Coppin State Eagles at Virginia Tech Hokies: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 3, 7:00 PM ETCassell Coliseum · at Virginia Tech

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Coppin St and Virginia Tech
COPP	This season	VT
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects VT 89–59 · win probability VT 100%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 147.4

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: VT has more of the edges

COPP 0, VT 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

VTBig

Three-pointers

COPP hits 30.7% and allows 38.3%; VT hits 35.5% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 35.2% and 39.7% of their shots

VTBig

COPP offense vs VT defense

Offense 351st of 366 against a defense 72nd, on the model’s ratings

VTBig

VT offense vs COPP defense

Offense 68th of 366 against a defense 324th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

COPP has played the 313th-hardest schedule, VT the 74th. A record against a soft schedule means less

VTBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: COPP 45.9 and allows 55.4; VT 52.2 and allows 50.9

VTBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: COPP 22.3%, VT 14.9%. Forced: COPP 17.6%, VT 17.3%

VTSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: COPP 38.5, VT 34.0. Allowed: COPP 42.9, VT 28.8

VTSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: COPP 30.4%, VT 31.9%. Defensive: COPP 65.3%, VT 67.4%

VTSmall

Home court

VT at home. This season: VT 0-0 at home, COPP 0-0 away

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: COPP 68%, VT 47%. Transfers in: COPP 3, VT 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: COPP plays 69.3 a game (159th fastest), VT 69.8 (127th). Faster games mean more points

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	VT -29.8	—
Total	—	147.4	—
Projected score	—	COPP 58.8 · VT 88.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	VT -17.6	—
1H total	68.9	—
1H projected score	COPP 25.7 · VT 43.2	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COPP WWLLW	13-17	43%	9-10	—
VT WWLWL	19-13	59%	8-9	—

Venue/role: COPP away; VT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
COPP UOOOU	19-11	63%	6-24
VT UOUOO	17-15	53%	19-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COPP	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
VT	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Coppin St

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 6	@ GMU	L55–93LO
Nov 12	vs BRAD	No recent meeting
Nov 14	@ USF	L50–100LU

Virginia Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 5	vs MER	No recent meeting
Nov 10	vs IOWA	No recent meeting
Nov 13	vs MSM	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

COPP 0–1 VTVT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · COPP 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 6, 2023-24	COPP 55 @ VT 100	VT -28.5	VT W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Coppin St

30 games played

Straight up

6-24

20% wins

Against the spread

13-17

43% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-11

63% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

6-2420%

L L L L L L L W L L L L L L L L W L L L L L L W W W W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1743%

W L W L L W L W L L L W L L W L W L L W L L L W W W W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

19-1163%

O O O U U O O U O O U O O U O O U O O O O O U U U U O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMD	L 61-83	+28.5	W +6.5	139.5	O 144
Nov 5	@LAS	L 59-87	+17.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 9	@JMU	L 70-84	+18.5	W +4.5	141.5	O 154
Nov 12	@USF	L 50-100	+34.5	L −15.5	167.5	U 150
Nov 14	vsCMU	L 59-82	+10.5	L −12.5	142.5	U 141
Nov 15	vsUSA	L 62-72	+18.5	W +8.5	133.5	O 134
Nov 22	@VCU	L 58-101	+32.5	L −10.5	151.5	O 159
Nov 25	@RID	W 68-65	+8.5	W +11.5	139.5	U 133
Nov 30	@L-MD	L 84-95	+9.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 179
Dec 3	@WVU	L 49-91	+31.5	L −10.5	134.5	O 140
Dec 6	@LIB	L 50-92	+30.5	L −11.5	143.5	U 142
Dec 9	@JOES	L 65-87	+22.5	W +0.5	146.5	O 152
Dec 14	@RAD	L 77-107	+20.5	L −9.5	154.5	O 184
Dec 19	@NAVY	L 55-88	+20.5	L −12.5	145.5	U 143
Dec 22	@GTWN	L 67-97	+33.5	W +3.5	150.5	O 164
Dec 29	vsUMBC	L 59-93	+10.5	L −23.5	148.5	O 152
Jan 3	@DSU	W 53-51	+8.5	W +10.5	139.5	U 104
Jan 10	vsNCCU	L 77-88	+6.5	L −4.5	143.5	O 165
Jan 12	vsSCST	L 72-74	-1.5	L −3.5	140.5	O 146
Jan 17	@UMES	L 67-70	+10.5	W +7.5	133.5	O 137
Jan 24	@NORF	L 76-103	+13.5	L −13.5	143.5	O 179
Jan 31	vsMORG	L 80-89	+3.5	L −5.5	155.5	O 169
Feb 2	vsHOW	L 53-72	+14.5	L −4.5	146.5	U 125
Feb 7	vsDSU	W 65-47	+1.5	W +19.5	132.5	U 112
Feb 14	@NCCU	W 58-56	+10.5	W +12.5	143.5	U 114
Feb 16	@SCST	W 59-57	+4.5	W +6.5	138.5	U 116
Feb 21	vsUMES	W 71-65	+3.5	W +9.5	128.5	O 136
Feb 28	vsNORF	L 69-75	+5.5	L −0.5	140.5	O 144
Mar 2	@HOW	L 70-90	+19.5	L −0.5	140.5	O 160
Mar 5	@MORG	L 66-70	+5.5	W +1.5	149.5	U 136

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 61-83

+6.5

LAS

L 59-87

−10.5

JMU

L 70-84

+4.5

USF

L 50-100

−15.5

CMU

L 59-82

−12.5

USA

L 62-72

+8.5

VCU

L 58-101

−10.5

RID

W 68-65

+11.5

L-MD

L 84-95

−1.5

WVU

L 49-91

−10.5

LIB

L 50-92

−11.5

JOES

L 65-87

+0.5

RAD

L 77-107

−9.5

NAVY

L 55-88

−12.5

GTWN

L 67-97

+3.5

UMBC

L 59-93

−23.5

DSU

W 53-51

+10.5

NCCU

L 77-88

−4.5

SCST

L 72-74

−3.5

UMES

L 67-70

+7.5

NORF

L 76-103

−13.5

MORG

L 80-89

−5.5

HOW

L 53-72

−4.5

DSU

W 65-47

+19.5

NCCU

W 58-56

+12.5

SCST

W 59-57

+6.5

UMES

W 71-65

+9.5

NORF

L 69-75

−0.5

HOW

L 70-90

−0.5

MORG

L 66-70

+1.5

covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 61-83

+4.5

LAS

L 59-87

+6.5

JMU

L 70-84

+12.5

USF

L 50-100

−17.5

CMU

L 59-82

−1.5

USA

L 62-72

+0.5

VCU

L 58-101

+7.5

RID

W 68-65

−6.5

L-MD

L 84-95

+35.5

WVU

L 49-91

+5.5

LIB

L 50-92

−1.5

JOES

L 65-87

+5.5

RAD

L 77-107

+29.5

NAVY

L 55-88

−2.5

GTWN

L 67-97

+13.5

UMBC

L 59-93

+3.5

DSU

W 53-51

−35.5

NCCU

L 77-88

+21.5

SCST

L 72-74

+5.5

UMES

L 67-70

+3.5

NORF

L 76-103

+35.5

MORG

L 80-89

+13.5

HOW

L 53-72

−21.5

DSU

W 65-47

−20.5

NCCU

W 58-56

−29.5

SCST

W 59-57

−22.5

UMES

W 71-65

+7.5

NORF

L 69-75

+3.5

HOW

L 70-90

+19.5

MORG

L 66-70

−13.5

over 19under 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Virginia Tech

32 games played

Straight up

19-13

59% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

17-15

53% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

19-1359%

W W W W W W L L W W W W W W L L W L W W L W L L W L L W L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

19-1359%

W W W L L L L L W W W W L W W L L W W W W L L W W L W W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

17-1553%

O O U O U U U O O U O U O O O U O U O U U U U O O O U U O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsCHSO	W 98-67	-18.5	W +12.5	146.5	O 165
Nov 8	vsPROV	W 107-101	+2.5	W +8.5	157.5	O 208
Nov 12	vsJOES	W 94-59	-12.5	W +22.5	158.5	U 153
Nov 16	vsCLT	W 84-76	-18.5	L −10.5	145.5	O 160
Nov 19	vsBRY	W 78-61	-24.5	L −7.5	151.5	U 139
Nov 26	vsCSU	W 66-64	-4.5	L −2.5	153.5	U 130
Nov 27	vsSMC	L 66-77	+5.5	L −5.5	144.5	U 143
Nov 28	vsVCU	L 68-86	+2.5	L −15.5	153.5	O 154
Dec 2	@SC	W 86-83	+2.5	W +5.5	149.5	O 169
Dec 6	vsGMU	W 73-62	-4.5	W +6.5	144.5	U 135
Dec 11	vsWCU	W 96-74	-20.5	W +1.5	152.5	O 170
Dec 14	vsUMES	W 82-53	-27.5	W +1.5	139.5	U 135
Dec 20	vsELON	W 82-81	-12.5	L −11.5	158.5	O 163
Dec 31	vsUVA	W 95-85	+5.5	W +15.5	153.5	O 180
Jan 3	@WAKE	L 78-81	+5.5	W +2.5	153.5	O 159
Jan 7	vsSTAN	L 68-69	-3.5	L −4.5	148.5	U 137
Jan 10	vsCAL	W 78-75	-5.5	L −2.5	148.5	O 153
Jan 14	@SMU	L 76-77	+8.5	W +7.5	155.5	U 153
Jan 17	vsND	W 89-76	-6.5	W +6.5	143.5	O 165
Jan 21	@SYR	W 76-74	+3.5	W +5.5	152.5	U 150
Jan 24	@LOU	L 71-85	+14.5	W +0.5	160.5	U 156
Jan 27	vsGT	W 71-65	-9.5	L −3.5	155.5	U 136
Jan 31	vsDUKE	L 58-72	+13.5	L −0.5	148.5	U 130
Feb 7	@NCSU	L 73-82	+10.5	W +1.5	154.5	O 155
Feb 11	@CLEM	W 76-66	+8.5	W +18.5	138.5	O 142
Feb 14	vsFSU	L 69-92	-4.5	L −27.5	156.5	O 161
Feb 17	@MIA	L 66-67	+8.5	W +7.5	148.5	U 133
Feb 21	vsWAKE	W 82-63	-3.5	W +15.5	150.5	U 145
Feb 28	@UNC	L 82-89	+7.5	W +0.5	149.5	O 171
Mar 3	vsBC	W 72-63	-11.5	L −2.5	142.5	U 135
Mar 7	@UVA	L 72-76	+11.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 148
Mar 10	vsWAKE	L 89-95	+1.5	L −4.5	150.5	O 184

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CHSO

W 98-67

+12.5

PROV

W 107-101

+8.5

JOES

W 94-59

+22.5

CLT

W 84-76

−10.5

BRY

W 78-61

−7.5

CSU

W 66-64

−2.5

SMC

L 66-77

−5.5

VCU

L 68-86

−15.5

W 86-83

+5.5

GMU

W 73-62

+6.5

WCU

W 96-74

+1.5

UMES

W 82-53

+1.5

ELON

W 82-81

−11.5

UVA

W 95-85

+15.5

WAKE

L 78-81

+2.5

STAN

L 68-69

−4.5

CAL

W 78-75

−2.5

SMU

L 76-77

+7.5

W 89-76

+6.5

SYR

W 76-74

+5.5

LOU

L 71-85

+0.5

W 71-65

−3.5

DUKE

L 58-72

−0.5

NCSU

L 73-82

+1.5

CLEM

W 76-66

+18.5

FSU

L 69-92

−27.5

MIA

L 66-67

+7.5

WAKE

W 82-63

+15.5

UNC

L 82-89

+0.5

W 72-63

−2.5

UVA

L 72-76

+7.5

WAKE

L 89-95

−4.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CHSO

W 98-67

+18.5

PROV

W 107-101

+50.5

JOES

W 94-59

−5.5

CLT

W 84-76

+14.5

BRY

W 78-61

−12.5

CSU

W 66-64

−23.5

SMC

L 66-77

−1.5

VCU

L 68-86

+0.5

W 86-83

+19.5

GMU

W 73-62

−9.5

WCU

W 96-74

+17.5

UMES

W 82-53

−4.5

ELON

W 82-81

+4.5

UVA

W 95-85

+26.5

WAKE

L 78-81

+5.5

STAN

L 68-69

−11.5

CAL

W 78-75

+4.5

SMU

L 76-77

−2.5

W 89-76

+21.5

SYR

W 76-74

−2.5

LOU

L 71-85

−4.5

W 71-65

−19.5

DUKE

L 58-72

−18.5

NCSU

L 73-82

+0.5

CLEM

W 76-66

+3.5

FSU

L 69-92

+4.5

MIA

L 66-67

−15.5

WAKE

W 82-63

−5.5

UNC

L 82-89

+21.5

W 72-63

−7.5

UVA

L 72-76

+2.5

WAKE

L 89-95

+33.5

over 17under 15avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Virginia Tech has the better starters

Position by position: Coppin St 0, Virginia Tech 5, even 0

Coppin StBetterVirginia Tech

G H. Williams7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27

VTBig

G E. Copeland TR14.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 67

G C. Sparrow5.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 40

VTBig

G B. Hammond13.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 3.2 ast Score 89

G J. Piercy6.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 23

VTBig

G I. Elohim TR12.2 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 71

F N. Lamizana6.6 pts · 3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 18

VTBig

G T. Johnson8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 77

F T. Koenig5.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 28

VTBig

F A. Hansberry14.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 92

Coppin StBetterVirginia Tech

COPP offense351st of 366 · -12.8

VTBig

VT defense72nd of 366 · +0.8

COPP defense324th of 366 · -8.4

VTBig

VT offense68th of 366 · +1.8

Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players

VTBig

Backcourt+4.7 · 4 players

Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players

VTBig

Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player

Bench-6.3 · 5 players

VTBig

Bench+1.5 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestCOPP betterVT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Coppin St

Guards

H. Williams20 minC. Sparrow19 minJ. Piercy18 minB. Saunders16 minD. Lydner12 minJ. Brown5 min

Forwards

N. Lamizana19 minT. Koenig17 minT. Gapare16 min · TRE. TaylorNewL. LawalNewA. MyersNew

Centers

F. Aire9 min

Virginia Tech

Guards

E. Copeland32 min · TRB. Hammond32 minI. Elohim29 min · TRT. Johnson26 minJ. Curry24 min · TRB. Johnson21 min · TR

Forwards

A. Hansberry31 minM. Heide19 min · TRK. Atak14 min · TRS. Jones7 min

Centers

M. Sagnia12 min · TRS. DavisNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

COPP64.3 #352

VT78.8 #85

Points per possession

COPP0.93 #362

VT1.13 #89

Pace (possessions)

COPP69.3 #159

VT69.8 #127

Shooting

Effective FG%

COPP45.9 #350

VT52.2 #134

3-point %

COPP30.7 #326

VT35.5 #88

3-point attempt rate

COPP35.2 #273

VT39.7 #179

Free throw rate

COPP38.5 #90

VT34.0 #209

Possessions

Turnover rate

COPP22.3 #363

VT14.9 #60

Offensive rebound rate

COPP30.4 #183

VT31.9 #129

Assists per game

COPP11.4 #317

VT14.4 #122

Defense

Points allowed

COPP81.0 #334

VT74.9 #184

Points allowed per possession

COPP1.17 #342

VT1.07 #141

Opponent effective FG%

COPP55.4 #339

VT50.9 #147

Opponent 3-point %

COPP38.3 #360

VT30.6 #26

Turnovers forced

COPP17.6 #118

VT17.3 #131

Defensive rebound rate

COPP65.3 #333

VT67.4 #284

Steals per game

COPP6.0 #233

VT6.4 #187

Blocks per game

COPP3.5 #143

VT3.2 #190

COPP		VT
Scoring
64.3 #352	Points per game	78.8 #85
0.93 #362	Points per possession	1.13 #89
69.3 #159	Pace (possessions)	69.8 #127
Shooting
45.9 #350	Effective FG%	52.2 #134
30.7 #326	3-point %	35.5 #88
35.2 #273	3-point attempt rate	39.7 #179
38.5 #90	Free throw rate	34.0 #209
Possessions
22.3 #363	Turnover rate	14.9 #60
30.4 #183	Offensive rebound rate	31.9 #129
11.4 #317	Assists per game	14.4 #122
Defense
81.0 #334	Points allowed	74.9 #184
1.17 #342	Points allowed per possession	1.07 #141
55.4 #339	Opponent effective FG%	50.9 #147
38.3 #360	Opponent 3-point %	30.6 #26
17.6 #118	Turnovers forced	17.3 #131
65.3 #333	Defensive rebound rate	67.4 #284
6.0 #233	Steals per game	6.4 #187
3.5 #143	Blocks per game	3.2 #190

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Coppin St

6-24 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Morgan St66–70
L@ Howard70–90
Lvs Norfolk St69–75
Wvs MD Eastern71–65
W@ SC State59–57

A week or more of rest.

Virginia Tech

19-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Wake Forest89–95
L@ Virginia72–76
Wvs Boston College72–63
L@ North Carolina82–89
Wvs Wake Forest82–63

A week or more of rest.

Coppin State Eagles at Virginia Tech Hokies

What could decide it: VT has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Coppin St

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Coppin St

Virginia Tech