1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. UMES @ DEP
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at DePaul Blue Demons

Wintrust Arena · at DePaul
#364UMESMD Eastern
@
#66DEPDePaul
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UMESThis seasonDEP
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DEP 85–52 · win probability DEP 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 137.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DEP has more of the edges

UMES 0, DEP 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DEPBig
UMES offense vs DEP defense
Offense 364th of 366 against a defense 31st, on the model’s ratings
DEPBig
DEP offense vs UMES defense
Offense 92nd of 366 against a defense 350th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UMES has played the 240th-hardest schedule, DEP the 72nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
DEPBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UMES 29.4, DEP 35.3. Allowed: UMES 43.0, DEP 37.8
DEPSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UMES 23.7%, DEP 17.7%. Forced: UMES 18.0%, DEP 18.7%
DEPSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UMES 47.8 and allows 50.8; DEP 49.8 and allows 49.3
DEPSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UMES 9%, DEP 38%. Transfers in: UMES 1, DEP 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
DEPSmall
Home court
DEP at home. This season: DEP 0-0 at home, UMES 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: UMES plays 65.8 a game (321st fastest), DEP 67.7 (240th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UMES 32.4%, DEP 30.1%. Defensive: UMES 66.4%, DEP 69.0%
Even
Three-pointers
UMES hits 29.0% and allows 33.5%; DEP hits 32.5% and allows 35.4%. Threes are 33.5% and 39.0% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DEP -32.4—
Total—137.2—
Projected score—UMES 52.4 · DEP 84.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDEP -19.1—
1H total64.3—
1H projected scoreUMES 22.6 · DEP 41.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

DePaul has the better starters

Position by position: MD Eastern 0, DePaul 1, even 4
MD EasternBetterDePaul
G I. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G K. Holmes TR19.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast Score 96
F L. Beckwith1.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 1
DEPBig
G A. Popoola TR10.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.3 ast Score 57
F L. Gibson-Savadel TR2.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G L. Blocker11.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.5 ast Score 77
F E. Berhanu NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G K. Cotton TR14.1 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 87
F G. Tokody NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
C W. Jacques TR8.9 pts · 8.8 reb · 1 ast Score 52
MD EasternBetterDePaul
UMES offense364th of 366 · -15.3
DEPBig
DEP defense31st of 366 · +3.5
UMES defense350th of 366 · -9.7
DEPBig
DEP offense92nd of 366 · -0.3
BackcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Backcourt+7.2 · 4 players
Frontcourt-3.5 · 4 players
DEPBig
Frontcourt+0.5 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+0.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUMES betterDEP betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MD Eastern
Guards
I. HallNewE. JohnsonNewI. GriffinNewS. MooreNewB. GardnerNewV. EzehNew
Forwards
L. Beckwith17 minL. Gibson-Savadel7 min · TRE. BerhanuNewG. TokodyNewA. ColeNewD. Hall-JohnsonNew
Centers
E. OgohNew
DePaul
Guards
K. Holmes32 min · TRA. Popoola29 min · TRL. Blocker29 minK. Cotton28 min · TRN. Meeusen27 min · TRK. McClure19 min
Forwards
M. Gwath19 min · TRT. Pierre-Justin16 minJ. JohnsonNewA. JensenNew
Centers
W. Jacques28 min · TRF. Flores11 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UMESDEP
Scoring
62.4 #360Points per game70.3 #279
0.94 #358Points per possession1.04 #280
65.8 #321Pace (possessions)67.7 #240
Shooting
47.8 #319Effective FG%49.8 #243
29.0 #3543-point %32.5 #253
33.5 #3093-point attempt rate39.0 #191
29.4 #321Free throw rate35.3 #169
Possessions
23.7 #365Turnover rate17.7 #253
32.4 #112Offensive rebound rate30.1 #197
13.0 #213Assists per game15.0 #87
Defense
71.5 #91Points allowed69.6 #57
1.09 #207Points allowed per possession1.03 #55
50.8 #142Opponent effective FG%49.3 #77
33.5 #156Opponent 3-point %35.4 #274
18.0 #95Turnovers forced18.7 #64
66.4 #311Defensive rebound rate69.0 #205
5.7 #274Steals per game6.9 #134
2.5 #302Blocks per game3.4 #152
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

MD Eastern

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-10 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central76–83
  • Lvs Delaware St56–57
  • Lvs NC Central73–77
  • Wvs SC State69–57
  • L@ Coppin St65–71

A week or more of rest.

DePaul

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Georgetown56–63
  • Lvs Butler71–81
  • Lvs Villanova57–76
  • W@ Marquette62–51
  • W@ Creighton72–71

A week or more of rest.