Addition Financial Arena · at UCF · Conference game
Closing line
UCF -2.5✓ CIN covered by 1.5
UCF -2.5✓ CIN covered by 1.5Closing total150.5Under by 5.5
 CIN | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 12-2 |
| 5-10 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 4-11 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 73–77 UCF · ✓ UCF (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 32 | 40 | 72 |
| UCF | 33 | 40 | 73 |
1st half: CIN 32, UCF 33 (UCF by 1). The model had UCF by 1.9 and a total of 70.3 (actual 65).
Team stats
| CIN | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-67 48% | Field goals | 30-52 58% |
| 3-19 16% | 3-pointers | 6-14 43% |
| 5-8 63% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 30 4 off |
| 19 | Assists | 20 |
| 9 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jizzle James G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-3 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 34 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 31 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 10-15 | 1-2 |
| Baba Miller F | 29 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Sencire Harris G | 26 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Celestine G | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Shon Abaev F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri, Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer, Grant Darbyshire, Jalen Haynes, Kerr Kriisa
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 35 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Riley Kugel G | 35 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 34 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 7-13 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Burks F | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| John Bol C | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeremy Foumena C | 30 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Chris Johnson G | 26 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kris Parker, Tanner Jones, Zachary Johnson, Carmelo Pacheco, Elijah Hulsewe, Poohpha Warakulnukroh
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCF -2.5
ModelUCF -3.5
Model edgeUCF +1.0
L CIN covered
Total
Market150.5
Model150.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
W Under
Projected score
CIN 73.3 · UCF 76.8
CIN 72 · UCF 73
Win probability
UCF 62%
1st half
Spread
UCF -1.9
UCF -1.0
Total
70.3
65 points
Projected score
CIN 34.2 · UCF 36.1
CIN 32 · UCF 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCF -3.5
1 → CIN
CloseUCF -2.5
1 pt toward CIN
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CIN +120 · UCF -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCF -3.5 · closed UCF -2.5 · moved 1 toward CINmodel UCF -3.5
model UCF -3.5
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| UCF | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CIN 5–2 UCFCIN leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · CIN 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024-25 | UCF 88 vs CIN 80 | CIN -6.5 | UCF W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | CIN 93 @ UCF 83 | UCF -3.5 | CIN W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | CIN 76 @ UCF 74 | UCF -0.5 | CIN W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UCF 57 @ CIN 68 | CIN -6.5 | CIN W |
| Feb 19, 2022-23 | CIN 73 @ UCF 71 | UCF -3.5 | CIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
5-10
33% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-11
27% overs · avg −7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vs HOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 10avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
over 4under 11avg −7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
14 games played
Straight up
12-2
86% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs KU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @ OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
over 6under 8avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
8-7 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ West Virginia60–62
- Lvs Houston60–67
- Wvs Lipscomb89–62
- Lvs Clemson65–68
- Wvs Alabama St88–51
5 days since their last game.
UCF
12-2 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma St76–87
- Wvs Kansas81–75
- Wvs FAU85–80
- Wvs FGCU102–80
- Wvs Mercer81–63
5 days since their last game.