1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 20
  3. MONM @ PRIN
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 20

Monmouth Hawks at Princeton Tigers

Jadwin Gymnasium · at Princeton
#155MONMMonmouth
@
#135PRINPrinceton
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MONMThis seasonPRIN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PRIN 72–70 · win probability PRIN 60%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 141.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PRIN has more of the edges

MONM 2, PRIN 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MONMBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MONM 16.7%, PRIN 17.1%. Forced: MONM 19.8%, PRIN 14.2%
PRINBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MONM 37%, PRIN 100%. Transfers in: MONM 5, PRIN 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
PRINSmall
Three-pointers
MONM hits 34.2% and allows 33.9%; PRIN hits 33.9% and allows 31.1%. Threes are 34.4% and 44.5% of their shots
PRINSmall
MONM offense vs PRIN defense
Offense 173rd of 366 against a defense 115th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: MONM plays 67.9 a game (234th fastest), PRIN 65.0 (344th). Faster games mean more points
MONMSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: MONM 49.6 and allows 50.0; PRIN 49.6 and allows 52.0
Context
Schedule so far
MONM has played the 190th-hardest schedule, PRIN the 137th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PRINSmall
Home court
PRIN at home. This season: PRIN 0-0 at home, MONM 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MONM 31.2%, PRIN 27.2%. Defensive: MONM 67.2%, PRIN 71.5%
Even
PRIN offense vs MONM defense
Offense 177th of 366 against a defense 144th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: MONM 32.7, PRIN 34.6. Allowed: MONM 32.2, PRIN 34.0
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PRIN -2.8—
Total—141.9—
Projected score—MONM 69.5 · PRIN 72.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPRIN -1.6—
1H total66.4—
1H projected scoreMONM 32.4 · PRIN 34—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Princeton has the better starters

Position by position: Monmouth 0, Princeton 3, even 2
MonmouthBetterPrinceton
G J. Collins6.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 18
PRINBig
G J. Hicke15.8 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.4 ast Score 85
G J. Sanders TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.4 ast Score 39
PRINSmall
G J. Stanton11.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 64
G L. Walker TR14.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G L. Clark6.2 pts · 4 reb · 1.9 ast Score 29
G A. Walker TR7.8 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.2 ast Score 47
PRINSmall
G D. Davis14.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 69
F S. Spartalis10.5 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 54
Even
F M. Abdullahi9.5 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
MonmouthBetterPrinceton
MONM offense173rd of 366 · -5.3
PRINSmall
PRIN defense115th of 366 · -1.5
MONM defense144th of 366 · -3.1
Even
PRIN offense177th of 366 · -5.5
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
PRINBig
Backcourt+0.9 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
MONMBig
Bench-4.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestMONM betterPRIN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Monmouth
Guards
J. Collins35 minJ. Sanders30 min · TRL. Walker28 min · TRA. Walker28 min · TRM. Durr21 min · TRJ. Dobuol6 min
Forwards
S. Spartalis24 minO. Harvey3 minS. Osei3 min · TRQ. Peters2 minD. PerryNewS. MarjanovicNew
Princeton
Guards
J. Hicke35 minJ. Stanton32 minL. Clark29 minD. Davis28 minS. Whitfield12 minP. Seals8 min
Forwards
M. Abdullahi29 minJ. Huggins22 minC. Happy19 minJ. Hammond7 minC. McSweeney5 minW. Kutzler1 min
Centers
W. HiggsNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MONMPRIN
Scoring
72.0 #241Points per game67.5 #324
1.07 #212Points per possession1.04 #268
67.9 #234Pace (possessions)65.0 #344
Shooting
49.6 #259Effective FG%49.6 #260
34.2 #1563-point %33.9 #177
34.4 #2883-point attempt rate44.5 #78
32.7 #244Free throw rate34.6 #192
Possessions
16.7 #176Turnover rate17.1 #216
31.2 #157Offensive rebound rate27.2 #287
13.7 #167Assists per game12.5 #254
Defense
70.9 #73Points allowed72.4 #114
1.04 #74Points allowed per possession1.11 #242
50.0 #103Opponent effective FG%52.0 #209
33.9 #174Opponent 3-point %31.1 #36
19.8 #28Turnovers forced14.2 #328
67.2 #287Defensive rebound rate71.5 #82
7.6 #69Steals per game4.6 #349
4.2 #57Blocks per game2.1 #341
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Monmouth

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra69–75
  • Wvs Campbell74–64
  • Wvs Drexel65–57
  • W@ Northeastern89–83
  • Wvs Elon73–57

A week or more of rest.

Princeton

8-20 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Yale53–78
  • Wvs Dartmouth82–61
  • Lvs Harvard56–58
  • L@ Brown71–80
  • Lvs Columbia65–75

A week or more of rest.