1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. NORF @ SEA
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

Norfolk State Spartans at Seattle U Redhawks

Redhawk Center · at Seattle U
#319NORFNorfolk St
@
#119SEASeattle U
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NORFThis seasonSEA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SEA 80–61 · win probability SEA 95%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 140.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SEA has more of the edges

NORF 1, SEA 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SEABig
NORF offense vs SEA defense
Offense 314th of 366 against a defense 76th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NORF has played the 343rd-hardest schedule, SEA the 114th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SEABig
SEA offense vs NORF defense
Offense 183rd of 366 against a defense 301st, on the model’s ratings
NORFSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NORF 32.5%, SEA 23.7%. Defensive: NORF 67.7%, SEA 68.2%
SEASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NORF 18.7%, SEA 16.7%. Forced: NORF 18.8%, SEA 21.2%
SEASmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: NORF 49.3 and allows 51.7; SEA 49.8 and allows 48.4
SEASmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NORF 8%, SEA 50%. Transfers in: NORF 4, SEA 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SEASmall
Home court
SEA at home. This season: SEA 0-0 at home, NORF 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
NORF hits 34.2% and allows 32.0%; SEA hits 33.7% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 30.6% and 39.4% of their shots
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NORF 43.5, SEA 34.2. Allowed: NORF 45.3, SEA 33.0
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: NORF plays 69.1 a game (172nd fastest), SEA 69.1 (175th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SEA -18.8—
Total—140.7—
Projected score—NORF 60.9 · SEA 79.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSEA -11.1—
1H total65.8—
1H projected scoreNORF 27.4 · SEA 38.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Seattle U has the better starters

Position by position: Norfolk St 0, Seattle U 4, even 1
Norfolk StBetterSeattle U
G B. Laster TR6.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast Score 51
SEASmall
G T. Boston TR14.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast Score 76
G A. Newton3.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
SEASmall
G M. Arington4.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast Score 41
F J. Gupton TR7.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 22
SEASmall
F J. Yeo12.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 45
F B. Gardner TR3.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 3
SEABig
F W. Heimbrodt12.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast Score 72
F J. Riley TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 56
Even
F T. Thrastarson TR9.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
Norfolk StBetterSeattle U
NORF offense314th of 366 · -10.1
SEABig
SEA defense76th of 366 · +0.6
NORF defense301st of 366 · -7.7
SEASmall
SEA offense183rd of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt-2.2 · 2 players
SEASmall
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
Frontcourt-4.2 · 3 players
SEABig
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
Bench-0.0 · 1 player
Even
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestNORF betterSEA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Norfolk St
Guards
B. Laster19 min · TRA. Newton16 minA. Torrence1 minC. WalkerNewD. CamaraNewJ. SkyersNew
Forwards
J. Gupton25 min · TRB. Gardner16 min · TRJ. Riley11 min · TRM. MitchellNew
Centers
J. JordanNew
Seattle U
Guards
T. Boston33 min · TRM. Arington31 minK. HansenNewM. WilliamsNewJ. WhiteNewJ. HarshmanNew
Forwards
J. Yeo32 minW. Heimbrodt32 minT. Thrastarson23 min · TRY. Kawashima3 minR. Adams2 min
Centers
H. Dzellat8 min · TRL. CoulibalyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NORFSEA
Scoring
71.6 #257Points per game70.1 #283
1.04 #274Points per possession1.01 #312
69.1 #172Pace (possessions)69.1 #175
Shooting
49.3 #277Effective FG%49.8 #249
34.2 #1573-point %33.7 #186
30.6 #3473-point attempt rate39.4 #185
43.5 #13Free throw rate34.2 #201
Possessions
18.7 #311Turnover rate16.7 #178
32.5 #108Offensive rebound rate23.7 #347
11.3 #326Assists per game13.2 #201
Defense
74.7 #181Points allowed68.2 #34
1.08 #160Points allowed per possession0.99 #20
51.7 #196Opponent effective FG%48.4 #46
32.0 #61Opponent 3-point %32.1 #69
18.8 #58Turnovers forced21.2 #9
67.7 #270Defensive rebound rate68.2 #249
6.5 #180Steals per game7.8 #52
2.8 #264Blocks per game4.9 #20
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Norfolk St

11-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SC State82–88
  • Lvs Howard76–84
  • L@ Morgan St84–90
  • W@ Coppin St75–69
  • Wvs SC State90–71

A week or more of rest.

Seattle U

19-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Auburn85–91
  • Wvs St Thomas67–52
  • Lvs Pacific58–61
  • Wvs San Diego58–56
  • W@ LMU71–66

A week or more of rest.