bukumirovic TR13.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1 ast Score 86
New HampshireBetterBoston College
UNH offense300th of 366 · -9.3
BCBig
BC defense83rd of 366 · +0.1
UNH defense255th of 366 · -6.7
BCBig
BC offense96th of 366 · -0.7
Backcourt-3.5 · 2 players
BCBig
Backcourt+4.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-4.5 · 3 players
BCBig
Frontcourt+5.8 · 2 players
Bench-2.3 · 4 players
UNHSmall
Bench-4.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUNH betterBC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
New Hampshire
Guards
T. Bike24 minE. Oliver-Bush16 min · TRM. Blackley2 minA. SquireNewJ. ColemanNewJ. FaumuinaNew
Forwards
D. Poser29 minJ. Squire27 minD. McKenna11 min · TRR. Zan8 min · TRJ. O'Neill6 minK. MyersNew
Centers
G. Xanthopoulos6 min
Boston College
Guards
E. Shelton37 min · TRA. Zeigler33 min · TRM. Williams32 min · TRJ. Frankel21 min · TRJ. O'Toole3 min · TRJ. Furphy3 min · TR
Forwards
B. Benjamin31 min · TRA. Bukumirovic30 min · TRC. Duggan28 min · TRL. Hunger19 min · TRA. Tounkara18 min · TRJ. BaileyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNHBC
Scoring
66.6 #339Points per game67.4 #326
0.96 #347Points per possession1.00 #323
68.9 #186Pace (possessions)67.5 #257
Shooting
46.7 #344Effective FG%47.0 #338
30.5 #3333-point %29.4 #348
43.1 #1103-point attempt rate42.4 #130
28.5 #338Free throw rate32.4 #251
Possessions
16.5 #166Turnover rate15.4 #102
25.7 #329Offensive rebound rate28.3 #254
10.6 #348Assists per game11.3 #323
Defense
76.4 #227Points allowed70.7 #70
1.11 #247Points allowed per possession1.04 #81
53.5 #282Opponent effective FG%48.9 #62
34.3 #204Opponent 3-point %31.9 #59
15.8 #227Turnovers forced14.8 #303
73.1 #32Defensive rebound rate71.4 #87
6.1 #222Steals per game4.8 #341
2.0 #345Blocks per game4.1 #62
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

New Hampshire

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC69–84
  • Wvs Bryant88–83
  • L@ UAlbany61–84
  • L@ Binghamton63–65
  • Lvs Maine58–61

A week or more of rest.

Boston College

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Notre Dame77–69
  • L@ Virginia Tech63–72
  • L@ Miami54–76
  • Wvs Wake Forest68–67
  • L@ SMU70–94

A week or more of rest.