Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State · Conference game
Closing line
OSU -2.5✓ NEB covered by 5.5
OSU -2.5✓ NEB covered by 5.5Closing total155.5Under by 14.5
 NEB | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-0 | Record | 10-3 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 5-8 |
| 5-9 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEB 78–80 OSU · ✗ OSU (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 38 | 34 | 72 |
| OSU | 31 | 38 | 69 |
1st half: NEB 38, OSU 31 (NEB by 7). The model had OSU by 1.1 and a total of 73.7 (actual 69).
Team stats
| NEB | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 26-57 46% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 8-13 62% |
| 38 8 off | Rebounds | 29 4 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 36 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| Rienk Mast F | 35 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-14 | 1-6 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 35 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 22 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jared Garcia F | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Connor Essegian, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Leo Curtis, Justin Bolis, Kendall Blue, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Henry Burt
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 37 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Devin Royal F | 37 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 36 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 8-17 | 5-13 |
| Amare Bynum F | 35 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 33 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gabe Cupps G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Noel F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Colin White F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ivan Njegovan, Myles Herro, Mathieu Grujicic, Braylen Nash, Josh Ojianwuna, Taison Chatman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOSU -2.5
ModelOSU -2.0
Model edgeNEB +0.5
W NEB covered
Total
Market155.5
Model157.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
NEB 77.7 · OSU 79.7
NEB 72 · OSU 69
Win probability
OSU 57%
1st half
Spread
OSU -1.1
NEB -7.0
Total
73.7
69 points
Projected score
NEB 36.3 · OSU 37.4
NEB 38 · OSU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -1.5
1 → OSU
CloseOSU -2.5
1 pt toward OSU
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NEB +140 · OSU -166
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -1.5 · closed OSU -2.5 · moved 1 toward OSUmodel OSU -2
model OSU -2
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| OSU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NEB 4–3 OSUNEB leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · NEB 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | NEB 114 @ OSU 116 | OSU -6.5 | NEB W |
| Feb 9, 2024-25 | OSU 71 @ NEB 79 | NEB -2.5 | NEB W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | NEB 69 @ OSU 78 | OSU -2.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | OSU 69 @ NEB 83 | NEB -3.5 | NEB W |
| Jan 18, 2022-23 | OSU 60 @ NEB 63 | NEB +5.5 | NEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nebraska
14 games played
Straight up
14-0
100% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −8.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
over 5under 9avg −8.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
13 games played
Straight up
10-3
77% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vsILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
over 7under 6avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nebraska
14-0 overall · 3-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Michigan St58–56
- Wvs New Hampshire86–55
- Wvs North Dakota78–55
- W@ Illinois83–80
- Wvs Wisconsin90–60
3 days since their last game.
Ohio State
10-3 overall · 2-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rutgers80–73
- Wvs Grambling89–63
- Lvs North Carolina70–71
- Wvs West Virginia89–88
- Lvs Illinois80–88
3 days since their last game.