Long Island University Sharks at La Salle Explorers: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 7, 12:00 AM ETJohn Glaser Arena · at La Salle

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Long Island and La Salle
LIU	This season	LAS
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LAS 78–64 · win probability LAS 89%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 141.6

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LAS has more of the edges

LIU 2, LAS 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

LIUBig

Three-pointers

LIU hits 35.8% and allows 32.2%; LAS hits 30.0% and allows 36.5%. Threes are 29.3% and 31.5% of their shots

LIUBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: LIU 52.8 and allows 50.0; LAS 45.4 and allows 55.0

LASBig

LIU offense vs LAS defense

Offense 339th of 366 against a defense 111th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

LIU has played the 290th-hardest schedule, LAS the 92nd. A record against a soft schedule means less

LASBig

LAS offense vs LIU defense

Offense 157th of 366 against a defense 283rd, on the model’s ratings

LASSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: LIU 6%, LAS 56%. Transfers in: LIU 6, LAS 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

LASSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: LIU 34.0, LAS 37.5. Allowed: LIU 34.7, LAS 31.5

LASSmall

Home court

LAS at home. This season: LAS 0-0 at home, LIU 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: LIU plays 68.5 a game (206th fastest), LAS 66.4 (300th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: LIU 19.0%, LAS 18.2%. Forced: LIU 18.7%, LAS 17.2%

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: LIU 33.9%, LAS 33.7%. Defensive: LIU 67.0%, LAS 67.7%

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	LAS -14.2	—
Total	—	141.6	—
Projected score	—	LIU 63.7 · LAS 77.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	LAS -8.3	—
1H total	66.3	—
1H projected score	LIU 29 · LAS 37.3	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LIU WLWWL	17-18	49%	8-11	—
LAS LWWLL	14-17	45%	10-3	—

Venue/role: LIU away; LAS home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
LIU UOUOO	15-20	43%	24-11
LAS OOOOO	14-17	45%	8-23

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LIU	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
LAS	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Long Island

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 9	@ TOW	L64–74WU
Nov 13	@ FOR	L53–69LU
Nov 16	vs STMN	No recent meeting

La Salle

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 10	@ VILL	L55–70LU
Nov 15	vs TEM	L63–90LO
Nov 18	vs COPP	W87–59WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

LIU 1–0 LASLIU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · LIU 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 13, 2025-26	LAS 60 @ LIU 70	LIU -2.5	LIU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Long Island

35 games played

Straight up

24-11

69% wins

Against the spread

17-18

49% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-20

43% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

24-1169%

L W W W L L W L W W L L L W W W W W L W W W W W W L W W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-1849%

L W L W L L W W W W W L W L W L L L L L W W L L W L W L L W W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-2043%

O U O O U U U O O U O O U O U U U U O U U U U U U U O O O U U O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@ND	L 67-89	+15.5	L −6.5	135.5	O 156
Nov 6	@IUIN	W 94-90	+4.5	W +8.5	185.5	U 184
Nov 11	@AF	W 76-72	-5.5	L −1.5	137.5	O 148
Nov 15	vsJMU	W 88-79	-3.5	W +5.5	147.5	O 167
Nov 20	@FOR	L 53-69	+4.5	L −11.5	145.5	U 122
Nov 22	@ILL	L 58-98	+34.5	L −5.5	160.5	U 156
Nov 24	@MOST	W 75-61	+4.5	W +18.5	145.5	U 136
Dec 2	vsWIN	L 92-94	+5.5	W +3.5	153.5	O 186
Dec 6	@LEH	W 87-82	-1.5	W +3.5	142.5	O 169
Dec 13	vsLAS	W 70-60	-2.5	W +7.5	143.5	U 130
Dec 16	@MSST	L 83-87	+16.5	W +12.5	152.5	O 170
Dec 20	@FIU	L 79-86	+6.5	L −0.5	161.5	O 165
Dec 29	@UGA	L 74-89	+30.5	W +15.5	179.5	U 163
Jan 2	vsCCSU	W 84-78	-6.5	L −0.5	146.5	O 162
Jan 4	@CHST	W 74-55	-7.5	W +11.5	151.5	U 129
Jan 8	vsMERC	W 60-58	-8.5	L −6.5	139.5	U 118
Jan 10	vsSFPA	W 67-63	-15.5	L −11.5	148.5	U 130
Jan 17	@FDU	W 66-59	-7.5	L −0.5	143.5	U 125
Jan 19	@LEM	L 77-83	-1.5	L −7.5	150.5	O 160
Jan 23	@STO	W 66-63	-5.5	L −2.5	137.5	U 129
Jan 29	vsLEM	W 83-61	-8.5	W +13.5	147.5	U 144
Jan 31	@CCSU	W 80-59	-2.5	W +18.5	142.5	U 139
Feb 5	vsNHVN	W 60-55	-9.5	L −4.5	135.5	U 115
Feb 7	vsSTO	W 61-54	-10.5	L −3.5	132.5	U 115
Feb 12	@WAG	W 67-57	-6.5	W +3.5	135.5	U 124
Feb 14	@NHVN	L 52-55	-6.5	L −9.5	129.5	U 107
Feb 16	vsWAG	W 83-65	-10.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 148
Feb 19	@SFPA	W 91-89	-9.5	L −7.5	148.5	O 180
Feb 21	@MERC	L 83-91	-3.5	L −11.5	140.5	O 174
Feb 26	vsCHST	W 73-56	-11.5	W +5.5	141.5	U 129
Feb 28	vsFDU	W 74-60	-9.5	W +4.5	137.5	U 134
Mar 4	vsCHST	W 79-75	-10.5	L −6.5	137.5	O 154
Mar 7	vsWAG	W 64-56	-6.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 120
Mar 10	vsMERC	W 79-70	-4.5	W +4.5	134.5	O 149
Mar 20	vsARIZ	L 58-92	+30.5	L −3.5	147.5	O 150

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 67-89

−6.5

IUIN

W 94-90

+8.5

W 76-72

−1.5

JMU

W 88-79

+5.5

FOR

L 53-69

−11.5

ILL

L 58-98

−5.5

MOST

W 75-61

+18.5

WIN

L 92-94

+3.5

LEH

W 87-82

+3.5

LAS

W 70-60

+7.5

MSST

L 83-87

+12.5

FIU

L 79-86

−0.5

UGA

L 74-89

+15.5

CCSU

W 84-78

−0.5

CHST

W 74-55

+11.5

MERC

W 60-58

−6.5

SFPA

W 67-63

−11.5

FDU

W 66-59

−0.5

LEM

L 77-83

−7.5

STO

W 66-63

−2.5

LEM

W 83-61

+13.5

CCSU

W 80-59

+18.5

NHVN

W 60-55

−4.5

STO

W 61-54

−3.5

WAG

W 67-57

+3.5

NHVN

L 52-55

−9.5

WAG

W 83-65

+7.5

SFPA

W 91-89

−7.5

MERC

L 83-91

−11.5

CHST

W 73-56

+5.5

FDU

W 74-60

+4.5

CHST

W 79-75

−6.5

WAG

W 64-56

+1.5

MERC

W 79-70

+4.5

ARIZ

L 58-92

−3.5

covered 17didn’t cover 18avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 67-89

+20.5

IUIN

W 94-90

−1.5

W 76-72

+10.5

JMU

W 88-79

+19.5

FOR

L 53-69

−23.5

ILL

L 58-98

−4.5

MOST

W 75-61

−9.5

WIN

L 92-94

+32.5

LEH

W 87-82

+26.5

LAS

W 70-60

−13.5

MSST

L 83-87

+17.5

FIU

L 79-86

+3.5

UGA

L 74-89

−16.5

CCSU

W 84-78

+15.5

CHST

W 74-55

−22.5

MERC

W 60-58

−21.5

SFPA

W 67-63

−18.5

FDU

W 66-59

−18.5

LEM

L 77-83

+9.5

STO

W 66-63

−8.5

LEM

W 83-61

−3.5

CCSU

W 80-59

−3.5

NHVN

W 60-55

−20.5

STO

W 61-54

−17.5

WAG

W 67-57

−11.5

NHVN

L 52-55

−22.5

WAG

W 83-65

+9.5

SFPA

W 91-89

+31.5

MERC

L 83-91

+33.5

CHST

W 73-56

−12.5

FDU

W 74-60

−3.5

CHST

W 79-75

+16.5

WAG

W 64-56

−18.5

MERC

W 79-70

+14.5

ARIZ

L 58-92

+2.5

over 15under 20avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

La Salle

31 games played

Straight up

8-23

26% wins

Against the spread

14-17

45% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-17

45% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-2326%

W W L L L L L L W L L L L L W L L W W L L L L L L W L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

14-1745%

W W L L L L L L W L W L W L W W L W W L L L L W W W L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-1745%

O U O O U U U U O U O U O U O O U O U U U U U U U U O O O O O

5 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsCOPP	W 87-59	-17.5	W +10.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 8	vsMONM	W 73-60	-4.5	W +8.5	143.5	U 133
Nov 11	@TEM	L 63-90	+6.5	L −20.5	148.5	O 153
Nov 15	vsPSU	L 69-83	+8.5	L −5.5	145.5	O 152
Nov 19	vsVILL	L 55-70	+12.5	L −2.5	144.5	U 125
Nov 28	vsHOF	L 58-63	+3.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 121
Nov 29	@PENN	L 71-73	+1.5	L −0.5	149.5	U 144
Nov 30	vsMRMK	L 60-66	-2.5	L −8.5	132.5	U 126
Dec 6	vsDREX	W 69-64	+1.5	W +6.5	129.5	O 133
Dec 13	@LIU	L 60-70	+2.5	L −7.5	143.5	U 130
Dec 19	@HPU	L 72-84	+13.5	W +1.5	149.5	O 156
Dec 21	@MICH	L 50-102	+40.5	L −11.5	155.5	U 152
Dec 31	vsGMU	L 75-80	+8.5	W +3.5	134.5	O 155
Jan 3	@GW	L 55-77	+16.5	L −5.5	150.5	U 132
Jan 7	@URI	W 79-72	+11.5	W +18.5	135.5	O 151
Jan 10	vsSLU	L 72-84	+17.5	W +5.5	152.5	O 156
Jan 14	@RICH	L 53-74	+8.5	L −12.5	147.5	U 127
Jan 17	vsSBU	W 78-74	+5.5	W +9.5	141.5	O 152
Jan 21	vsDAY	W 67-64	+9.5	W +12.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 28	@FOR	L 58-64	+5.5	L −0.5	136.5	U 122
Jan 31	vsJOES	L 58-67	+2.5	L −6.5	142.5	U 125
Feb 3	@LUC	L 61-71	+2.5	L −7.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 7	@SLU	L 58-82	+22.5	L −1.5	153.5	U 140
Feb 11	vsVCU	L 68-77	+12.5	W +3.5	147.5	U 145
Feb 18	@DUQ	L 61-62	+11.5	W +10.5	145.5	U 123
Feb 21	vsURI	W 59-46	+3.5	W +16.5	135.5	U 105
Feb 24	vsGW	L 77-104	+8.5	L −18.5	146.5	O 181
Mar 1	@DAV	L 64-71	+10.5	W +3.5	133.5	O 135
Mar 4	vsFOR	W 87-84	+3.5	W +6.5	131.5	O 171
Mar 7	@JOES	L 76-88	+11.5	L −0.5	142.5	O 164
Mar 11	vsSBU	L 80-99	+7.5	L −11.5	146.5	O 179

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

COPP

W 87-59

+10.5

MONM

W 73-60

+8.5

TEM

L 63-90

−20.5

PSU

L 69-83

−5.5

VILL

L 55-70

−2.5

HOF

L 58-63

−1.5

PENN

L 71-73

−0.5

MRMK

L 60-66

−8.5

DREX

W 69-64

+6.5

LIU

L 60-70

−7.5

HPU

L 72-84

+1.5

MICH

L 50-102

−11.5

GMU

L 75-80

+3.5

L 55-77

−5.5

URI

W 79-72

+18.5

SLU

L 72-84

+5.5

RICH

L 53-74

−12.5

SBU

W 78-74

+9.5

DAY

W 67-64

+12.5

FOR

L 58-64

−0.5

JOES

L 58-67

−6.5

LUC

L 61-71

−7.5

SLU

L 58-82

−1.5

VCU

L 68-77

+3.5

DUQ

L 61-62

+10.5

URI

W 59-46

+16.5

L 77-104

−18.5

DAV

L 64-71

+3.5

FOR

W 87-84

+6.5

JOES

L 76-88

−0.5

SBU

L 80-99

−11.5

covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

COPP

W 87-59

+6.5

MONM

W 73-60

−10.5

TEM

L 63-90

+4.5

PSU

L 69-83

+6.5

VILL

L 55-70

−19.5

HOF

L 58-63

−17.5

PENN

L 71-73

−5.5

MRMK

L 60-66

−6.5

DREX

W 69-64

+3.5

LIU

L 60-70

−13.5

HPU

L 72-84

+6.5

MICH

L 50-102

−3.5

GMU

L 75-80

+20.5

L 55-77

−18.5

URI

W 79-72

+15.5

SLU

L 72-84

+3.5

RICH

L 53-74

−20.5

SBU

W 78-74

+10.5

DAY

W 67-64

−6.5

FOR

L 58-64

−14.5

JOES

L 58-67

−17.5

LUC

L 61-71

−8.5

SLU

L 58-82

−13.5

VCU

L 68-77

−2.5

DUQ

L 61-62

−22.5

URI

W 59-46

−30.5

L 77-104

+34.5

DAV

L 64-71

+1.5

FOR

W 87-84

+39.5

JOES

L 76-88

+21.5

SBU

L 80-99

+32.5

over 14under 17avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

La Salle has the better starters

Position by position: Long Island 0, La Salle 2, even 3

Long IslandBetterLa Salle

G J. Pickett TR5.7 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 2

LASSmall

G J. Johnson6.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 29

G K. Jones TR4.4 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 13

LASBig

G R. Dockery12.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 91

G D. Davis TR0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked

No call

F J. Brewer11.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 75

G D. Jean-Charles TR0.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked

No call

F V. Zanki TR8.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 46

F J. Johnson TR6.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33

Even

F A. Finkley TR5.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast Score 19

Long IslandBetterLa Salle

LIU offense339th of 366 · -11.1

LASBig

LAS defense111th of 366 · -1.3

LIU defense283rd of 366 · -7.1

LASSmall

LAS offense157th of 366 · -4.7

Backcourt-6.7 · 4 players

LASBig

Backcourt+0.4 · 2 players

Frontcourt-0.8 · 1 player

Even

Frontcourt-0.6 · 3 players

Bench-1.6 · 3 players

LIUSmall

Bench-3.6 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestLIU betterLAS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Long Island

Guards

J. Pickett27 min · TRK. Jones11 min · TRD. Davis9 min · TRD. Jean-Charles9 min · TRM. Ndlovu-Fraser8 minV. AlletteNew

Forwards

J. Johnson15 min · TRJ. Howard7 min · TRX. Li4 minM. BewleyNewR. BewleyNewT. BowlesNew

La Salle

Guards

J. Johnson30 minR. Dockery27 minK. Burton19 min · TRD. Booker8 min · TRA. Masharaliyev1 minT. MossNew

Forwards

J. Brewer27 minV. Zanki21 min · TRA. Finkley19 min · TRN. Collier14 minE. Rink12 min · TRB. Beatty10 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

LIU73.6 #214

LAS66.8 #336

Points per possession

LIU1.08 #185

LAS1.00 #322

Pace (possessions)

LIU68.5 #206

LAS66.4 #300

Shooting

Effective FG%

LIU52.8 #112

LAS45.4 #357

3-point %

LIU35.8 #67

LAS30.0 #342

3-point attempt rate

LIU29.3 #354

LAS31.5 #333

Free throw rate

LIU34.0 #207

LAS37.5 #113

Possessions

Turnover rate

LIU19.0 #320

LAS18.2 #281

Offensive rebound rate

LIU33.9 #70

LAS33.7 #75

Assists per game

LIU13.7 #170

LAS12.9 #221

Defense

Points allowed

LIU71.7 #99

LAS75.0 #186

Points allowed per possession

LIU1.04 #80

LAS1.13 #293

Opponent effective FG%

LIU50.0 #102

LAS55.0 #329

Opponent 3-point %

LIU32.2 #72

LAS36.5 #324

Turnovers forced

LIU18.7 #61

LAS17.2 #136

Defensive rebound rate

LIU67.0 #299

LAS67.7 #274

Steals per game

LIU7.8 #56

LAS6.7 #155

Blocks per game

LIU5.4 #9

LAS2.6 #295

LIU		LAS
Scoring
73.6 #214	Points per game	66.8 #336
1.08 #185	Points per possession	1.00 #322
68.5 #206	Pace (possessions)	66.4 #300
Shooting
52.8 #112	Effective FG%	45.4 #357
35.8 #67	3-point %	30.0 #342
29.3 #354	3-point attempt rate	31.5 #333
34.0 #207	Free throw rate	37.5 #113
Possessions
19.0 #320	Turnover rate	18.2 #281
33.9 #70	Offensive rebound rate	33.7 #75
13.7 #170	Assists per game	12.9 #221
Defense
71.7 #99	Points allowed	75.0 #186
1.04 #80	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #293
50.0 #102	Opponent effective FG%	55.0 #329
32.2 #72	Opponent 3-point %	36.5 #324
18.7 #61	Turnovers forced	17.2 #136
67.0 #299	Defensive rebound rate	67.7 #274
7.8 #56	Steals per game	6.7 #155
5.4 #9	Blocks per game	2.6 #295

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Long Island

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 18-3 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Arizona58–92
Wvs Mercyhurst79–70
Wvs Wagner64–56
Wvs Chicago St79–75
Wvs FDU74–60

A week or more of rest.

La Salle

8-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs St Bonaventure80–99
L@ Saint Joseph's76–88
Wvs Fordham87–84
L@ Davidson64–71
Lvs G Washington77–104

A week or more of rest.

Long Island University Sharks at La Salle Explorers

What could decide it: LAS has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Long Island

La Salle

La Salle has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Long Island

La Salle