1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 20
  3. BELL @ EKU
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 20

Bellarmine Knights at Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Baptist Health Arena · at E Kentucky
#295BELLBellarmine
@
#294EKUE Kentucky
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BELLThis seasonEKU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects EKU 79–77 · win probability EKU 58%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 155.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BELL has more of the edges

BELL 5, EKU 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
EKUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BELL 22.4%, EKU 32.5%. Defensive: BELL 65.8%, EKU 68.3%
BELLBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: BELL 35.0, EKU 30.7. Allowed: BELL 34.3, EKU 38.5
BELLSmall
BELL offense vs EKU defense
Offense 239th of 366 against a defense 340th, on the model’s ratings
EKUSmall
EKU offense vs BELL defense
Offense 244th of 366 against a defense 345th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: BELL plays 66.7 a game (288th fastest), EKU 69.8 (128th). Faster games mean more points
BELLSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BELL 15.4%, EKU 16.9%. Forced: BELL 15.1%, EKU 14.8%
BELLSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BELL 59.4 and allows 59.4; EKU 52.1 and allows 56.1
EKUSmall
Home court
EKU at home. This season: EKU 0-0 at home, BELL 0-0 away
BELLSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BELL 56%, EKU 29%. Transfers in: BELL 1, EKU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
BELL has played the 229th-hardest schedule, EKU the 273rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Three-pointers
BELL hits 38.1% and allows 40.4%; EKU hits 35.0% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 41.2% and 50.8% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—EKU -2.3—
Total—155.2—
Projected score—BELL 76.5 · EKU 78.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadEKU -1.3—
1H total72.5—
1H projected scoreBELL 35.6 · EKU 36.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

E Kentucky has the better starters

Position by position: Bellarmine 0, E Kentucky 1, even 4
BellarmineBetterE Kentucky
G K. Goodin11.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Score 31
Even
G J. Holt7 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 38
G T. Doyle10 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 35
No call
G D. King TR2.3 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
F S. Donald6.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
Even
F S. Lasu TR5.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 15
F J. Wassler3.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 4
EKUSmall
F A. Ball7.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 20
F T. Tornatta TR3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 26
Even
F Y. Paul4.2 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 12
BellarmineBetterE Kentucky
BELL offense239th of 366 · -7.3
BELLSmall
EKU defense340th of 366 · -9.1
BELL defense345th of 366 · -9.2
EKUSmall
EKU offense244th of 366 · -7.4
Backcourt-3.8 · 2 players
EKUSmall
Backcourt-1.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-4.9 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-5.3 · 3 players
Bench-1.5 · 3 players
EKUSmall
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestBELL betterEKU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bellarmine
Guards
K. Goodin33 minT. Doyle28 minG. Whitaker7 minG. Neal3 minT. Clark2 minJ. GizziNew
Forwards
S. Donald27 minJ. Wassler12 minT. Tornatta9 min · TRA. McAfeeNewB. KlopfensteinNewE. HarrellNew
E Kentucky
Guards
J. Holt20 minD. King8 min · TRO. Hamama7 min · TRM. Miles1 minJ. McCarterNewD. VasserNew
Forwards
S. Lasu23 min · TRA. Ball20 minY. Paul17 minD. DujmovicNewJ. LoweNewM. CamaraNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BELLEKU
Scoring
78.9 #80Points per game77.5 #107
1.18 #34Points per possession1.11 #123
66.7 #288Pace (possessions)69.8 #128
Shooting
59.4 #3Effective FG%52.1 #141
38.1 #173-point %35.0 #111
41.2 #1453-point attempt rate50.8 #10
35.0 #178Free throw rate30.7 #286
Possessions
15.4 #100Turnover rate16.9 #194
22.4 #354Offensive rebound rate32.5 #106
14.8 #98Assists per game14.1 #139
Defense
83.3 #350Points allowed83.1 #346
1.25 #365Points allowed per possession1.19 #354
59.4 #365Opponent effective FG%56.1 #346
40.4 #364Opponent 3-point %36.2 #312
15.1 #277Turnovers forced14.8 #304
65.8 #320Defensive rebound rate68.3 #241
5.8 #255Steals per game6.1 #228
1.7 #356Blocks per game2.9 #245
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bellarmine

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs C Arkansas73–86
  • Wvs Jacksonville82–79
  • Wvs Austin Peay111–97
  • L@ North Alabama68–73
  • Lvs E Kentucky92–95

A week or more of rest.

E Kentucky

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Stetson76–92
  • Lvs Lipscomb77–80
  • Lvs Queens University Royals79–96
  • W@ Bellarmine95–92
  • Wvs West Georgia81–80

A week or more of rest.