Suncoast Credit Union Arena · Neutral site
#66DEPDePaul
vs
#23PURPurdue
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: DePaul and Purdue
DEPThis seasonPUR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PUR 75–68 · win probability PUR 72%
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PUR has more of the edges

DEP 0, PUR 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PURBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DEP 30.1%, PUR 36.4%. Defensive: DEP 69.0%, PUR 72.9%
PURBig
Three-pointers
DEP hits 32.5% and allows 35.4%; PUR hits 38.3% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 39.0% and 40.2% of their shots
PURSmall
DEP offense vs PUR defense
Offense 92nd of 366 against a defense 18th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
DEP has played the 72nd-hardest schedule, PUR the 6th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: DEP plays 67.7 a game (240th fastest), PUR 65.4 (333rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DEP 35.3, PUR 28.6. Allowed: DEP 37.8, PUR 25.5
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: DEP 49.8 and allows 49.3; PUR 57.6 and allows 52.4
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DEP 17.7%, PUR 13.7%. Forced: DEP 18.7%, PUR 15.3%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DEP 38%, PUR 43%. Transfers in: DEP 6, PUR 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
PUR offense vs DEP defense
Offense 38th of 366 against a defense 31st, on the model’s ratings

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PUR -6.7—
Total—142.7—
Projected score—DEP 68 · PUR 74.7

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadPUR -3.9—
1H total66.8—
1H projected scoreDEP 31.5 · PUR 35.3—

Purdue has the better starters

Position by position: DePaul 1, Purdue 2, even 2
DePaulBetterPurdue
G K. Holmes TR19.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast Score 96
Even
G C. Cox8.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 82
G A. Popoola TR10.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.3 ast Score 57
PURSmall
G G. Harris4.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.8 ast Score 75
G L. Blocker11.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.5 ast Score 77
Even
G J. Benter4.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.8 ast Score 75
G K. Cotton TR14.1 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 87
DEPSmall
G O. Mayer5.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 64
C W. Jacques TR8.9 pts · 8.8 reb · 1 ast Score 52
PURBig
C D. Jacobsen5.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 88
DePaulBetterPurdue
DEP offense92nd of 366 · -0.3
PURSmall
PUR defense18th of 366 · +6.0
DEP defense31st of 366 · +3.5
Even
PUR offense38th of 366 · +5.0
Backcourt+7.2 · 4 players
DEPBig
Backcourt+2.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt+0.5 · 1 player
PURSmall
Frontcourt+1.8 · 1 player
Bench+0.9 · 5 players
Even
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestDEP betterPUR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
DePaul
Guards
K. Holmes32 min · TRA. Popoola29 min · TRL. Blocker29 minK. Cotton28 min · TRN. Meeusen27 min · TRK. McClure19 min
Forwards
M. Gwath19 min · TRT. Pierre-Justin16 minJ. JohnsonNewA. JensenNew
Centers
W. Jacques28 min · TRF. Flores11 min
Purdue
Guards
C. Cox24 minG. Harris16 minJ. Benter15 minO. Mayer14 minJ. Rayl2 minJ. Lusk2 min
Forwards
S. KingNewC. PierceNewE. ShahrvinNewR. BurgessNewR. KnightNew
Centers
D. Jacobsen13 minS. HuanNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DEPPUR
Scoring
70.3 #279Points per game81.6 #35
1.04 #280Points per possession1.25 #2
67.7 #240Pace (possessions)65.4 #333
Shooting
49.8 #243Effective FG%57.6 #10
32.5 #2533-point %38.3 #11
39.0 #1913-point attempt rate40.2 #164
35.3 #169Free throw rate28.6 #336
Possessions
17.7 #253Turnover rate13.7 #16
30.1 #197Offensive rebound rate36.4 #19
15.0 #87Assists per game19.6 #2
Defense
69.6 #57Points allowed70.5 #65
1.03 #55Points allowed per possession1.08 #162
49.3 #77Opponent effective FG%52.4 #232
35.4 #274Opponent 3-point %34.1 #192
18.7 #64Turnovers forced15.3 #263
69.0 #205Defensive rebound rate72.9 #39
6.9 #134Steals per game5.5 #297
3.4 #152Blocks per game2.8 #257

DePaul

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Georgetown56–63
  • Lvs Butler71–81
  • Lvs Villanova57–76
  • W@ Marquette62–51
  • W@ Creighton72–71

A week or more of rest.

Purdue

30-9 in 2025-26 overall · 17-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arizona64–79
  • Wvs Texas79–77
  • Wvs Miami79–69
  • Wvs Queens University Royals104–71
  • Wvs Michigan80–72

A week or more of rest.