Draddy Gymnasium · at Manhattan · Conference game
Closing line
MAN -5.5✓ MAN covered by 3.5
MAN -5.5✓ MAN covered by 3.5Closing total140.5Over by 8.5
 NIA | This season | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| 3-11 | Record | 6-10 |
| 4-10 | ATS | 6-10 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIA 70–76 MAN · ✓ MAN (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 38 | 32 | 70 |
| MAN | 36 | 43 | 79 |
1st half: NIA 38, MAN 36 (NIA by 2). The model had MAN by 3.4 and a total of 68.6 (actual 74).
Team stats
| NIA | MAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 6-7 86% | Free throws | 19-21 90% |
| 27 8 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 22 | Assists | 18 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| NIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-7 |
| Reggie Prudhomme G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Justin Hawkins F | 27 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Will Shortt F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Landon Williams G | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trenton Walters G | 27 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 6-8 | 4-5 |
| Josiah Sabino G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu C | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Vice Zanki F | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Drew Larson, Gael Dalmau, Brian Griffith, AJ McBride
| MAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston G | 38 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Devin Dinkins G | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Fraser Roxburgh F | 29 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush G | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Marko Ljubicic F | 20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Isaac Jr. F | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Jones G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Quron Elliott G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brett Rumpel, Asier Miguel, Nick Lukmann, Omari Moore, Jameson Borodawka, Jaeden Robley, Will Sydnor, Louis Fairtlough, Jackson Delaney, Michael Lawlor, Aryan Arora
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMAN -5.5
ModelMAN -5.9
Model edgeMAN +0.4
W MAN covered
Total
Market140.5
Model146.4
Model edgeOver 5.9
W Over
Projected score
NIA 70.2 · MAN 76.1
NIA 70 · MAN 79
Win probability
MAN 70%
1st half
Spread
MAN -3.4
NIA -2.0
Total
68.6
74 points
Projected score
NIA 32.6 · MAN 36
NIA 38 · MAN 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMAN -6.5
1 → NIA
CloseMAN -5.5
1 pt toward NIA
Total
Open144.5
▼ 4
Close140.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
NIA +210 · MAN -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MAN -6.5 · closed MAN -5.5 · moved 1 toward NIAmodel MAN -6
model MAN -6
Opened 144.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 4 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
| MAN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NIA 4–4 MANSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · MAN has won the last 3 meetings · NIA 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | MAN 85 @ NIA 70 | NIA +1.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | NIA 65 @ MAN 72 | MAN -1.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 28, 2023-24 | MAN 84 @ NIA 78 | NIA -9.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | NIA 81 @ MAN 67 | MAN +2.5 | NIA W |
| Jan 27, 2022-23 | MAN 62 @ NIA 68 | NIA -5.5 | NIA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Niagara
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
4-10
29% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DUQ | L 63-83 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ BING | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 10 | vs DSU | W 68-57 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 17 | @ LEM | L 68-74 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 21 | @ DUKE | L 42-100 | +39.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs HOW | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | vs DETM | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 5 | @ SIE | L 54-83 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | @ SPU | L 43-71 | +5.5 | L −22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ MORG | L 73-81 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 15 | @ VCU | L 58-84 | +30.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 2 | vs SHU | W 64-61 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | vs FAIR | L 75-83 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | @ IONA | L 53-71 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
−2.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
+10.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
+5.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
−3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−18.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
−5.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−2.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
−16.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−22.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
−6.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
+4.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
+4.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
−4.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 10avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
+6.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
−12.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
−12.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
+3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−4.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
+11.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−6.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
+7.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−17.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
+13.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
−1.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
−14.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
+19.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−16.5
over 6under 8avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Manhattan
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ USC | L 83-114 | +28.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTU | W 79-75 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ HAW | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs MVSU | W 80-73 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-109 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs WAG | L 101-103 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARMY | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vsFAIR | W 70-66 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRST | L 68-80 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ FOR | L 53-82 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs FUR | L 68-75 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs PRES | W 87-81 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 29 | @ RID | W 74-71 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs QUIN | W 80-79 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 4 | @ MRMK | L 66-73 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs CAN | L 64-70 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
−2.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
+6.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−13.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
−17.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
−4.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
−4.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+5.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
−4.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−20.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+8.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
+0.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
+8.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−0.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−13.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
+41.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
−4.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−1.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
+14.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
+59.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
+6.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−19.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
+7.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−12.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
−11.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+29.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
−2.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
−0.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−9.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−11.5
over 6under 10avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Niagara
3-11 overall · 1-4 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iona53–71
- Lvs Fairfield75–83
- Wvs Sacred Heart64–61
- L@ VCU58–84
- L@ Morgan St73–81
2 days since their last game.
Manhattan
6-10 overall · 3-3 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Canisius64–70
- L@ Merrimack66–73
- Wvs Quinnipiac80–79
- W@ Rider74–71
- Wvs Presbyterian87–81
2 days since their last game.