Kansas City Roos at Iona Gaels: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ETHynes Athletics Center · at Iona

#232IONAIona

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Kansas City and Iona
KC	This season	IONA
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IONA 78–68 · win probability IONA 81%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 146.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IONA has more of the edges

KC 0, IONA 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

IONABig

Three-pointers

KC hits 28.4% and allows 37.5%; IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 36.8% and 45.9% of their shots

IONABig

Shooting

Effective FG%: KC 45.8 and allows 56.3; IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9

IONABig

KC offense vs IONA defense

Offense 321st of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

KC has played the 235th-hardest schedule, IONA the 326th. A record against a soft schedule means less

IONASmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: KC 26.4%, IONA 27.8%. Defensive: KC 64.1%, IONA 68.8%

IONASmall

IONA offense vs KC defense

Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 335th, on the model’s ratings

IONASmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: KC 0%, IONA 31%. Transfers in: KC 5, IONA 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

IONASmall

Home court

IONA at home. This season: IONA 0-0 at home, KC 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 71 possessions: KC plays 71.8 a game (45th fastest), IONA 69.8 (129th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: KC 18.2%, IONA 17.2%. Forced: KC 16.4%, IONA 16.6%

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: KC 29.2, IONA 29.3. Allowed: KC 31.4, IONA 28.8

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	IONA -10.2	—
Total	—	146.1	—
Projected score	—	KC 68 · IONA 78.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	IONA -5.9	—
1H total	68.3	—
1H projected score	KC 31.2 · IONA 37.1	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KC LLLLL	5-23	18%	4-12	—
IONA WWWWL	19-13	59%	9-5	—

Venue/role: KC away; IONA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
KC OOUOU	16-12	57%	1-27
IONA UOUUO	12-20	38%	18-14

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KC	0-10 0%	0-10 0%	6-4 60%
IONA	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Kansas City

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	vs GB	L64–70LO
Nov 28	vs SEMO	L59–80LO
Dec 5	vs DUQ	No recent meeting

Iona

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 23	vs FDU	No recent meeting
Nov 29	@ BRY	W69–63LU
Dec 4	vs QUIN	L68–89LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

KC 0–1 IONAIONA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · KC 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 11, 2025-26	IONA 105 @ KC 91	KC +4.5	IONA W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Kansas City

28 games played

Straight up

1-27

4% wins

Against the spread

5-23

18% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-12

57% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-274%

L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L L L

15 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-2318%

L L W L L L L L W W W L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L L L

15 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1257%

O O U U U U U O U O O O U O O O O U U O O U O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@SIU	L 78-101	+12.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 179
Nov 11	vsIONA	L 91-105	+4.5	L −9.5	156.5	O 196
Nov 15	@TEX	L 55-71	+31.5	W +15.5	159.5	U 126
Nov 19	@TCU	L 45-81	+23.5	L −12.5	150.5	U 126
Nov 24	@LIN	L 67-80	+4.5	L −8.5	152.5	U 147
Nov 29	@WEB	L 61-82	+10.5	L −10.5	155.5	U 143
Dec 3	vsIDST	L 59-68	+5.5	L −3.5	137.5	U 127
Dec 6	@EWU	L 66-90	+9.5	L −14.5	151.5	O 156
Dec 10	vsWEB	L 60-64	+7.5	W +3.5	150.5	U 124
Dec 16	@OU	L 67-89	+30.5	W +8.5	153.5	O 156
Dec 18	@OKST	L 79-91	+27.5	W +15.5	161.5	O 170
Dec 31	@DEN	L 74-87	+9.5	L −3.5	156.5	O 161
Jan 3	@OMA	W 73-66	+8.5	W +15.5	148.5	U 139
Jan 8	vsNDSU	L 73-97	+9.5	L −14.5	144.5	O 170
Jan 10	vsUND	L 79-81	-1.5	L −3.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 15	@SDAK	L 83-99	+7.5	L −8.5	156.5	O 182
Jan 17	@SDST	L 62-90	+13.5	L −14.5	151.5	O 152
Jan 24	vsOMA	L 60-77	+4.5	L −12.5	148.5	U 137
Jan 28	vsDEN	L 61-69	+3.5	L −4.5	161.5	U 130
Feb 1	@STMN	L 64-99	+17.5	L −17.5	151.5	O 163
Feb 4	vsSDAK	L 75-82	+2.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 157
Feb 12	@ORU	L 60-69	+6.5	L −2.5	150.5	U 129
Feb 14	vsSTMN	L 64-104	+12.5	L −27.5	154.5	O 168
Feb 19	@UND	L 70-85	+9.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 155
Feb 21	@NDSU	L 59-95	+19.5	L −16.5	148.5	O 154
Feb 26	vsSDST	L 59-73	+12.5	L −1.5	152.5	U 132
Feb 28	vsORU	L 70-94	+3.5	L −20.5	149.5	O 164
Mar 4	vsORU	L 62-84	+8.5	L −13.5	149.5	U 146

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIU

L 78-101

−10.5

IONA

L 91-105

−9.5

TEX

L 55-71

+15.5

TCU

L 45-81

−12.5

LIN

L 67-80

−8.5

WEB

L 61-82

−10.5

IDST

L 59-68

−3.5

EWU

L 66-90

−14.5

WEB

L 60-64

+3.5

L 67-89

+8.5

OKST

L 79-91

+15.5

DEN

L 74-87

−3.5

OMA

W 73-66

+15.5

NDSU

L 73-97

−14.5

UND

L 79-81

−3.5

SDAK

L 83-99

−8.5

SDST

L 62-90

−14.5

OMA

L 60-77

−12.5

DEN

L 61-69

−4.5

STMN

L 64-99

−17.5

SDAK

L 75-82

−4.5

ORU

L 60-69

−2.5

STMN

L 64-104

−27.5

UND

L 70-85

−5.5

NDSU

L 59-95

−16.5

SDST

L 59-73

−1.5

ORU

L 70-94

−20.5

ORU

L 62-84

−13.5

covered 5didn’t cover 23avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIU

L 78-101

+37.5

IONA

L 91-105

+39.5

TEX

L 55-71

−33.5

TCU

L 45-81

−24.5

LIN

L 67-80

−5.5

WEB

L 61-82

−12.5

IDST

L 59-68

−10.5

EWU

L 66-90

+4.5

WEB

L 60-64

−26.5

L 67-89

+2.5

OKST

L 79-91

+8.5

DEN

L 74-87

+4.5

OMA

W 73-66

−9.5

NDSU

L 73-97

+25.5

UND

L 79-81

+13.5

SDAK

L 83-99

+25.5

SDST

L 62-90

+0.5

OMA

L 60-77

−11.5

DEN

L 61-69

−31.5

STMN

L 64-99

+11.5

SDAK

L 75-82

+0.5

ORU

L 60-69

−21.5

STMN

L 64-104

+13.5

UND

L 70-85

+4.5

NDSU

L 59-95

+5.5

SDST

L 59-73

−20.5

ORU

L 70-94

+14.5

ORU

L 62-84

−3.5

over 16under 12avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin

Iona

32 games played

Straight up

18-14

56% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line

Over / Under

12-20

38% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

18-1456%

W W W W L W L W L W W L W L W L W W L L W W L L L W L W L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

W W L W L W L W L W L W W L W L W W L L W W L W L W L W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

12-2038%

O O U O U O O O U U U U O U U U U U U U U U U O O U O U O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsHOF	W 81-73	+1.5	W +9.5	144.5	O 154
Nov 11	@KC	W 105-91	-4.5	W +9.5	156.5	O 196
Nov 14	vsFOR	W 76-71	-5.5	L −0.5	157.5	U 147
Nov 18	vsPRIN	W 89-69	-2.5	W +17.5	154.5	O 158
Nov 21	vsAKR	L 75-96	+11.5	L −9.5	173.5	U 171
Nov 22	vsORST	W 91-84	+3.5	W +10.5	157.5	O 175
Nov 24	vsGB	L 75-80	-5.5	L −10.5	150.5	O 155
Dec 1	@DEL	W 89-66	-1.5	W +21.5	149.5	O 155
Dec 5	vsQUIN	L 68-89	-2.5	L −23.5	163.5	U 157
Dec 7	@SHU	W 81-69	+1.5	W +13.5	163.5	U 150
Dec 10	vsBRY	W 69-63	-8.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 132
Dec 13	@SJU	L 64-91	+28.5	W +1.5	159.5	U 155
Dec 20	@UVM	W 83-78	+6.5	W +11.5	152.5	O 161
Dec 29	@MSM	L 59-66	-2.5	L −9.5	153.5	U 125
Jan 2	vsSIE	W 75-72	+1.5	W +4.5	149.5	U 147
Jan 4	@MRST	L 38-83	+4.5	L −40.5	148.5	U 121
Jan 9	vsNIA	W 71-53	-10.5	W +7.5	140.5	U 124
Jan 11	vsCAN	W 74-48	-11.5	W +14.5	141.5	U 122
Jan 14	@RID	L 68-72	-7.5	L −11.5	141.5	U 140
Jan 19	@SPU	L 63-77	+3.5	L −10.5	141.5	U 140
Jan 22	vsMRMK	W 61-60	+1.5	W +2.5	143.5	U 121
Jan 24	vsMAN	W 66-57	-7.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 123
Jan 30	vsFAIR	L 70-71	-1.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 141
Feb 5	@SIE	L 72-79	+8.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 151
Feb 7	vsMSM	L 76-83	-3.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 159
Feb 13	@CAN	W 69-63	-4.5	W +1.5	137.5	U 132
Feb 15	@NIA	L 68-70	-3.5	L −5.5	132.5	O 138
Feb 20	vsSPU	W 72-64	-1.5	W +6.5	140.5	U 136
Feb 22	@MRMK	L 86-88	+6.5	W +4.5	136.5	O 174
Feb 27	vsRID	W 80-58	-11.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 138
Mar 1	@MAN	W 69-65	-2.5	W +1.5	151.5	U 134
Mar 5	vsSHU	L 80-91	-3.5	L −14.5	149.5	O 171

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HOF

W 81-73

+9.5

W 105-91

+9.5

FOR

W 76-71

−0.5

PRIN

W 89-69

+17.5

AKR

L 75-96

−9.5

ORST

W 91-84

+10.5

L 75-80

−10.5

DEL

W 89-66

+21.5

QUIN

L 68-89

−23.5

SHU

W 81-69

+13.5

BRY

W 69-63

−2.5

SJU

L 64-91

+1.5

UVM

W 83-78

+11.5

MSM

L 59-66

−9.5

SIE

W 75-72

+4.5

MRST

L 38-83

−40.5

NIA

W 71-53

+7.5

CAN

W 74-48

+14.5

RID

L 68-72

−11.5

SPU

L 63-77

−10.5

MRMK

W 61-60

+2.5

MAN

W 66-57

+1.5

FAIR

L 70-71

−2.5

SIE

L 72-79

+1.5

MSM

L 76-83

−10.5

CAN

W 69-63

+1.5

NIA

L 68-70

−5.5

SPU

W 72-64

+6.5

MRMK

L 86-88

+4.5

RID

W 80-58

+10.5

MAN

W 69-65

+1.5

SHU

L 80-91

−14.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HOF

W 81-73

+9.5

W 105-91

+39.5

FOR

W 76-71

−10.5

PRIN

W 89-69

+3.5

AKR

L 75-96

−2.5

ORST

W 91-84

+17.5

L 75-80

+4.5

DEL

W 89-66

+5.5

QUIN

L 68-89

−6.5

SHU

W 81-69

−13.5

BRY

W 69-63

−14.5

SJU

L 64-91

−4.5

UVM

W 83-78

+8.5

MSM

L 59-66

−28.5

SIE

W 75-72

−2.5

MRST

L 38-83

−27.5

NIA

W 71-53

−16.5

CAN

W 74-48

−19.5

RID

L 68-72

−1.5

SPU

L 63-77

−1.5

MRMK

W 61-60

−22.5

MAN

W 66-57

−30.5

FAIR

L 70-71

−5.5

SIE

L 72-79

+10.5

MSM

L 76-83

+17.5

CAN

W 69-63

−5.5

NIA

L 68-70

+5.5

SPU

W 72-64

−4.5

MRMK

L 86-88

+37.5

RID

W 80-58

−3.5

MAN

W 69-65

−17.5

SHU

L 80-91

+21.5

over 12under 20avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Kansas City has the better starters

Position by position: Kansas City 2, Iona 1, even 2

Kansas CityBetterIona

G C. Daughtery TR10 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 45

Even

G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 44

G J. Smith TR9.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 3 ast Score 43

KCSmall

G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 17

G M. Samar TR4.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.4 ast Score 28

IONASmall

G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53

F S. Hartmann TR8.2 pts · 5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked

No call

F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50

F A. Diop TR5.5 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 29

KCSmall

F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 3

Kansas CityBetterIona

KC offense321st of 366 · -10.5

IONASmall

IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0

KC defense335th of 366 · -8.8

IONASmall

IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0

Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players

KCSmall

Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players

Frontcourt-1.8 · 2 players

KCSmall

Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players

BenchNo numbers yet

No call

Bench-0.9 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestKC betterIONA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Kansas City

Guards

C. Daughtery27 min · TRJ. Smith25 min · TRM. Samar16 min · TRE. MoskowitzNewD. JacksonNewC. LoveNew

Forwards

S. Hartmann24 min · TRA. Diop19 min · TRR. ButirinsNewJ. SickingNewA. BakhtadzeNewM. Bruce-McCrommonNew

Iona

Guards

K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew

Forwards

A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

KC67.0 #334

IONA73.8 #206

Points per possession

KC0.93 #361

IONA1.06 #228

Pace (possessions)

KC71.8 #45

IONA69.8 #129

Shooting

Effective FG%

KC45.8 #352

IONA51.9 #149

3-point %

KC28.4 #360

IONA35.1 #105

3-point attempt rate

KC36.8 #235

IONA45.9 #49

Free throw rate

KC29.2 #330

IONA29.3 #326

Possessions

Turnover rate

KC18.2 #282

IONA17.2 #220

Offensive rebound rate

KC26.4 #314

IONA27.8 #274

Assists per game

KC11.3 #324

IONA14.0 #147

Defense

Points allowed

KC84.8 #359

IONA73.1 #136

Points allowed per possession

KC1.18 #348

IONA1.05 #85

Opponent effective FG%

KC56.3 #348

IONA48.9 #64

Opponent 3-point %

KC37.5 #350

IONA30.6 #25

Turnovers forced

KC16.4 #193

IONA16.6 #180

Defensive rebound rate

KC64.1 #353

IONA68.8 #212

Steals per game

KC6.4 #192

IONA6.6 #159

Blocks per game

KC3.1 #195

IONA3.0 #227

KC		IONA
Scoring
67.0 #334	Points per game	73.8 #206
0.93 #361	Points per possession	1.06 #228
71.8 #45	Pace (possessions)	69.8 #129
Shooting
45.8 #352	Effective FG%	51.9 #149
28.4 #360	3-point %	35.1 #105
36.8 #235	3-point attempt rate	45.9 #49
29.2 #330	Free throw rate	29.3 #326
Possessions
18.2 #282	Turnover rate	17.2 #220
26.4 #314	Offensive rebound rate	27.8 #274
11.3 #324	Assists per game	14.0 #147
Defense
84.8 #359	Points allowed	73.1 #136
1.18 #348	Points allowed per possession	1.05 #85
56.3 #348	Opponent effective FG%	48.9 #64
37.5 #350	Opponent 3-point %	30.6 #25
16.4 #193	Turnovers forced	16.6 #180
64.1 #353	Defensive rebound rate	68.8 #212
6.4 #192	Steals per game	6.6 #159
3.1 #195	Blocks per game	3.0 #227

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Kansas City

1-27 in 2025-26 overall · 1-16 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Oral Roberts62–84
Lvs Oral Roberts70–94
Lvs S Dakota St59–73
L@ N Dakota St59–95
L@ North Dakota70–85

A week or more of rest.

Iona

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
W@ Manhattan69–65
Wvs Rider80–58
L@ Merrimack86–88
Wvs Saint Peter's72–64

A week or more of rest.

Kansas City Roos at Iona Gaels

What could decide it: IONA has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Kansas City

Iona

Kansas City has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Kansas City

Iona