Stroh Center · at Bowling Green · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -4.5✓ AKR covered by 5.5
AKR -4.5✓ AKR covered by 5.5Closing total163.5Under by 19.5
| AKR | This season | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 8-5 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 5-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AKR 85–82 BGSU · ✓ AKR (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 43 | 34 | 77 |
| BGSU | 27 | 40 | 67 |
1st half: AKR 43, BGSU 27 (AKR by 16). The model had AKR by 2.0 and a total of 78.1 (actual 70).
Team stats
| AKR | BGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-62 42% | Field goals | 26-61 43% |
| 11-34 32% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 40 12 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 19 | Assists | 10 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mahaffey F | 30 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Tavari Johnson G | 26 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Sharron Young G | 24 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Amani Lyles F | 20 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-2 |
| Zach Halligan F | 14 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 26 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 2-6 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 26 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 23 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ognjen Stankovic, Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson, Conner Groce, Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Chabi Barre
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javontae Campbell G | 40 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Mayar Wol F | 35 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 13-20 | 5-9 |
| Troy Glover II F | 34 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Sam Towns F | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Josiah Shackelford G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Javon Ruffin G | 30 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Makhi Leach G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justin Thomas G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aiden Goins F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jason Kimbrough, Christian Dedivanaj, Camden Karel, Alijah Adem, Preston Squire, Mohamed Maxamud, Greg Spurgin, Jaxon Pardon
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAKR -4.5
ModelAKR -3.1
Model edgeBGSU +1.4
L AKR covered
Total
Market163.5
Model166.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
L Under
Projected score
AKR 85 · BGSU 81.9
AKR 77 · BGSU 67
Win probability
AKR 61%
1st half
Spread
AKR -2.0
AKR -16.0
Total
78.1
70 points
Projected score
AKR 40 · BGSU 38.1
AKR 43 · BGSU 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -3.5
1 → AKR
CloseAKR -4.5
1 pt toward AKR
Total
Open165.5
▼ 2
Close163.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
AKR -198 · BGSU +164
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -3.5 · closed AKR -4.5 · moved 1 toward AKRmodel AKR -3
model AKR -3
Opened 165.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| BGSU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
AKR 6–0 BGSUAKR leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 6 meetings · AKR 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | BGSU 67 vs AKR 96 | AKR -11.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | AKR 71 @ BGSU 68 | BGSU +5.5 | BGSU W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | BGSU 67 @ AKR 83 | AKR -10.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 10, 2022-23 | AKR 74 @ BGSU 70 | BGSU +4.5 | BGSU W |
| Feb 22, 2021-22 | BGSU 68 @ AKR 82 | AKR -8 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +8.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @ M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs CMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
over 8under 5avg +8.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bowling Green
13 games played
Straight up
8-5
62% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXST | W 83-48 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEM | W 83-60 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | @ DAV | L 87-91 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 19 | vs W&M | L 74-82 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vsBUCK | W 71-66 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs VMI | W 81-48 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 1 | @ KSU | W 82-66 | +12.5 | W +28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVU | L 71-82 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs CHST | W 76-55 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ OHIO | W 68-58 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vsM-OH | L 83-93 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | @ MASS | W 101-100 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ KENT | L 93-96 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 189 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
+29.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
+11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+0.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−16.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−5.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
+21.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
+28.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
−9.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−0.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
+8.5
30
vsM-OH
M-OHL 83-93
−16.5
3
@MASS
MASSW 101-100
−0.5
6
@KENT
KENTL 93-96
+0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
−15.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
−11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+33.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−11.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−7.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
−19.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
−11.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
+8.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−17.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
−27.5
30
vsM-OH
M-OHL 83-93
+25.5
3
@MASS
MASSW 101-100
+48.5
6
@KENT
KENTL 93-96
+33.5
over 5under 8avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron
9-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan82–69
- L@ Miami OH73–76
- Wvs E Michigan93–72
- Lvs Murray St100–115
- W@ Tulane88–71
3 days since their last game.
Bowling Green
8-5 overall · 2-2 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kent State93–96
- W@ UMass101–100
- Lvs Miami OH83–93
- W@ Ohio68–58
- Wvs Chicago St76–55
3 days since their last game.