1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 12
  3. UMES @ URI
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 12

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Rhode Island Rams

Thomas M. Ryan Center · at Rhode Island
#364UMESMD Eastern
@
#105URIRhode Island
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UMESThis seasonURI
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects URI 82–56 · win probability URI 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 137.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: URI has more of the edges

UMES 0, URI 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
URIBig
UMES offense vs URI defense
Offense 364th of 366 against a defense 86th, on the model’s ratings
URIBig
URI offense vs UMES defense
Offense 123rd of 366 against a defense 350th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UMES has played the 240th-hardest schedule, URI the 117th. A record against a soft schedule means less
URIBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UMES 29.4, URI 38.4. Allowed: UMES 43.0, URI 42.6
URISmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UMES 9%, URI 46%. Transfers in: UMES 1, URI 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
URISmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UMES 23.7%, URI 19.1%. Forced: UMES 18.0%, URI 21.2%
URISmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UMES 47.8 and allows 50.8; URI 50.1 and allows 50.4
URISmall
Home court
URI at home. This season: URI 0-0 at home, UMES 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
UMES hits 29.0% and allows 33.5%; URI hits 31.1% and allows 34.7%. Threes are 33.5% and 43.5% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: UMES plays 65.8 a game (321st fastest), URI 66.5 (293rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UMES 32.4%, URI 31.0%. Defensive: UMES 66.4%, URI 68.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—URI -25.8—
Total—137.8—
Projected score—UMES 56 · URI 81.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadURI -15.2—
1H total64.5—
1H projected scoreUMES 24.6 · URI 39.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Rhode Island has the better starters

Position by position: MD Eastern 0, Rhode Island 1, even 4
MD EasternBetterRhode Island
G I. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G D. Williamson TR14.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast Score 63
F L. Beckwith1.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 1
URIBig
G J. Hinton12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 51
F L. Gibson-Savadel TR2.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Fontenet TR6.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
F E. Berhanu NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G J. Tripp12 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 90
F G. Tokody NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F M. Deniusas TR12.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 70
MD EasternBetterRhode Island
UMES offense364th of 366 · -15.3
URIBig
URI defense86th of 366 · -0.0
UMES defense350th of 366 · -9.7
URIBig
URI offense123rd of 366 · -3.2
BackcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-3.5 · 4 players
URIBig
Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestUMES betterURI betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MD Eastern
Guards
I. HallNewE. JohnsonNewI. GriffinNewS. MooreNewB. GardnerNewV. EzehNew
Forwards
L. Beckwith17 minL. Gibson-Savadel7 min · TRE. BerhanuNewG. TokodyNewA. ColeNewD. Hall-JohnsonNew
Centers
E. OgohNew
Rhode Island
Guards
D. Williamson37 min · TRJ. Hinton32 minJ. Fontenet28 min · TRJ. Tripp25 minJ. Harper12 minB. Loer4 min
Forwards
M. Deniusas27 min · TRM. Sow20 minJ. PerryNewN. RaupelisNewT. MartinNewD. MabilonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UMESURI
Scoring
62.4 #360Points per game69.9 #288
0.94 #358Points per possession1.05 #255
65.8 #321Pace (possessions)66.5 #293
Shooting
47.8 #319Effective FG%50.1 #231
29.0 #3543-point %31.1 #318
33.5 #3093-point attempt rate43.5 #103
29.4 #321Free throw rate38.4 #92
Possessions
23.7 #365Turnover rate19.1 #326
32.4 #112Offensive rebound rate31.0 #163
13.0 #213Assists per game11.3 #321
Defense
71.5 #91Points allowed68.2 #33
1.09 #207Points allowed per possession1.03 #53
50.8 #142Opponent effective FG%50.4 #124
33.5 #156Opponent 3-point %34.7 #232
18.0 #95Turnovers forced21.2 #10
66.4 #311Defensive rebound rate68.2 #248
5.7 #274Steals per game8.4 #20
2.5 #302Blocks per game3.7 #117
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

MD Eastern

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-10 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central76–83
  • Lvs Delaware St56–57
  • Lvs NC Central73–77
  • Wvs SC State69–57
  • L@ Coppin St65–71

A week or more of rest.

Rhode Island

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duquesne61–67
  • L@ Fordham49–61
  • Wvs Duquesne64–52
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's55–61
  • L@ St Bonaventure76–94

A week or more of rest.