1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 15
  3. APSU @ SEA
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 15

Austin Peay Governors at Seattle U Redhawks

Redhawk Center · at Seattle U
#210APSUAustin Peay
@
#119SEASeattle U
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
APSUThis seasonSEA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SEA 77–67 · win probability SEA 81%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SEA has more of the edges

APSU 2, SEA 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
APSU has played the 318th-hardest schedule, SEA the 114th. A record against a soft schedule means less
APSUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: APSU 29.7%, SEA 23.7%. Defensive: APSU 71.1%, SEA 68.2%
SEASmall
APSU offense vs SEA defense
Offense 174th of 366 against a defense 76th, on the model’s ratings
SEASmall
SEA offense vs APSU defense
Offense 183rd of 366 against a defense 240th, on the model’s ratings
SEASmall
Home court
SEA at home. This season: SEA 0-0 at home, APSU 0-0 away
APSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: APSU 37.6, SEA 34.2. Allowed: APSU 32.8, SEA 33.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: APSU 30%, SEA 50%. Transfers in: APSU 2, SEA 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: APSU plays 70.1 a game (114th fastest), SEA 69.1 (175th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: APSU 53.0 and allows 52.2; SEA 49.8 and allows 48.4
Even
Three-pointers
APSU hits 35.3% and allows 33.2%; SEA hits 33.7% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 38.0% and 39.4% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: APSU 15.4%, SEA 16.7%. Forced: APSU 17.9%, SEA 21.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SEA -9.8—
Total—143.6—
Projected score—APSU 66.9 · SEA 76.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSEA -5.7—
1H total67.2—
1H projected scoreAPSU 30.7 · SEA 36.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Austin Peay 1, Seattle U 1, even 3
Austin PeayBetterSeattle U
G Z. Collins13.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.2 ast Score 60
SEASmall
G T. Boston TR14.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast Score 76
G C. Love TR7.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 44
Even
G M. Arington4.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast Score 41
G S. Hugie TR4.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 32
Even
F J. Yeo12.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 45
G C. Ryans NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F W. Heimbrodt12.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast Score 72
F R. Marshall16.3 pts · 7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 92
APSUBig
F T. Thrastarson TR9.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
Austin PeayBetterSeattle U
APSU offense174th of 366 · -5.4
SEASmall
SEA defense76th of 366 · +0.6
APSU defense240th of 366 · -6.3
SEASmall
SEA offense183rd of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt-1.7 · 4 players
SEASmall
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player
APSUBig
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestAPSU betterSEA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Austin Peay
Guards
Z. Collins30 minC. Love25 min · TRS. Hugie12 min · TRC. RyansNewP. SingletonNewT. ToddNew
Forwards
R. Marshall30 minD. BoldenNewA. DavisNew
Seattle U
Guards
T. Boston33 min · TRM. Arington31 minK. HansenNewM. WilliamsNewJ. WhiteNewJ. HarshmanNew
Forwards
J. Yeo32 minW. Heimbrodt32 minT. Thrastarson23 min · TRY. Kawashima3 minR. Adams2 min
Centers
H. Dzellat8 min · TRL. CoulibalyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
APSUSEA
Scoring
79.0 #79Points per game70.1 #283
1.13 #91Points per possession1.01 #312
70.1 #114Pace (possessions)69.1 #175
Shooting
53.0 #105Effective FG%49.8 #249
35.3 #993-point %33.7 #186
38.0 #2153-point attempt rate39.4 #185
37.6 #110Free throw rate34.2 #201
Possessions
15.4 #94Turnover rate16.7 #178
29.7 #214Offensive rebound rate23.7 #347
15.3 #76Assists per game13.2 #201
Defense
74.6 #179Points allowed68.2 #34
1.06 #119Points allowed per possession0.99 #20
52.2 #227Opponent effective FG%48.4 #46
33.2 #137Opponent 3-point %32.1 #69
17.9 #103Turnovers forced21.2 #9
71.1 #100Defensive rebound rate68.2 #249
8.4 #22Steals per game7.8 #52
2.2 #329Blocks per game4.9 #20
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Austin Peay

20-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Queens University Royals83–90
  • Wvs Stetson69–60
  • L@ Bellarmine97–111
  • Lvs C Arkansas88–93
  • W@ Jacksonville65–61

A week or more of rest.

Seattle U

19-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Auburn85–91
  • Wvs St Thomas67–52
  • Lvs Pacific58–61
  • Wvs San Diego58–56
  • W@ LMU71–66

A week or more of rest.