Robins Center · at Richmond · Conference game
Closing line
RICH -7.5✓ JOES covered by 9.5
RICH -7.5✓ JOES covered by 9.5Closing total150.5Under by 18.5
 JOES | This season | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 11-4 |
| 4-10 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 74–80 RICH · ✗ RICH (71%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 45 | 22 | 67 |
| RICH | 33 | 32 | 65 |
1st half: JOES 45, RICH 33 (JOES by 12). The model had RICH by 3.6 and a total of 71.8 (actual 78).
Team stats
| JOES | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-64 42% | Field goals | 22-64 34% |
| 10-31 32% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 3-6 50% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 42 9 off | Rebounds | 37 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 8 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson G | 37 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 7-19 | 5-9 |
| Anthony Finkley F | 29 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 28 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 27 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-9 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 24 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Williford G | 23 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-6 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Smith C | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mekai Johnson, Billy Rayer, Will Lange, Kevin Kearney, Owen Verna, Steven Solano, Al Amadou, Deuce Jones
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnston G | 29 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-2 |
| Mike Walz C | 22 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| AJ Lopez G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 28 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Collin Tanner G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| David Thomas G | 15 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Will Harper III G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Donovan Richardson, Dylan Homenick, Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRICH -7.5
ModelRICH -6.2
Model edgeJOES +1.3
W JOES covered
Total
Market150.5
Model153.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
L Under
Projected score
JOES 73.5 · RICH 79.7
JOES 67 · RICH 65
Win probability
RICH 71%
1st half
Spread
RICH -3.6
JOES -12.0
Total
71.8
78 points
Projected score
JOES 34.1 · RICH 37.7
JOES 45 · RICH 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICH -8.5
1 → JOES
CloseRICH -7.5
1 pt toward JOES
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JOES +270 · RICH -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICH -8.5 · closed RICH -7.5 · moved 1 toward JOESmodel RICH -6
model RICH -6
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| RICH | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JOES 4–1 RICHJOES leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · JOES has won the last 2 meetings · JOES 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | RICH 62 @ JOES 78 | JOES -13.5 | JOES W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | JOES 66 vs RICH 61 | RICH -2.5 | JOES W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | JOES 66 @ RICH 73 | RICH -4.5 | RICH W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | RICH 67 @ JOES 83 | JOES +2.5 | JOES W |
| Dec 30, 2021-22 | JOES 83 @ RICH 56 | RICH -11.5 | JOES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
4-10
29% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs DAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 10avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
over 6under 8avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vs GW | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 4 | @ FOR | W 83-75 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | @ SBU | W 89-80 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
−11.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+5.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
+21.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+15.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
over 9under 6avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
7-7 overall · 1-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Duquesne97–90
- Lvs Davidson56–62
- L@ Saint Louis79–102
- Lvs Coastal62–68
- Wvs Delaware St67–51
4 days since their last game.
Richmond
11-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ St Bonaventure89–80
- W@ Fordham83–75
- Lvs G Washington85–99
- Lvs Charleston So72–77
- Wvs The Citadel80–56
4 days since their last game.