Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
ILL -1.5✓ ILL covered by 4.5
ILL -1.5✓ ILL covered by 4.5Closing total142.5Over by 1.5
| ILL | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 12-3 |
| 9-6 | ATS | 11-4 |
| 4-11 | O/U | 8-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILL 76–74 IOWA · ✓ ILL (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 35 | 40 | 75 |
| IOWA | 24 | 45 | 69 |
1st half: ILL 35, IOWA 24 (ILL by 11). The model had ILL by 1.6 and a total of 70.4 (actual 59).
Team stats
| ILL | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-57 49% | Field goals | 27-66 41% |
| 10-28 36% | 3-pointers | 9-29 31% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 6-6 100% |
| 38 9 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell G | 38 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 7-13 | 1-5 |
| David Mirkovic F | 35 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Keaton Wagler G | 34 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 33 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 7-16 | 1-5 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Ben Humrichous F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jake Davis F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mihailo Petrovic, Blake Fagbemi, Brandon Lee, Jason Jakstys, AJ Redd, Ty Rodgers
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Koch F | 34 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 34 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2-9 | 2-7 |
| Bennett Stirtz G | 33 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5-17 | 2-8 |
| Kael Combs G | 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tate Sage G | 29 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Tavion Banks G | 25 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 8-14 | 0-1 |
| Isaia Howard G | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson, Trevin Jirak, Joey Matteoni, Jacob Koch, Brendan Hausen
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -1.5
no move
CloseILL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▼ 2
Close142.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
ILL -125 · IOWA +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -1.5 · unchangedmodel ILL -2.5
model ILL -2.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -1.5 | ILL -2.4 | ILL +0.9 | W ILL covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 150.4 | Over 7.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ILL 76.4 · IOWA 74 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -1.6 | ILL -11.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | ILL 36 · IOWA 34.4 | ILL 35 · IOWA 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| IOWA | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
ILL 6–1 IOWAILL leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · ILL has won the last 4 meetings · ILL 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | IOWA 94 vs ILL 106 | ILL -9.5 | ILL W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | IOWA 61 @ ILL 81 | ILL -11.5 | ILL W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | ILL 73 @ IOWA 61 | IOWA +1.5 | ILL W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | IOWA 85 @ ILL 95 | ILL -9.5 | ILL W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | ILL 79 @ IOWA 81 | IOWA -3.5 | ILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-11
27% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | vs TENN | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ OSU | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs NEB | L 80-83 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs MIZ | W 91-48 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs SOU | W 90-55 | -33.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ PSU | W 73-65 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | vs RUTG | W 81-55 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
+14.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+4.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
−12.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
+34.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
+1.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−6.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
−12.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+5.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
+6.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
−14.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
−18.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−18.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
−13.5
over 4under 11avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
11-4
73% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs UML | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCLA | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ MINN | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
−5.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
+6.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 4avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
−5.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
+6.5
over 8under 7avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois
12-3 overall · 3-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rutgers81–55
- W@ Penn State73–65
- Wvs Southern90–55
- Wvs Missouri91–48
- Lvs Nebraska80–83
3 days since their last game.
Iowa
12-3 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Minnesota67–70
- Wvs UCLA74–61
- Wvs UMass Lowell90–62
- Wvs Bucknell94–39
- Wvs W Michigan91–51
5 days since their last game.