Brown Bears at Rhode Island Rams: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 1, 12:00 AM ETThomas M. Ryan Center · at Rhode Island

#156BRWNBrown

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Brown and Rhode Island
BRWN	This season	URI
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects URI 75–64 · win probability URI 82%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 139.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: URI has more of the edges

BRWN 1, URI 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

URIBig

BRWN offense vs URI defense

Offense 220th of 366 against a defense 86th, on the model’s ratings

BRWNSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: BRWN 100%, URI 46%. Transfers in: BRWN 0, URI 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

URISmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: BRWN 28.1, URI 38.4. Allowed: BRWN 37.6, URI 42.6

URISmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: BRWN 48.6 and allows 51.3; URI 50.1 and allows 50.4

Context

Schedule so far

BRWN has played the 176th-hardest schedule, URI the 117th. A record against a soft schedule means less

URISmall

Home court

URI at home. This season: URI 0-0 at home, BRWN 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: BRWN plays 68.0 a game (229th fastest), URI 66.5 (293rd). Faster games mean more points

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: BRWN 19.4%, URI 19.1%. Forced: BRWN 18.8%, URI 21.2%

Even

Three-pointers

BRWN hits 30.3% and allows 33.5%; URI hits 31.1% and allows 34.7%. Threes are 36.3% and 43.5% of their shots

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: BRWN 29.0%, URI 31.0%. Defensive: BRWN 70.0%, URI 68.2%

Even

URI offense vs BRWN defense

Offense 123rd of 366 against a defense 124th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	URI -10.4	—
Total	—	139.1	—
Projected score	—	BRWN 64.4 · URI 74.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	URI -6.1	—
1H total	65.1	—
1H projected score	BRWN 29.5 · URI 35.6	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BRWN WWLWL	13-12	52%	8-5	—
URI LLWLL	13-19	41%	6-10	—

Venue/role: BRWN away; URI home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
BRWN OOOOU	13-12	52%	7-18
URI OUUUU	14-18	44%	16-16

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BRWN	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
URI	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Brown

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 4	@ BRY	W75–56WO
Dec 6	vs CCSU	W59–51WU

Rhode Island

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 5	vs PROV	L71–90LO
Dec 12	@ TULN	L75–78WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BRWN 3–1 URIBRWN leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · BRWN 4-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 2, 2025-26	BRWN 56 @ URI 66	URI -13.5	BRWN W
Dec 10, 2024-25	URI 80 @ BRWN 84	BRWN +3.5	BRWN W
Dec 6, 2023-24	BRWN 67 @ URI 64	URI -3.5	BRWN W
Dec 7, 2022-23	BRWN 59 @ URI 58	URI -4.5	BRWN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Brown

25 games played

Straight up

7-18

28% wins

Against the spread

13-12

52% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-12

52% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-1828%

L L L L W L W W L W L L L W L L L L L L W W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1252%

L W L L W L W W W W W L L W L L L L W W W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-1252%

U O O U U O U U U O O U O O U U U O O U O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsSIE	L 46-62	+3.5	L −12.5	142.5	U 108
Nov 9	vsUVM	L 84-89	+5.5	W +0.5	131.5	O 173
Nov 12	@BU	L 77-90	+3.5	L −9.5	129.5	O 167
Nov 14	vsHAMP	L 63-72	-1.5	L −10.5	139.5	U 135
Nov 18	vsHC	W 68-49	-2.5	W +16.5	141.5	U 117
Nov 20	@STBK	L 70-80	+3.5	L −6.5	136.5	O 150
Nov 23	@ME	W 58-53	-1.5	W +3.5	127.5	U 111
Nov 26	@UNH	W 59-47	-5.5	W +6.5	136.5	U 106
Dec 2	@URI	L 56-66	+13.5	W +3.5	138.5	U 122
Dec 5	vsBRY	W 75-56	-6.5	W +12.5	130.5	O 131
Dec 9	@PROV	L 79-86	+19.5	W +12.5	145.5	O 165
Jan 5	vsYALE	L 53-70	+8.5	L −8.5	142.5	U 123
Jan 10	@PENN	L 73-81	+5.5	L −2.5	145.5	O 154
Jan 17	vsCOLU	W 86-80	+2.5	W +8.5	143.5	O 166
Jan 19	vsCOR	L 67-89	+2.5	L −19.5	163.5	U 156
Jan 24	@PRIN	L 53-63	+4.5	L −5.5	134.5	U 116
Jan 30	vsHARV	L 59-69	+1.5	L −8.5	132.5	U 128
Jan 31	vsDART	L 70-77	-1.5	L −8.5	142.5	O 147
Feb 6	@YALE	L 69-81	+15.5	W +3.5	140.5	O 150
Feb 13	@HARV	L 53-56	+7.5	W +4.5	131.5	U 109
Feb 14	@DART	W 79-76	+2.5	W +5.5	139.5	O 155
Feb 20	vsPRIN	W 80-71	-2.5	W +6.5	129.5	O 151
Feb 27	@COLU	L 62-80	+5.5	L −12.5	140.5	O 142
Feb 28	@COR	L 80-86	+9.5	W +3.5	156.5	O 166
Mar 6	vsPENN	L 61-82	-1.5	L −22.5	146.5	U 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIE

L 46-62

−12.5

UVM

L 84-89

+0.5

L 77-90

−9.5

HAMP

L 63-72

−10.5

W 68-49

+16.5

STBK

L 70-80

−6.5

W 58-53

+3.5

UNH

W 59-47

+6.5

URI

L 56-66

+3.5

BRY

W 75-56

+12.5

PROV

L 79-86

+12.5

YALE

L 53-70

−8.5

PENN

L 73-81

−2.5

COLU

W 86-80

+8.5

COR

L 67-89

−19.5

PRIN

L 53-63

−5.5

HARV

L 59-69

−8.5

DART

L 70-77

−8.5

YALE

L 69-81

+3.5

HARV

L 53-56

+4.5

DART

W 79-76

+5.5

PRIN

W 80-71

+6.5

COLU

L 62-80

−12.5

COR

L 80-86

+3.5

PENN

L 61-82

−22.5

covered 13didn’t cover 12avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIE

L 46-62

−34.5

UVM

L 84-89

+41.5

L 77-90

+37.5

HAMP

L 63-72

−4.5

W 68-49

−24.5

STBK

L 70-80

+13.5

W 58-53

−16.5

UNH

W 59-47

−30.5

URI

L 56-66

−16.5

BRY

W 75-56

+0.5

PROV

L 79-86

+19.5

YALE

L 53-70

−19.5

PENN

L 73-81

+8.5

COLU

W 86-80

+22.5

COR

L 67-89

−7.5

PRIN

L 53-63

−18.5

HARV

L 59-69

−4.5

DART

L 70-77

+4.5

YALE

L 69-81

+9.5

HARV

L 53-56

−22.5

DART

W 79-76

+15.5

PRIN

W 80-71

+21.5

COLU

L 62-80

+1.5

COR

L 80-86

+9.5

PENN

L 61-82

−3.5

over 13under 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Rhode Island

32 games played

Straight up

16-16

50% wins

Against the spread

13-19

41% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1650%

W L W W W L W W W L L W W L L L W L W W W L W L L W L L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1941%

W L W W W L W W L L L L L L L L W L W W W L L W L W L L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-1844%

O U U U O U O O U O U U O U U O U O U O O U O U O O U O U U U U

4 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSTET	W 93-62	-18.5	W +12.5	152.5	O 155
Nov 7	vsTLSA	L 65-82	-3.5	L −20.5	153.5	U 147
Nov 11	vsSTO	W 80-57	-16.5	W +6.5	151.5	U 137
Nov 14	vsUALB	W 80-61	-15.5	W +3.5	150.5	U 141
Nov 18	@YALE	W 86-77	+8.5	W +17.5	153.5	O 163
Nov 24	vsTOW	L 55-62	-2.5	L −9.5	140.5	U 117
Nov 25	vsUVM	W 80-65	-4.5	W +10.5	144.5	O 145
Nov 26	vsTEM	W 90-75	-3.5	W +11.5	149.5	O 165
Dec 2	vsBRWN	W 66-56	-13.5	L −3.5	138.5	U 122
Dec 6	@PROV	L 71-90	+7.5	L −11.5	159.5	O 161
Dec 9	vsMCN	L 64-66	+1.5	L −0.5	146.5	U 130
Dec 16	vsCAN	W 62-45	-21.5	L −4.5	138.5	U 107
Dec 22	vsNE	W 85-77	-10.5	L −2.5	144.5	O 162
Dec 31	vsLUC	L 57-61	-9.5	L −13.5	145.5	U 118
Jan 3	@GMU	L 50-61	+6.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 111
Jan 7	vsLAS	L 72-79	-11.5	L −18.5	135.5	O 151
Jan 10	@DAV	W 70-45	+2.5	W +27.5	134.5	U 115
Jan 14	vsVCU	L 75-84	+3.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 159
Jan 21	@RICH	W 69-68	+3.5	W +4.5	144.5	U 137
Jan 24	vsGMU	W 74-65	+1.5	W +10.5	135.5	O 139
Jan 27	@DAY	W 81-76	+9.5	W +14.5	138.5	O 157
Feb 1	@DUQ	L 61-76	+2.5	L −12.5	146.5	U 137
Feb 7	vsRICH	W 82-77	-5.5	L −0.5	142.5	O 159
Feb 10	@GW	L 70-75	+5.5	W +0.5	151.5	U 145
Feb 14	vsFOR	L 66-70	-4.5	L −8.5	134.5	O 136
Feb 17	vsSLU	W 81-76	+9.5	W +14.5	151.5	O 157
Feb 21	@LAS	L 46-59	-3.5	L −16.5	135.5	U 105
Feb 26	@SBU	L 76-94	+2.5	L −15.5	144.5	O 170
Feb 28	vsJOES	L 55-61	-2.5	L −8.5	141.5	U 116
Mar 4	vsDUQ	W 64-52	-2.5	W +9.5	143.5	U 116
Mar 7	@FOR	L 49-61	+1.5	L −10.5	136.5	U 110
Mar 12	vsDUQ	L 61-67	+1.5	L −4.5	138.5	U 128

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

STET

W 93-62

+12.5

TLSA

L 65-82

−20.5

STO

W 80-57

+6.5

UALB

W 80-61

+3.5

YALE

W 86-77

+17.5

TOW

L 55-62

−9.5

UVM

W 80-65

+10.5

TEM

W 90-75

+11.5

BRWN

W 66-56

−3.5

PROV

L 71-90

−11.5

MCN

L 64-66

−0.5

CAN

W 62-45

−4.5

W 85-77

−2.5

LUC

L 57-61

−13.5

GMU

L 50-61

−4.5

LAS

L 72-79

−18.5

DAV

W 70-45

+27.5

VCU

L 75-84

−5.5

RICH

W 69-68

+4.5

GMU

W 74-65

+10.5

DAY

W 81-76

+14.5

DUQ

L 61-76

−12.5

RICH

W 82-77

−0.5

L 70-75

+0.5

FOR

L 66-70

−8.5

SLU

W 81-76

+14.5

LAS

L 46-59

−16.5

SBU

L 76-94

−15.5

JOES

L 55-61

−8.5

DUQ

W 64-52

+9.5

FOR

L 49-61

−10.5

DUQ

L 61-67

−4.5

covered 13didn’t cover 19avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

STET

W 93-62

+2.5

TLSA

L 65-82

−6.5

STO

W 80-57

−14.5

UALB

W 80-61

−9.5

YALE

W 86-77

+9.5

TOW

L 55-62

−23.5

UVM

W 80-65

+0.5

TEM

W 90-75

+15.5

BRWN

W 66-56

−16.5

PROV

L 71-90

+1.5

MCN

L 64-66

−16.5

CAN

W 62-45

−31.5

W 85-77

+17.5

LUC

L 57-61

−27.5

GMU

L 50-61

−28.5

LAS

L 72-79

+15.5

DAV

W 70-45

−19.5

VCU

L 75-84

+11.5

RICH

W 69-68

−7.5

GMU

W 74-65

+3.5

DAY

W 81-76

+18.5

DUQ

L 61-76

−9.5

RICH

W 82-77

+16.5

L 70-75

−6.5

FOR

L 66-70

+1.5

SLU

W 81-76

+5.5

LAS

L 46-59

−30.5

SBU

L 76-94

+25.5

JOES

L 55-61

−25.5

DUQ

W 64-52

−27.5

FOR

L 49-61

−26.5

DUQ

L 61-67

−10.5

over 14under 18avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Rhode Island has the better starters

Position by position: Brown 0, Rhode Island 3, even 2

BrownBetterRhode Island

G J. Jenkins8.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast Score 47

URISmall

G D. Williamson TR14.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast Score 63

G A. Uchidiuno9.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20

URISmall

G J. Hinton12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 51

G M. Wrisby-Jefferson4.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.6 ast Score 25

No call

G J. Fontenet TR6.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked

G D. Rochester5.6 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 27

URIBig

G J. Tripp12 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 90

F N. Dabo7.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1 ast Score 72

Even

F M. Deniusas TR12.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 70

BrownBetterRhode Island

BRWN offense220th of 366 · -6.7

URIBig

URI defense86th of 366 · -0.0

BRWN defense124th of 366 · -2.2

Even

URI offense123rd of 366 · -3.2

Backcourt-6.6 · 4 players

URIBig

Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players

Frontcourt+1.0 · 1 player

Even

Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player

Bench-2.4 · 5 players

URISmall

Bench-0.5 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestBRWN betterURI betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Brown

Guards

J. Jenkins31 minA. Uchidiuno26 minM. Wrisby-Jefferson23 minD. Rochester22 minI. Langham21 minB. Loughlin18 min

Forwards

N. Dabo24 minC. O'Sullivan11 minW. DeGraaf8 minE. JamgbadiNewL. JonesNew

Rhode Island

Guards

D. Williamson37 min · TRJ. Hinton32 minJ. Fontenet28 min · TRJ. Tripp25 minJ. Harper12 minB. Loer4 min

Forwards

M. Deniusas27 min · TRM. Sow20 minJ. PerryNewN. RaupelisNewT. MartinNewD. MabilonNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

BRWN67.2 #330

URI69.9 #288

Points per possession

BRWN0.98 #338

URI1.05 #255

Pace (possessions)

BRWN68.0 #229

URI66.5 #293

Shooting

Effective FG%

BRWN48.6 #299

URI50.1 #231

3-point %

BRWN30.3 #338

URI31.1 #318

3-point attempt rate

BRWN36.3 #244

URI43.5 #103

Free throw rate

BRWN28.1 #342

URI38.4 #92

Possessions

Turnover rate

BRWN19.4 #334

URI19.1 #326

Offensive rebound rate

BRWN29.0 #236

URI31.0 #163

Assists per game

BRWN14.8 #99

URI11.3 #321

Defense

Points allowed

BRWN72.4 #115

URI68.2 #33

Points allowed per possession

BRWN1.07 #134

URI1.03 #53

Opponent effective FG%

BRWN51.3 #176

URI50.4 #124

Opponent 3-point %

BRWN33.5 #157

URI34.7 #232

Turnovers forced

BRWN18.8 #57

URI21.2 #10

Defensive rebound rate

BRWN70.0 #164

URI68.2 #248

Steals per game

BRWN7.5 #82

URI8.4 #20

Blocks per game

BRWN3.8 #104

URI3.7 #117

BRWN		URI
Scoring
67.2 #330	Points per game	69.9 #288
0.98 #338	Points per possession	1.05 #255
68.0 #229	Pace (possessions)	66.5 #293
Shooting
48.6 #299	Effective FG%	50.1 #231
30.3 #338	3-point %	31.1 #318
36.3 #244	3-point attempt rate	43.5 #103
28.1 #342	Free throw rate	38.4 #92
Possessions
19.4 #334	Turnover rate	19.1 #326
29.0 #236	Offensive rebound rate	31.0 #163
14.8 #99	Assists per game	11.3 #321
Defense
72.4 #115	Points allowed	68.2 #33
1.07 #134	Points allowed per possession	1.03 #53
51.3 #176	Opponent effective FG%	50.4 #124
33.5 #157	Opponent 3-point %	34.7 #232
18.8 #57	Turnovers forced	21.2 #10
70.0 #164	Defensive rebound rate	68.2 #248
7.5 #82	Steals per game	8.4 #20
3.8 #104	Blocks per game	3.7 #117

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Brown

7-18 in 2025-26 overall · 3-11 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Penn61–82
L@ Cornell80–86
L@ Columbia62–80
Wvs Princeton80–71
W@ Dartmouth79–76

A week or more of rest.

Rhode Island

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Duquesne61–67
L@ Fordham49–61
Wvs Duquesne64–52
Lvs Saint Joseph's55–61
L@ St Bonaventure76–94

A week or more of rest.

Brown Bears at Rhode Island Rams

What could decide it: URI has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Brown

Rhode Island

Rhode Island has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Brown

Rhode Island