1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 7
  3. MONM vs URI
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 7

Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams

Mohegan Sun Arena · Neutral site
#155MONMMonmouth
vs
#105URIRhode Island
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MONMThis seasonURI
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects URI 74–69 · win probability URI 68%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MONM has more of the edges

MONM 2, URI 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MONMBig
Three-pointers
MONM hits 34.2% and allows 33.9%; URI hits 31.1% and allows 34.7%. Threes are 34.4% and 43.5% of their shots
URISmall
MONM offense vs URI defense
Offense 173rd of 366 against a defense 86th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
MONM has played the 190th-hardest schedule, URI the 117th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MONMSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MONM 16.7%, URI 19.1%. Forced: MONM 19.8%, URI 21.2%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: MONM 32.7, URI 38.4. Allowed: MONM 32.2, URI 42.6
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: MONM plays 67.9 a game (234th fastest), URI 66.5 (293rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
URI offense vs MONM defense
Offense 123rd of 366 against a defense 144th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MONM 31.2%, URI 31.0%. Defensive: MONM 67.2%, URI 68.2%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MONM 37%, URI 46%. Transfers in: MONM 5, URI 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MONM 49.6 and allows 50.0; URI 50.1 and allows 50.4
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—URI -5.3—
Total—142.6—
Projected score—MONM 68.6 · URI 73.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadURI -3.0—
1H total66.7—
1H projected scoreMONM 31.8 · URI 34.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Rhode Island has the better starters

Position by position: Monmouth 0, Rhode Island 3, even 2
MonmouthBetterRhode Island
G J. Collins6.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 18
URIBig
G D. Williamson TR14.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast Score 63
G J. Sanders TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.4 ast Score 39
Even
G J. Hinton12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 51
G L. Walker TR14.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Fontenet TR6.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
G A. Walker TR7.8 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.2 ast Score 47
URIBig
G J. Tripp12 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 90
F S. Spartalis10.5 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 54
URISmall
F M. Deniusas TR12.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 70
MonmouthBetterRhode Island
MONM offense173rd of 366 · -5.3
URISmall
URI defense86th of 366 · -0.0
MONM defense144th of 366 · -3.1
Even
URI offense123rd of 366 · -3.2
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
URIBig
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Even
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestMONM betterURI betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Monmouth
Guards
J. Collins35 minJ. Sanders30 min · TRL. Walker28 min · TRA. Walker28 min · TRM. Durr21 min · TRJ. Dobuol6 min
Forwards
S. Spartalis24 minO. Harvey3 minS. Osei3 min · TRQ. Peters2 minD. PerryNewS. MarjanovicNew
Rhode Island
Guards
D. Williamson37 min · TRJ. Hinton32 minJ. Fontenet28 min · TRJ. Tripp25 minJ. Harper12 minB. Loer4 min
Forwards
M. Deniusas27 min · TRM. Sow20 minJ. PerryNewN. RaupelisNewT. MartinNewD. MabilonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MONMURI
Scoring
72.0 #241Points per game69.9 #288
1.07 #212Points per possession1.05 #255
67.9 #234Pace (possessions)66.5 #293
Shooting
49.6 #259Effective FG%50.1 #231
34.2 #1563-point %31.1 #318
34.4 #2883-point attempt rate43.5 #103
32.7 #244Free throw rate38.4 #92
Possessions
16.7 #176Turnover rate19.1 #326
31.2 #157Offensive rebound rate31.0 #163
13.7 #167Assists per game11.3 #321
Defense
70.9 #73Points allowed68.2 #33
1.04 #74Points allowed per possession1.03 #53
50.0 #103Opponent effective FG%50.4 #124
33.9 #174Opponent 3-point %34.7 #232
19.8 #28Turnovers forced21.2 #10
67.2 #287Defensive rebound rate68.2 #248
7.6 #69Steals per game8.4 #20
4.2 #57Blocks per game3.7 #117
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Monmouth

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra69–75
  • Wvs Campbell74–64
  • Wvs Drexel65–57
  • W@ Northeastern89–83
  • Wvs Elon73–57

A week or more of rest.

Rhode Island

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duquesne61–67
  • L@ Fordham49–61
  • Wvs Duquesne64–52
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's55–61
  • L@ St Bonaventure76–94

A week or more of rest.