Long Island University Sharks at Seton Hall Pirates: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Nov 5, 6:30 PM ETPrudential Center · at Seton Hall

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Long Island and Seton Hall
LIU	This season	HALL
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HALL 82–58 · win probability HALL 98%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 140.0

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HALL has more of the edges

LIU 3, HALL 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

HALLBig

LIU offense vs HALL defense

Offense 339th of 366 against a defense 28th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

LIU has played the 290th-hardest schedule, HALL the 55th. A record against a soft schedule means less

HALLBig

HALL offense vs LIU defense

Offense 97th of 366 against a defense 283rd, on the model’s ratings

LIUBig

Three-pointers

LIU hits 35.8% and allows 32.2%; HALL hits 30.5% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 29.3% and 26.8% of their shots

HALLSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: LIU 19.0%, HALL 16.6%. Forced: LIU 18.7%, HALL 21.5%

LIUSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: LIU 52.8 and allows 50.0; HALL 47.6 and allows 47.3

LIUSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: LIU 34.0, HALL 35.3. Allowed: LIU 34.7, HALL 42.1

HALLSmall

Home court

HALL at home. This season: HALL 0-0 at home, LIU 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: LIU plays 68.5 a game (206th fastest), HALL 66.5 (296th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: LIU 33.9%, HALL 35.6%. Defensive: LIU 67.0%, HALL 68.1%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: LIU 6%, HALL 18%. Transfers in: LIU 6, HALL 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	HALL -24.1	—
Total	—	140.0	—
Projected score	—	LIU 58 · HALL 82

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	HALL -14.2	—
1H total	65.5	—
1H projected score	LIU 25.7 · HALL 39.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LIU WLWWL	17-18	49%	8-11	—
HALL WWLWL	19-14	58%	6-11	—

Venue/role: LIU away; HALL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
LIU UOUOO	15-20	43%	24-11
HALL OOUUO	13-20	39%	21-12

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LIU	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
HALL	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Long Island

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ LAS	W70–60WU
Nov 9	@ TOW	L64–74WU
Nov 13	@ FOR	L53–69LU

Seton Hall

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 9	vs CLT	No recent meeting
Nov 13	@ ALA	No recent meeting
Nov 19	vs WIS	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Long Island

35 games played

Straight up

24-11

69% wins

Against the spread

17-18

49% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-20

43% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

24-1169%

L W W W L L W L W W L L L W W W W W L W W W W W W L W W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-1849%

L W L W L L W W W W W L W L W L L L L L W W L L W L W L L W W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-2043%

O U O O U U U O O U O O U O U U U U O U U U U U U U O O O U U O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@ND	L 67-89	+15.5	L −6.5	135.5	O 156
Nov 6	@IUIN	W 94-90	+4.5	W +8.5	185.5	U 184
Nov 11	@AF	W 76-72	-5.5	L −1.5	137.5	O 148
Nov 15	vsJMU	W 88-79	-3.5	W +5.5	147.5	O 167
Nov 20	@FOR	L 53-69	+4.5	L −11.5	145.5	U 122
Nov 22	@ILL	L 58-98	+34.5	L −5.5	160.5	U 156
Nov 24	@MOST	W 75-61	+4.5	W +18.5	145.5	U 136
Dec 2	vsWIN	L 92-94	+5.5	W +3.5	153.5	O 186
Dec 6	@LEH	W 87-82	-1.5	W +3.5	142.5	O 169
Dec 13	vsLAS	W 70-60	-2.5	W +7.5	143.5	U 130
Dec 16	@MSST	L 83-87	+16.5	W +12.5	152.5	O 170
Dec 20	@FIU	L 79-86	+6.5	L −0.5	161.5	O 165
Dec 29	@UGA	L 74-89	+30.5	W +15.5	179.5	U 163
Jan 2	vsCCSU	W 84-78	-6.5	L −0.5	146.5	O 162
Jan 4	@CHST	W 74-55	-7.5	W +11.5	151.5	U 129
Jan 8	vsMERC	W 60-58	-8.5	L −6.5	139.5	U 118
Jan 10	vsSFPA	W 67-63	-15.5	L −11.5	148.5	U 130
Jan 17	@FDU	W 66-59	-7.5	L −0.5	143.5	U 125
Jan 19	@LEM	L 77-83	-1.5	L −7.5	150.5	O 160
Jan 23	@STO	W 66-63	-5.5	L −2.5	137.5	U 129
Jan 29	vsLEM	W 83-61	-8.5	W +13.5	147.5	U 144
Jan 31	@CCSU	W 80-59	-2.5	W +18.5	142.5	U 139
Feb 5	vsNHVN	W 60-55	-9.5	L −4.5	135.5	U 115
Feb 7	vsSTO	W 61-54	-10.5	L −3.5	132.5	U 115
Feb 12	@WAG	W 67-57	-6.5	W +3.5	135.5	U 124
Feb 14	@NHVN	L 52-55	-6.5	L −9.5	129.5	U 107
Feb 16	vsWAG	W 83-65	-10.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 148
Feb 19	@SFPA	W 91-89	-9.5	L −7.5	148.5	O 180
Feb 21	@MERC	L 83-91	-3.5	L −11.5	140.5	O 174
Feb 26	vsCHST	W 73-56	-11.5	W +5.5	141.5	U 129
Feb 28	vsFDU	W 74-60	-9.5	W +4.5	137.5	U 134
Mar 4	vsCHST	W 79-75	-10.5	L −6.5	137.5	O 154
Mar 7	vsWAG	W 64-56	-6.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 120
Mar 10	vsMERC	W 79-70	-4.5	W +4.5	134.5	O 149
Mar 20	vsARIZ	L 58-92	+30.5	L −3.5	147.5	O 150

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 67-89

−6.5

IUIN

W 94-90

+8.5

W 76-72

−1.5

JMU

W 88-79

+5.5

FOR

L 53-69

−11.5

ILL

L 58-98

−5.5

MOST

W 75-61

+18.5

WIN

L 92-94

+3.5

LEH

W 87-82

+3.5

LAS

W 70-60

+7.5

MSST

L 83-87

+12.5

FIU

L 79-86

−0.5

UGA

L 74-89

+15.5

CCSU

W 84-78

−0.5

CHST

W 74-55

+11.5

MERC

W 60-58

−6.5

SFPA

W 67-63

−11.5

FDU

W 66-59

−0.5

LEM

L 77-83

−7.5

STO

W 66-63

−2.5

LEM

W 83-61

+13.5

CCSU

W 80-59

+18.5

NHVN

W 60-55

−4.5

STO

W 61-54

−3.5

WAG

W 67-57

+3.5

NHVN

L 52-55

−9.5

WAG

W 83-65

+7.5

SFPA

W 91-89

−7.5

MERC

L 83-91

−11.5

CHST

W 73-56

+5.5

FDU

W 74-60

+4.5

CHST

W 79-75

−6.5

WAG

W 64-56

+1.5

MERC

W 79-70

+4.5

ARIZ

L 58-92

−3.5

covered 17didn’t cover 18avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 67-89

+20.5

IUIN

W 94-90

−1.5

W 76-72

+10.5

JMU

W 88-79

+19.5

FOR

L 53-69

−23.5

ILL

L 58-98

−4.5

MOST

W 75-61

−9.5

WIN

L 92-94

+32.5

LEH

W 87-82

+26.5

LAS

W 70-60

−13.5

MSST

L 83-87

+17.5

FIU

L 79-86

+3.5

UGA

L 74-89

−16.5

CCSU

W 84-78

+15.5

CHST

W 74-55

−22.5

MERC

W 60-58

−21.5

SFPA

W 67-63

−18.5

FDU

W 66-59

−18.5

LEM

L 77-83

+9.5

STO

W 66-63

−8.5

LEM

W 83-61

−3.5

CCSU

W 80-59

−3.5

NHVN

W 60-55

−20.5

STO

W 61-54

−17.5

WAG

W 67-57

−11.5

NHVN

L 52-55

−22.5

WAG

W 83-65

+9.5

SFPA

W 91-89

+31.5

MERC

L 83-91

+33.5

CHST

W 73-56

−12.5

FDU

W 74-60

−3.5

CHST

W 79-75

+16.5

WAG

W 64-56

−18.5

MERC

W 79-70

+14.5

ARIZ

L 58-92

+2.5

over 15under 20avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Seton Hall

33 games played

Straight up

21-12

64% wins

Against the spread

19-14

58% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

21-1264%

W W W W W W L W W W W W L W W W L L L L W W L L W W L W L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1458%

W L W L L W W W L W W W L W L W W L W L W L L W W W L L W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-2039%

U U O U U O O U O U O U U O U O O U U U O U U U O U U U O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSPU	W 77-50	-13.5	W +13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 7	vsWAG	W 68-61	-21.5	L −14.5	134.5	U 129
Nov 10	vsFAIR	W 82-59	-14.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 141
Nov 13	vsMONM	W 70-58	-15.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 128
Nov 18	vsNHVN	W 68-45	-25.5	L −2.5	129.5	U 113
Nov 24	vsNCSU	W 85-74	+7.5	W +18.5	143.5	O 159
Nov 25	vsUSC	L 81-83	+6.5	W +4.5	145.5	O 164
Nov 26	vsWSU	W 75-61	-8.5	W +5.5	147.5	U 136
Dec 3	vsCCSU	W 77-61	-18.5	L −2.5	128.5	O 138
Dec 6	@KSU	W 78-67	+2.5	W +13.5	148.5	U 145
Dec 13	vsRUTG	W 81-59	-13.5	W +8.5	136.5	O 140
Dec 19	@PROV	W 72-67	+1.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 139
Dec 23	vsVILL	L 56-64	-1.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 120
Dec 30	@MARQ	W 79-73	+1.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 152
Jan 4	vsCREI	W 56-54	-3.5	L −1.5	143.5	U 110
Jan 10	@GTWN	W 76-67	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	O 143
Jan 13	vsCONN	L 64-69	+6.5	W +1.5	132.5	O 133
Jan 17	vsBTLR	L 66-77	-6.5	L −17.5	144.5	U 143
Jan 20	@SJU	L 60-65	+11.5	W +6.5	145.5	U 125
Jan 24	@DEP	L 60-67	-2.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 127
Jan 28	vsXAV	W 86-68	-5.5	W +12.5	145.5	O 154
Jan 31	vsMARQ	W 69-64	-6.5	L −1.5	143.5	U 133
Feb 4	@VILL	L 60-72	+5.5	L −6.5	134.5	U 132
Feb 7	@CREI	L 68-69	+1.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 11	vsPROV	W 87-80	-4.5	W +2.5	150.5	O 167
Feb 15	@BTLR	W 63-56	-5.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 119
Feb 18	vsDEP	L 57-69	-7.5	L −19.5	129.5	U 126
Feb 21	vsGTWN	W 51-47	-6.5	L −2.5	136.5	U 98
Feb 28	@CONN	L 67-71	+12.5	W +8.5	130.5	O 138
Mar 3	@XAV	W 77-68	-1.5	W +7.5	144.5	O 145
Mar 6	vsSJU	L 65-72	+5.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 137
Mar 12	vsCREI	W 72-61	-2.5	W +8.5	136.5	U 133
Mar 13	@SJU	L 68-78	+8.5	L −1.5	135.5	O 146

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

+13.5

WAG

W 68-61

−14.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+8.5

MONM

W 70-58

−3.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−2.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+18.5

USC

L 81-83

+4.5

WSU

W 75-61

+5.5

CCSU

W 77-61

−2.5

KSU

W 78-67

+13.5

RUTG

W 81-59

+8.5

PROV

W 72-67

+6.5

VILL

L 56-64

−9.5

MARQ

W 79-73

+7.5

CREI

W 56-54

−1.5

GTWN

W 76-67

+7.5

CONN

L 64-69

+1.5

BTLR

L 66-77

−17.5

SJU

L 60-65

+6.5

DEP

L 60-67

−9.5

XAV

W 86-68

+12.5

MARQ

W 69-64

−1.5

VILL

L 60-72

−6.5

CREI

L 68-69

+0.5

PROV

W 87-80

+2.5

BTLR

W 63-56

+1.5

DEP

L 57-69

−19.5

GTWN

W 51-47

−2.5

CONN

L 67-71

+8.5

XAV

W 77-68

+7.5

SJU

L 65-72

−1.5

CREI

W 72-61

+8.5

SJU

L 68-78

−1.5

covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

−2.5

WAG

W 68-61

−5.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+3.5

MONM

W 70-58

−7.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−16.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+15.5

USC

L 81-83

+18.5

WSU

W 75-61

−11.5

CCSU

W 77-61

+9.5

KSU

W 78-67

−3.5

RUTG

W 81-59

+3.5

PROV

W 72-67

−13.5

VILL

L 56-64

−15.5

MARQ

W 79-73

+6.5

CREI

W 56-54

−33.5

GTWN

W 76-67

+5.5

CONN

L 64-69

+0.5

BTLR

L 66-77

−1.5

SJU

L 60-65

−20.5

DEP

L 60-67

−8.5

XAV

W 86-68

+8.5

MARQ

W 69-64

−10.5

VILL

L 60-72

−2.5

CREI

L 68-69

−3.5

PROV

W 87-80

+16.5

BTLR

W 63-56

−19.5

DEP

L 57-69

−3.5

GTWN

W 51-47

−38.5

CONN

L 67-71

+7.5

XAV

W 77-68

+0.5

SJU

L 65-72

−1.5

CREI

W 72-61

−3.5

SJU

L 68-78

+10.5

over 13under 20avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Seton Hall has the better starters

Position by position: Long Island 0, Seton Hall 3, even 2

Long IslandBetterSeton Hall

G J. Pickett TR5.7 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 2

HALLBig

G R. Brown TR13.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.7 ast Score 59

G K. Jones TR4.4 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 13

HALLBig

G D. Jones TR17.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.3 ast Score 74

G D. Davis TR0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked

No call

G K. Thomas TR15.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 71

G D. Jean-Charles TR0.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked

No call

G R. Anderson TR10.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.2 ast Score 81

F J. Johnson TR6.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33

HALLBig

F D. Williams TR7.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 71

Long IslandBetterSeton Hall

LIU offense339th of 366 · -11.1

HALLBig

HALL defense28th of 366 · +3.7

LIU defense283rd of 366 · -7.1

HALLBig

HALL offense97th of 366 · -0.8

Backcourt-6.7 · 4 players

HALLBig

Backcourt+2.6 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.8 · 1 player

HALLSmall

Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player

Bench-1.6 · 3 players

HALLSmall

Bench-0.2 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestLIU betterHALL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Long Island

Guards

J. Pickett27 min · TRK. Jones11 min · TRD. Davis9 min · TRD. Jean-Charles9 min · TRM. Ndlovu-Fraser8 minV. AlletteNew

Forwards

J. Johnson15 min · TRJ. Howard7 min · TRX. Li4 minM. BewleyNewR. BewleyNewT. BowlesNew

Seton Hall

Guards

R. Brown33 min · TRD. Jones33 min · TRK. Thomas30 min · TRR. Anderson24 min · TRE. Fisher21 minS. Wilcher19 min · TR

Forwards

D. Williams24 min · TRM. Wol20 min · TRT. CopelandNewT. AirhienbuwaNewI. DolinskiNew

Centers

A. Fanta Kabba17 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

LIU73.6 #214

HALL70.3 #278

Points per possession

LIU1.08 #185

HALL1.06 #238

Pace (possessions)

LIU68.5 #206

HALL66.5 #296

Shooting

Effective FG%

LIU52.8 #112

HALL47.6 #321

3-point %

LIU35.8 #67

HALL30.5 #334

3-point attempt rate

LIU29.3 #354

HALL26.8 #362

Free throw rate

LIU34.0 #207

HALL35.3 #168

Possessions

Turnover rate

LIU19.0 #320

HALL16.6 #173

Offensive rebound rate

LIU33.9 #70

HALL35.6 #33

Assists per game

LIU13.7 #170

HALL13.1 #206

Defense

Points allowed

LIU71.7 #99

HALL65.3 #8

Points allowed per possession

LIU1.04 #80

HALL0.98 #16

Opponent effective FG%

LIU50.0 #102

HALL47.3 #25

Opponent 3-point %

LIU32.2 #72

HALL32.4 #87

Turnovers forced

LIU18.7 #61

HALL21.5 #5

Defensive rebound rate

LIU67.0 #299

HALL68.1 #251

Steals per game

LIU7.8 #56

HALL9.2 #7

Blocks per game

LIU5.4 #9

HALL5.7 #7

LIU		HALL
Scoring
73.6 #214	Points per game	70.3 #278
1.08 #185	Points per possession	1.06 #238
68.5 #206	Pace (possessions)	66.5 #296
Shooting
52.8 #112	Effective FG%	47.6 #321
35.8 #67	3-point %	30.5 #334
29.3 #354	3-point attempt rate	26.8 #362
34.0 #207	Free throw rate	35.3 #168
Possessions
19.0 #320	Turnover rate	16.6 #173
33.9 #70	Offensive rebound rate	35.6 #33
13.7 #170	Assists per game	13.1 #206
Defense
71.7 #99	Points allowed	65.3 #8
1.04 #80	Points allowed per possession	0.98 #16
50.0 #102	Opponent effective FG%	47.3 #25
32.2 #72	Opponent 3-point %	32.4 #87
18.7 #61	Turnovers forced	21.5 #5
67.0 #299	Defensive rebound rate	68.1 #251
7.8 #56	Steals per game	9.2 #7
5.4 #9	Blocks per game	5.7 #7

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Long Island

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 18-3 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Arizona58–92
Wvs Mercyhurst79–70
Wvs Wagner64–56
Wvs Chicago St79–75
Wvs FDU74–60

A week or more of rest.

Seton Hall

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ St John's68–78
Wvs Creighton72–61
Lvs St John's65–72
W@ Xavier77–68
L@ UConn67–71

A week or more of rest.

Long Island University Sharks at Seton Hall Pirates

What could decide it: HALL has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Long Island

Seton Hall

Seton Hall has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Long Island

Seton Hall