1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 15
  3. PRIN @ URI
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 15

Princeton Tigers at Rhode Island Rams

Thomas M. Ryan Center · at Rhode Island
#135PRINPrinceton
@
#105URIRhode Island
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PRINThis seasonURI
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects URI 74–65 · win probability URI 77%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 139.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: URI has more of the edges

PRIN 2, URI 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PRINBig
Three-pointers
PRIN hits 33.9% and allows 31.1%; URI hits 31.1% and allows 34.7%. Threes are 44.5% and 43.5% of their shots
URISmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PRIN 17.1%, URI 19.1%. Forced: PRIN 14.2%, URI 21.2%
PRINSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PRIN 100%, URI 46%. Transfers in: PRIN 0, URI 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
URISmall
PRIN offense vs URI defense
Offense 177th of 366 against a defense 86th, on the model’s ratings
URISmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: PRIN 49.6 and allows 52.0; URI 50.1 and allows 50.4
URISmall
Home court
URI at home. This season: URI 0-0 at home, PRIN 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PRIN 34.6, URI 38.4. Allowed: PRIN 34.0, URI 42.6
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: PRIN plays 65.0 a game (344th fastest), URI 66.5 (293rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PRIN 27.2%, URI 31.0%. Defensive: PRIN 71.5%, URI 68.2%
Context
Schedule so far
PRIN has played the 137th-hardest schedule, URI the 117th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
URI offense vs PRIN defense
Offense 123rd of 366 against a defense 115th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—URI -8.5—
Total—139.2—
Projected score—PRIN 65.4 · URI 73.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadURI -4.9—
1H total65.2—
1H projected scorePRIN 30.1 · URI 35—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Rhode Island has the better starters

Position by position: Princeton 1, Rhode Island 2, even 2
PrincetonBetterRhode Island
G J. Hicke15.8 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.4 ast Score 85
PRINSmall
G D. Williamson TR14.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast Score 63
G J. Stanton11.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 64
Even
G J. Hinton12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 51
G L. Clark6.2 pts · 4 reb · 1.9 ast Score 29
No call
G J. Fontenet TR6.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
G D. Davis14.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 69
URISmall
G J. Tripp12 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 90
F M. Abdullahi9.5 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
URISmall
F M. Deniusas TR12.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 70
PrincetonBetterRhode Island
PRIN offense177th of 366 · -5.5
URISmall
URI defense86th of 366 · -0.0
PRIN defense115th of 366 · -1.5
Even
URI offense123rd of 366 · -3.2
Backcourt+0.9 · 4 players
PRINSmall
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player
Bench-4.6 · 5 players
URIBig
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestPRIN betterURI betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Princeton
Guards
J. Hicke35 minJ. Stanton32 minL. Clark29 minD. Davis28 minS. Whitfield12 minP. Seals8 min
Forwards
M. Abdullahi29 minJ. Huggins22 minC. Happy19 minJ. Hammond7 minC. McSweeney5 minW. Kutzler1 min
Centers
W. HiggsNew
Rhode Island
Guards
D. Williamson37 min · TRJ. Hinton32 minJ. Fontenet28 min · TRJ. Tripp25 minJ. Harper12 minB. Loer4 min
Forwards
M. Deniusas27 min · TRM. Sow20 minJ. PerryNewN. RaupelisNewT. MartinNewD. MabilonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PRINURI
Scoring
67.5 #324Points per game69.9 #288
1.04 #268Points per possession1.05 #255
65.0 #344Pace (possessions)66.5 #293
Shooting
49.6 #260Effective FG%50.1 #231
33.9 #1773-point %31.1 #318
44.5 #783-point attempt rate43.5 #103
34.6 #192Free throw rate38.4 #92
Possessions
17.1 #216Turnover rate19.1 #326
27.2 #287Offensive rebound rate31.0 #163
12.5 #254Assists per game11.3 #321
Defense
72.4 #114Points allowed68.2 #33
1.11 #242Points allowed per possession1.03 #53
52.0 #209Opponent effective FG%50.4 #124
31.1 #36Opponent 3-point %34.7 #232
14.2 #328Turnovers forced21.2 #10
71.5 #82Defensive rebound rate68.2 #248
4.6 #349Steals per game8.4 #20
2.1 #341Blocks per game3.7 #117
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Princeton

8-20 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Yale53–78
  • Wvs Dartmouth82–61
  • Lvs Harvard56–58
  • L@ Brown71–80
  • Lvs Columbia65–75

A week or more of rest.

Rhode Island

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duquesne61–67
  • L@ Fordham49–61
  • Wvs Duquesne64–52
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's55–61
  • L@ St Bonaventure76–94

A week or more of rest.