1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. BELL vs GASO
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Bellarmine Knights vs Georgia Southern Eagles

Truist Arena · Neutral site
#295BELLBellarmine
vs
#296GASOGA Southern
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BELLThis seasonGASO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GASO 78–78 · win probability GASO 50%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 156.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GASO has more of the edges

BELL 2, GASO 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GASOBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BELL 15.4%, GASO 14.7%. Forced: BELL 15.1%, GASO 18.7%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: BELL plays 66.7 a game (288th fastest), GASO 71.8 (42nd). Faster games mean more points
GASOBig
GASO offense vs BELL defense
Offense 233rd of 366 against a defense 345th, on the model’s ratings
BELLSmall
BELL offense vs GASO defense
Offense 239th of 366 against a defense 347th, on the model’s ratings
BELLSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BELL 56%, GASO 16%. Transfers in: BELL 1, GASO 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
BELL has played the 229th-hardest schedule, GASO the 279th. A record against a soft schedule means less
GASOSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BELL 22.4%, GASO 28.8%. Defensive: BELL 65.8%, GASO 64.8%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BELL 35.0, GASO 39.6. Allowed: BELL 34.3, GASO 41.4
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: BELL 59.4 and allows 59.4; GASO 51.4 and allows 52.3
Even
Three-pointers
BELL hits 38.1% and allows 40.4%; GASO hits 33.4% and allows 34.4%. Threes are 41.2% and 48.9% of their shots
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BELL -0.1—
Total—156.8—
Projected score—BELL 78.4 · GASO 78.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBELL -0.2—
1H total73.3—
1H projected scoreBELL 36.7 · GASO 36.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Bellarmine has the better starters

Position by position: Bellarmine 2, GA Southern 0, even 3
BellarmineBetterGA Southern
G K. Goodin11.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Score 31
Even
G J. Dixon TR9 pts · 1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 39
G T. Doyle10 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 35
BELLSmall
G D. Williams3.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 10
F S. Donald6.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
No call
G J. Williams1 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
F J. Wassler3.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 4
Even
F T. Claytor TR6.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 8
F T. Tornatta TR3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 26
BELLSmall
F T. Sotirov2.5 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 1
BellarmineBetterGA Southern
BELL offense239th of 366 · -7.3
BELLSmall
GASO defense347th of 366 · -9.4
BELL defense345th of 366 · -9.2
GASOSmall
GASO offense233rd of 366 · -7.2
Backcourt-3.8 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-4.9 · 3 players
GASOSmall
Frontcourt-3.7 · 2 players
Bench-1.5 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.8 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestBELL betterGASO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bellarmine
Guards
K. Goodin33 minT. Doyle28 minG. Whitaker7 minG. Neal3 minT. Clark2 minJ. GizziNew
Forwards
S. Donald27 minJ. Wassler12 minT. Tornatta9 min · TRA. McAfeeNewB. KlopfensteinNewE. HarrellNew
GA Southern
Guards
J. Dixon19 min · TRD. Williams12 minJ. Williams8 minD. GardnerNewA. HendersonNewR. WilliamsNew
Forwards
T. Claytor17 min · TRT. Sotirov11 minE. Smith6 min · TRC. CrissmanNewE. SavaneNewE. JamesNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BELLGASO
Scoring
78.9 #80Points per game79.9 #69
1.18 #34Points per possession1.12 #109
66.7 #288Pace (possessions)71.8 #42
Shooting
59.4 #3Effective FG%51.4 #176
38.1 #173-point %33.4 #207
41.2 #1453-point attempt rate48.9 #20
35.0 #178Free throw rate39.6 #62
Possessions
15.4 #100Turnover rate14.7 #49
22.4 #354Offensive rebound rate28.8 #238
14.8 #98Assists per game10.7 #344
Defense
83.3 #350Points allowed80.3 #325
1.25 #365Points allowed per possession1.11 #259
59.4 #365Opponent effective FG%52.3 #230
40.4 #364Opponent 3-point %34.4 #208
15.1 #277Turnovers forced18.7 #65
65.8 #320Defensive rebound rate64.8 #342
5.8 #255Steals per game8.1 #36
1.7 #356Blocks per game3.6 #128
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bellarmine

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs C Arkansas73–86
  • Wvs Jacksonville82–79
  • Wvs Austin Peay111–97
  • L@ North Alabama68–73
  • Lvs E Kentucky92–95

A week or more of rest.

GA Southern

19-16 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Troy61–77
  • Wvs Marshall82–78
  • Wvs Coastal96–72
  • Wvs South Alabama94–85
  • Wvs Arkansas St80–77

A week or more of rest.