Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State
LineNo line yet
Total—
| This season | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects ISU 78–68 · win probability ISU 79%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: ISU has more of the edges
PUR 0, ISU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PUR 13.7%, ISU 14.9%. Forced: PUR 15.3%, ISU 22.6%
Shooting
Effective FG%: PUR 57.6 and allows 52.4; ISU 56.2 and allows 49.8
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: PUR plays 65.4 a game (333rd fastest), ISU 68.5 (204th). Faster games mean more points
Three-pointers
PUR hits 38.3% and allows 34.1%; ISU hits 38.3% and allows 32.0%. Threes are 40.2% and 38.8% of their shots
Free throws
Free throw rate: PUR 28.6, ISU 34.5. Allowed: PUR 25.5, ISU 28.1
Home court
ISU at home. This season: ISU 0-0 at home, PUR 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PUR 36.4%, ISU 35.1%. Defensive: PUR 72.9%, ISU 71.4%
Context
Schedule so far
PUR has played the 6th-hardest schedule, ISU the 38th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
PUR offense vs ISU defense
Offense 38th of 366 against a defense 6th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PUR 43%, ISU 57%. Transfers in: PUR 0, ISU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
ISU offense vs PUR defense
Offense 26th of 366 against a defense 18th, on the model’s ratings
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | ISU -9.3 | — |
| Total | — | 146.1 | — |
| Projected score | — | PUR 68.4 · ISU 77.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ISU -5.4 | — |
| 1H total | 68.3 | — |
| 1H projected score | PUR 31.4 · ISU 36.9 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PUR 0–1 ISUISU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · PUR 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | ISU 81 @ PUR 58 | PUR -4.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue
39 games played
Straight up
30-9
77% wins
Against the spread
17-22
44% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-19
51% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Against the spread
17-2244%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 93-63 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 68-64 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 80-77 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 78-57 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vs | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 20 | vs | W 93-64 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 26 | vs | L 74-76 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @ | L 74-82 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 4 | @ | W 70-66 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 93-97 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 81-68 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 74-58 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 14 | vs | W 73-66 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 15 | vs | W 80-72 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 20 | vs | W 104-71 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 22 | vs | W 79-69 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 26 | vs | W 79-77 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 28 | vs | L 64-79 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
EVAN
W 82-51
−2.5
7
vs
OAK
W 87-77
−21.5
13
@
ALA
W 87-80
+10.5
16
vs
AKR
W 97-79
−0.5
20
vs
MEM
W 80-71
−5.5
21
vs
TTU
W 86-56
+26.5
28
vs
EIU
W 109-62
+6.5
2
@
RUTG
W 81-65
+2.5
6
vs
ISU
L 58-81
−27.5
10
vs
MINN
W 85-57
+8.5
13
vs
MARQ
W 79-59
+3.5
20
vs
AUB
W 88-60
+20.5
29
vs
KENT
W 101-60
+16.5
3
@
WIS
W 89-73
+10.5
7
vs
WASH
W 81-73
−8.5
10
vs
PSU
W 93-85
−14.5
14
vs
IOWA
W 79-72
−3.5
17
@
USC
W 69-64
−4.5
20
@
UCLA
L 67-69
−7.5
24
vs
ILL
L 82-88
−11.5
27
@
IU
L 67-72
−9.5
1
@
MD
W 93-63
+14.5
7
vs
ORE
W 68-64
−15.5
10
@
NEB
W 80-77
+5.5
14
@
IOWA
W 78-57
+18.5
17
vs
MICH
L 80-91
−8.5
20
vs
IU
W 93-64
+17.5
26
vs
MSU
L 74-76
−7.5
1
@
OSU
L 74-82
−14.5
4
@
NU
W 70-66
−8.5
7
vs
WIS
L 93-97
−13.5
12
vs
NU
W 81-68
−0.5
13
vs
NEB
W 74-58
+11.5
14
vs
UCLA
W 73-66
−0.5
15
vs
MICH
W 80-72
+12.5
20
vs
QUC
W 104-71
+7.5
22
vs
MIA
W 79-69
+1.5
26
vs
TEX
W 79-77
−6.5
28
vs
ARIZ
L 64-79
−9.5
covered 17didn’t cover 22avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
EVAN
W 82-51
−17.5
7
vs
OAK
W 87-77
+5.5
13
@
ALA
W 87-80
−5.5
16
vs
AKR
W 97-79
+12.5
20
vs
MEM
W 80-71
−5.5
21
vs
TTU
W 86-56
−11.5
28
vs
EIU
W 109-62
+29.5
2
@
RUTG
W 81-65
−0.5
6
vs
ISU
L 58-81
−15.5
10
vs
MINN
W 85-57
−1.5
13
vs
MARQ
W 79-59
−16.5
20
vs
AUB
W 88-60
−4.5
29
vs
KENT
W 101-60
+5.5
3
@
WIS
W 89-73
+8.5
7
vs
WASH
W 81-73
−0.5
10
vs
PSU
W 93-85
+25.5
14
vs
IOWA
W 79-72
+5.5
17
@
USC
W 69-64
−22.5
20
@
UCLA
L 67-69
−11.5
24
vs
ILL
L 82-88
+17.5
27
@
IU
L 67-72
−11.5
1
@
MD
W 93-63
+7.5
7
vs
ORE
W 68-64
−12.5
10
@
NEB
W 80-77
+10.5
14
@
IOWA
W 78-57
−7.5
17
vs
MICH
L 80-91
+14.5
20
vs
IU
W 93-64
+6.5
26
vs
MSU
L 74-76
+6.5
1
@
OSU
L 74-82
+6.5
4
@
NU
W 70-66
−9.5
7
vs
WIS
L 93-97
+35.5
12
vs
NU
W 81-68
+9.5
13
vs
NEB
W 74-58
−13.5
14
vs
UCLA
W 73-66
−4.5
15
vs
MICH
W 80-72
+2.5
20
vs
QUC
W 104-71
+15.5
22
vs
MIA
W 79-69
+1.5
26
vs
TEX
W 79-77
+9.5
28
vs
ARIZ
L 64-79
−9.5
over 20under 19avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
37 games played
Straight up
29-8
78% wins
Against the spread
22-15
59% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-22
41% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | @ | L 55-62 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 74-56 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 16 | vs | W 70-67 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 24 | @ | W 75-59 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 73-82 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 2 | @ | L 57-73 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 86-65 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 91-42 | -13.5 | W +35.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 75-53 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 13 | vs | L 80-82 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 20 | vs | W 108-74 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 182 |
| Mar 22 | vs | W 82-63 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 27 | vs | L 62-76 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FDU
W 88-50
+0.5
6
vs
GRAM
W 102-62
+6.5
10
vs
MSST
W 96-80
+10.5
17
vs
STO
W 96-57
−1.5
24
vs
SJU
W 83-82
−1.5
25
vs
CREI
W 78-60
+8.5
26
vs
SYR
W 95-64
+20.5
3
vs
ALCN
W 132-68
+21.5
6
@
PUR
W 81-58
+27.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 66-62
−7.5
14
vs
EIU
W 78-53
−18.5
21
vs
LBSU
W 91-60
−6.5
29
vs
HCU
W 89-61
−7.5
2
vs
WVU
W 80-59
+4.5
7
@
BAY
W 70-60
+6.5
10
vs
OKST
W 83-71
−7.5
13
@
KU
L 63-84
−24.5
17
@
CIN
L 70-79
−14.5
20
vs
UCF
W 87-57
+15.5
24
@
OKST
W 84-71
+2.5
29
vs
COLO
W 97-67
+12.5
1
@
KSU
W 95-61
+21.5
7
vs
BAY
W 72-69
−11.5
10
@
TCU
L 55-62
−14.5
14
vs
KU
W 74-56
+10.5
16
vs
HOU
W 70-67
+0.5
21
@
BYU
L 69-79
−12.5
24
@
UTAH
W 75-59
+1.5
28
vs
TTU
L 73-82
−19.5
2
@
ARIZ
L 57-73
−8.5
7
vs
ASU
W 86-65
+4.5
11
vs
ASU
W 91-42
+35.5
12
vs
TTU
W 75-53
+14.5
13
vs
ARIZ
L 80-82
+1.5
20
vs
TNST
W 108-74
+9.5
22
vs
UK
W 82-63
+13.5
27
vs
TENN
L 62-76
−16.5
covered 22didn’t cover 15avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
FDU
W 88-50
−9.5
6
vs
GRAM
W 102-62
+19.5
10
vs
MSST
W 96-80
+25.5
17
vs
STO
W 96-57
+6.5
24
vs
SJU
W 83-82
+6.5
25
vs
CREI
W 78-60
−14.5
26
vs
SYR
W 95-64
+13.5
3
vs
ALCN
W 132-68
+48.5
6
@
PUR
W 81-58
−15.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 66-62
−13.5
14
vs
EIU
W 78-53
−13.5
21
vs
LBSU
W 91-60
+1.5
29
vs
HCU
W 89-61
+4.5
2
vs
WVU
W 80-59
−3.5
7
@
BAY
W 70-60
−25.5
10
vs
OKST
W 83-71
−11.5
13
@
KU
L 63-84
−5.5
17
@
CIN
L 70-79
+7.5
20
vs
UCF
W 87-57
−12.5
24
@
OKST
W 84-71
−7.5
29
vs
COLO
W 97-67
+11.5
1
@
KSU
W 95-61
−0.5
7
vs
BAY
W 72-69
−10.5
10
@
TCU
L 55-62
−30.5
14
vs
KU
W 74-56
−17.5
16
vs
HOU
W 70-67
+2.5
21
@
BYU
L 69-79
−6.5
24
@
UTAH
W 75-59
−10.5
28
vs
TTU
L 73-82
+9.5
2
@
ARIZ
L 57-73
−19.5
7
vs
ASU
W 86-65
+2.5
11
vs
ASU
W 91-42
−15.5
12
vs
TTU
W 75-53
−15.5
13
vs
ARIZ
L 80-82
+17.5
20
vs
TNST
W 108-74
+34.5
22
vs
UK
W 82-63
−1.5
27
vs
TENN
L 62-76
−1.5
over 15under 22avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa State has the better starters
Position by position: Purdue 0, Iowa State 2, even 3
PurdueBetterIowa State
G C. Cox8.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 82
=Even
G R. Prather TR16.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.7 ast
Score 84
G G. Harris4.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 75
=Even
G L. Bond TR12.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 74
G J. Benter4.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 75
→ISUSmall
G T. Lipsey13.5 pts · 3.9 reb · 5.1 ast
Score 98
G O. Mayer5.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 64
→ISUSmall
G J. Johnson TR16.8 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 98
C D. Jacobsen5.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast
Score 88
=Even
G K. Toure8.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 79
PurdueBetterIowa State
PUR offense38th of 366 · +5.0
=Even
ISU defense6th of 366 · +9.3
PUR defense18th of 366 · +6.0
=Even
ISU offense26th of 366 · +7.0
Backcourt+2.4 · 4 players
→ISUBig
Backcourt+14.4 · 5 players
Frontcourt+1.8 · 1 player
=No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
→ISUBig
Bench+4.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPUR betterISU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
C. Cox24 minG. Harris16 minJ. Benter15 minO. Mayer14 minJ. Rayl2 minJ. Lusk2 min
Forwards
S. KingNewC. PierceNewE. ShahrvinNewR. BurgessNewR. KnightNew
Centers
D. Jacobsen13 minS. HuanNew
Guards
R. Prather35 min · TRL. Bond33 min · TRT. Lipsey32 minJ. Johnson31 min · TRK. Toure25 minJ. Batemon16 min
Forwards
T. Singleton25 min · TRB. Buchanan25 minT. Manning21 min · TRD. Pleta11 minX. Mitchell3 minD. Rinaldo-KomlanNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 81.6 #35 | Points per game | 82.0 #32 |
| 1.25 #2 | Points per possession | 1.19 #20 |
| 65.4 #333 | Pace (possessions) | 68.5 #204 |
| Shooting | ||
| 57.6 #10 | Effective FG% | 56.2 #20 |
| 38.3 #11 | 3-point % | 38.3 #12 |
| 40.2 #164 | 3-point attempt rate | 38.8 #196 |
| 28.6 #336 | Free throw rate | 34.5 #194 |
| Possessions | ||
| 13.7 #16 | Turnover rate | 14.9 #58 |
| 36.4 #19 | Offensive rebound rate | 35.1 #45 |
| 19.6 #2 | Assists per game | 17.4 #16 |
| Defense | ||
| 70.5 #65 | Points allowed | 65.6 #9 |
| 1.08 #162 | Points allowed per possession | 0.96 #4 |
| 52.4 #232 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.8 #92 |
| 34.1 #192 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.0 #63 |
| 15.3 #263 | Turnovers forced | 22.6 #4 |
| 72.9 #39 | Defensive rebound rate | 71.4 #85 |
| 5.5 #297 | Steals per game | 9.0 #9 |
| 2.8 #257 | Blocks per game | 2.6 #289 |
Purdue
30-9 in 2025-26 overall · 17-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona64–79
- Wvs Texas79–77
- Wvs Miami79–69
- Wvs Queens University Royals104–71
- Wvs Michigan80–72
A week or more of rest.
Iowa State
29-8 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee62–76
- Wvs Kentucky82–63
- Wvs Tennessee St108–74
- Lvs Arizona80–82
- Wvs Texas Tech75–53
A week or more of rest.